TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

WNBA · resolved market

Indiana Fever vs. New York Liberty

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
New York Libertyof Indiana Fever, New York Liberty
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$467,838
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$493,870

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $467,838 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 254 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in WNBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6820…1c19backed Indiana Fever47c88,696$41,777 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41,777.293455.9%19 W · 15 L+3.8wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+15.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Indiana Fever41c44,858$18,221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,220.5226953.2%143 W · 126 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa080…234fbacked New York Liberty59c40,984$24,371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,613.352100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+80.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked New York Liberty53c36,792$19,488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,304.531,76551.7%912 W · 853 L+53.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c15…9a45backed New York Liberty60c35,558$21,325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,233.242759.3%16 W · 11 L+2.8wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+17.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb915…8da5backed Indiana Fever42c24,629$10,312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,312.166848.5%33 W · 35 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Indiana Fever41c16,499$6,751 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,750.8932049.4%158 W · 162 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Indiana Fever32c13,824$4,358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,357.9299548.1%479 W · 516 L+2.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed New York Liberty56c13,175$7,313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,861.2746247%217 W · 245 L-0.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Indiana Fever17c12,748$2,212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,212.2636750.7%186 W · 181 L+15.2wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Indiana Fever45c10,680$4,823 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,823.1424347.7%116 W · 127 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd65…ee96backed Indiana Fever47c10,535$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0003745.9%17 W · 20 L-2.8wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-22.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed New York Liberty64c9,724$6,258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,465.9450646.8%237 W · 269 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed New York Liberty50c7,500$3,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,750540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-22.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed New York Liberty69c7,401$5,118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,282.9432150.2%161 W · 160 L+7.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked New York Liberty57c6,617$3,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,817.4838650.3%194 W · 192 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd619…c461backed New York Liberty56c6,400$3,568 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,83219446.4%90 W · 104 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6368…6dc8backed New York Liberty67c6,392$4,264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,127.7683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick72cpaid+18.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Indiana Fever25c6,003$1,477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,477.3910340.8%42 W · 61 L-0.4wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd27c…c081backed New York Liberty63c6,000$3,780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,219.992382.6%19 W · 4 L+3.0wins+0.13per pick70cpaid+20.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked New York Liberty54c5,500$2,970 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,53017946.4%83 W · 96 L-6.7wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Indiana Fever37c5,340$1,976 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,975.626735.8%24 W · 43 L-3.6wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed New York Liberty62c4,891$3,046 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,844.3531043.2%134 W · 176 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-10.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Indiana Fever41c4,662$1,918 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,918.115738.6%22 W · 35 L-6.4wins-0.11per pick50cpaid-16.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked New York Liberty58c4,500$2,610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,89013048.5%63 W · 67 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed New York Liberty50c4,094$2,047 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,047.183842.1%16 W · 22 L-3.0wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-23.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Indiana Fever46c3,752$1,730 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,729.897740.3%31 W · 46 L-4.0wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-33.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbc56…8f28backed New York Liberty55c3,690$2,015 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,675.711353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed New York Liberty52c3,668$1,913 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,754.5419458.2%113 W · 81 L+12.5wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Indiana Fever40c3,595$1,438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,43878548.8%383 W · 402 L+6.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed New York Liberty52c3,513$1,844 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,669.1115048%72 W · 78 L-0.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-12.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a49…737abacked Indiana Fever34c3,281$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1002050%10 W · 10 L-1.9wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-28%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc308…7b09backed Indiana Fever2c3,100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.544915.6%70 W · 379 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick15cpaid-29.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc2e5…b3a5backed New York Liberty69c3,096$2,131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$965.4912144.6%54 W · 67 L-0.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-16.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9a3f…914abacked Indiana Fever43c3,000$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3001040%4 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.19per pick59cpaid-37.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf0de…8048backed New York Liberty61c2,705$1,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,055.193360.6%20 W · 13 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+10%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x63df…63d1backed Indiana Fever14c2,579$367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$366.547638.2%29 W · 47 L+8.2wins+0.11per pick27cpaid+35.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed New York Liberty63c2,464$1,551 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$913.0164152%333 W · 308 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed New York Liberty55c2,456$1,359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,096.6283748.1%403 W · 434 L+2.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb63…b3debacked Indiana Fever38c2,433$936 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$936128.3%1 W · 11 L-2.0wins-0.17per pick25cpaid-79%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Indiana Fever33c2,329$762 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$762.434726.5%92 W · 255 L-20.7wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-39.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x762e…4bf0backed New York Liberty54c2,327$1,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,076.9366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+25.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed New York Liberty60c2,240$1,335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$904.481,61150.2%809 W · 802 L+37.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed New York Liberty55c1,831$1,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$829.2423746.4%110 W · 127 L-10.1wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-11%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed New York Liberty57c1,807$1,023 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$784.1614345.5%65 W · 78 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7120…7c4ebacked Indiana Fever13c1,744$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.058228%23 W · 59 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick25cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2918…fe4abacked New York Liberty52c1,673$870 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$803.014139%16 W · 25 L+0.2wins0.00per pick39cpaid-17.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Indiana Fever36c1,662$593 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$593.2285158.4%497 W · 354 L+70.2wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+16.