WNBA · resolved market
Spread: New York Liberty (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6d9c12f6d585c859fa081bd42c87d39eb750f051a3c30b52b4d40013d47472e7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- New York Libertyof New York Liberty, Indiana Fever
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $73,122
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $73,213
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $73,122 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2918…fe4abacked New York Liberty | 52c | 22,000$11,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,569.97 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa080…234fbacked New York Liberty | 52c | 20,000$10,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,599.94 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +80.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Indiana Fever | 49c | 16,058$7,943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,942.88 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Indiana Fever | 46c | 13,668$6,308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,307.81 | 386 | 50.3%194 W · 192 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Indiana Fever | 51c | 9,227$4,704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,703.96 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed New York Liberty | 49c | 3,579$1,752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,826.15 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Indiana Fever | 48c | 3,443$1,649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,649.2 | 269 | 53.2%143 W · 126 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Indiana Fever | 48c | 2,358$1,132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,131.73 | 386 | 45.9%177 W · 209 L | -15.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed New York Liberty | 62c | 2,086$1,286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$799.55 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf1…b5afbacked New York Liberty | 47c | 1,920$902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,017.58 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73e8…cd6fbacked Indiana Fever | 53c | 1,660$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$879.66 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed New York Liberty | 50c | 1,089$545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543.9 | 552 | 55.1%304 W · 248 L | +25.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed New York Liberty | 55c | 1,079$589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.3 | 237 | 46.4%110 W · 127 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd19…3f54backed Indiana Fever | 48c | 1,040$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.2 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -21%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Indiana Fever | 35c | 904.62$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.05 | 506 | 46.8%237 W · 269 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked New York Liberty | 51c | 899.99$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.95 | 130 | 48.5%63 W · 67 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0dae…72febacked Indiana Fever | 50c | 823.52$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.76 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +3.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6a03…92d3backed New York Liberty | 50c | 702.97$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.49 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Indiana Fever | 44c | 422.3$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.85 | 286 | 47.9%137 W · 149 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6859…fb90backed Indiana Fever | 50c | 392.15$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.08 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Indiana Fever | 47c | 385.42$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.89 | 325 | 40.3%131 W · 194 L | -17.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed New York Liberty | 50c | 300$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.5 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfba…583cbacked Indiana Fever | 51c | 284.81$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.33 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Indiana Fever | 49c | 242.03$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.34 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe66f…0f3ebacked New York Liberty | 50c | 240$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Indiana Fever | 38c | 180.98$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.18 | 378 | 50%189 W · 189 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Indiana Fever | 49c | 179.93$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.92 | 749 | 42.3%317 W · 432 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1262…056fbacked Indiana Fever | 53c | 162$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.04 | 100 | 50%50 W · 50 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked New York Liberty | 60c | 128.9$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.56 | 367 | 50.7%186 W · 181 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked New York Liberty | 50c | 108.6$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.3 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +3.3wins | +0.17per pick | 56cpaid | +30%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x05c5…6a69backed New York Liberty | 50c | 107.31$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.66 | 126 | 61.1%77 W · 49 L | +11.8wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Indiana Fever | 48c | 107.23$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.47 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Indiana Fever | 48c | 106.75$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.24 | 411 | 45.7%188 W · 223 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbb…07d9backed New York Liberty | 71c | 77.17$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.38 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Indiana Fever | 53c | 75$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.75 | 260 | 54.6%142 W · 118 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed New York Liberty | 52c | 69.31$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.27 | 245 | 46.9%115 W · 130 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1b…85c8backed Indiana Fever | 51c | 68.85$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.95 | 154 | 51.9%80 W · 74 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd4…de15backed Indiana Fever | 38c | 57.85$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -5.6wins | -0.20per pick | 48cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4c8e…b38fbacked New York Liberty | 50c | 54.3$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.15 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.13per pick | 60cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29de…d9e6backed New York Liberty | 50c | 54.3$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.15 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +3.7wins | +0.23per pick | 58cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7091…96f8backed Indiana Fever | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17d7…9e1ebacked New York Liberty | 56c | 39.46$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.36 | 126 | 50.8%64 W · 62 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x360a…1098backed Indiana Fever | 48c | 34$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.32 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Indiana Fever | 48c | 33.52$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.09 | 62 | 54.8%34 W · 28 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56cc…d589backed Indiana Fever | 50c | 31.91$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.01 | 144 | 50%72 W · 72 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Indiana Fever | 46c | 30.87$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.24 | 349 | 18.3%64 W · 285 L | -49.5wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x657c…66a3backed Indiana Fever | 48c | 29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.92 | 80 | 57.5%46 W · 34 L | +6.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x88c5…4815backed Indiana Fever | 47c | 27.36$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.93 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed New York Liberty | 53c | 23.76$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.21 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…f409backed Indiana Fever | 47c | 23.25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed New York Liberty | 51c | 20.22$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 154 | 53.2%82 W · 72 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb390…642bbacked Indiana Fever | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 149 | 44.3%66 W · 83 L | -10.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd238…ee03backed New York Liberty | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 93 | 36.6%34 W · 59 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd355…e402backed Indiana Fever | 54c | 19.41$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.48 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.7wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: New York Liberty (-2.5)this page
- Aliyah Boston: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Indiana Fever vs. New York LibertyNew York Liberty won
- Indiana Fever vs. New York Liberty: O/U 185.5Over won
- Indiana Fever vs. New York Liberty: O/U 186.5Over won
- Indiana Fever vs. New York Liberty: O/U 187.5Over won
- Indiana Fever vs. New York Liberty: O/U 188.5Over won
- Spread: New York Liberty (-1.5)New York Liberty won
- Spread: New York Liberty (-3.5)New York Liberty won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.