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9a2e…37cabacked Indiana Fever42c1,633$678 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$678.13650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-27.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked New York Liberty67c1,612$1,077 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$535.238447.6%40 W · 44 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd0ea…73f3backed New York Liberty54c1,536$829 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$706.572100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+63.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x425d…86e1backed Indiana Fever25c1,474$364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$364.38616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick24cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed New York Liberty71c1,395$989 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$405.7455255.1%304 W · 248 L+25.1wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4c24…cfdcbacked Indiana Fever40c1,339$536 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$535.6720%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc249…8a61backed New York Liberty50c1,326$669 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$657.2711250%56 W · 56 L+5.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+14%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x91b6…4b40backed Indiana Fever35c1,255$437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$436.6412234.4%42 W · 80 L+0.2wins0.00per pick34cpaid+7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Indiana Fever38c1,192$448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$448.2919428.9%56 W · 138 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-17.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ed1…caa2backed Indiana Fever35c1,140$399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$398.991838.9%7 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x42b7…5cd6backed Indiana Fever48c1,083$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5203740.5%15 W · 22 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe65b…271bbacked New York Liberty53c1,002$531 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$471.4110249%50 W · 52 L-6.0wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-10.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf03b…3ba1backed Indiana Fever44c913.55$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4004443.2%19 W · 25 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-13.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaf9f…f6a3backed New York Liberty58c796.67$462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.69354.8%51 W · 42 L+4.7wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+10.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe692…13a8backed New York Liberty55c764.95$421 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$343.63850%19 W · 19 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-19.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Indiana Fever38c752.84$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.4432540.3%131 W · 194 L-17.6wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-15.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa42f…5f5abacked Indiana Fever33c725.85$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.556339.7%25 W · 38 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Indiana Fever15c721.48$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.8528647.9%137 W · 149 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x768f…8a9bbacked New York Liberty55c704.38$387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.971464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+32.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x68cb…0000backed New York Liberty79c704.16$554 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.461770.6%12 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.11per pick60cpaid+12.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4d9a…4e25backed Indiana Fever32c679.26$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.362450%12 W · 12 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+22.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xabe0…5adbbacked New York Liberty79c645.57$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.578061.3%49 W · 31 L+4.9wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+13.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9fd4…de15backed New York Liberty64c619.52$398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.032828.6%8 W · 20 L-5.6wins-0.20per pick48cpaid-43.3%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Indiana Fever45c614.33$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278.1330649%150 W · 156 L+0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x574c…5e18backed Indiana Fever46c612.89$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.7710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6027…4320backed New York Liberty49c608$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.5929654.4%161 W · 135 L+11.5wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed New York Liberty58c600$348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2529651%49 W · 47 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd4cf…0e95backed New York Liberty55c599.99$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2705554.5%30 W · 25 L+4.9wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+15.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6407…d360backed New York Liberty54c555.54$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.558743.7%38 W · 49 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked New York Liberty64c555.29$356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.8137141.2%153 W · 218 L-13.3wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-23.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked New York Liberty53c549.59$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.444456.8%25 W · 19 L+3.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed New York Liberty75c533$401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.3225246%116 W · 136 L+8.0wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9767…1a16backed Indiana Fever49c520.41$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2556437.5%24 W · 40 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-4.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked New York Liberty56c512$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.5392248.8%450 W · 472 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed Indiana Fever42c500$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2109139.6%36 W · 55 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa68…ba5dbacked Indiana Fever39c495.53$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.868053.8%43 W · 37 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd51b…90a8backed New York Liberty56c477.17$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.853762.2%23 W · 14 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick66cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked New York Liberty70c472.19$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.1310454.8%57 W · 47 L+5.9wins+0.06per pick49cpaid-5.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x95f5…779fbacked New York Liberty68c468.98$319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.2813256.8%75 W · 57 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Indiana Fever40c459.32$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.6540550.9%206 W · 199 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5850…fdd9backed New York Liberty50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2001154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick56cpaid+3.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9bbc…011bbacked Indiana Fever35c381.95$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132520%1 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.17per pick37cpaid-54.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe47c…3afabacked Indiana Fever27c373.47$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Indiana Fever33c370.37$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.9537850%189 W · 189 L+9.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x17be…e5b4backed New York Liberty70c367.05$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.955547.3%26 W · 29 L-3.9wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-18.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9698…2504backed Indiana Fever50c359.4$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.44742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick35cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2fcb…78cfbacked Indiana Fever47c317$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.993342.4%14 W · 19 L-2.5wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-18%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf6a…f9d0backed Indiana Fever31c313.19$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x76f4…3dc9backed New York Liberty66c303.03$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.034067.5%27 W · 13 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick67cpaid-0.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed New York Liberty60c300$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12032750.2%164 W · 163 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1262…056fbacked New York Liberty54c299.86$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.6210050%50 W · 50 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaab1…9678backed New York Liberty54c294.8$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.61875%6 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick68cpaid+13%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.