WNBA · resolved market
Indiana Fever vs. New York Liberty: O/U 186.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x79123d3cea321d3df35b77b1612f2852e33d0655148f495de28c692ba02efa18
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,129
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,752
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,129 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 48c | 8,171$3,943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,942.56 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 52c | 5,572$2,890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,681.55 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 49c | 3,586$1,774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,812.18 | 462 | 47%217 W · 245 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7210…bcebbacked Under | 33c | 3,000$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 63c | 2,675$1,683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$992.48 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Under | 43c | 1,796$776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$775.7 | 371 | 41.2%153 W · 218 L | -13.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Under | 48c | 1,518$729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$728.5 | 130 | 48.5%63 W · 67 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc56…8f28backed Over | 51c | 1,226$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595.97 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Over | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 105 | 48.6%51 W · 54 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 50c | 906.21$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.11 | 209 | 47.4%99 W · 110 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb39b…9826backed Over | 50c | 896$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 50c | 733.17$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.66 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 56c | 703.4$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.32 | 641 | 52%333 W · 308 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d59…f7e5backed Under | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa61…7f3bbacked Over | 50c | 562$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281 | 285 | 58.6%167 W · 118 L | +20.0wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked Over | 50c | 535$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.5 | 94 | 45.7%43 W · 51 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b6…ca29backed Under | 48c | 512.76$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.12 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.7wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2792…c4f6backed Under | 51c | 445.67$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.29 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6383…6e28backed Under | 51c | 422.59$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.52 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa68…ba5dbacked Under | 53c | 416.39$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.69 | 80 | 53.8%43 W · 37 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Under | 51c | 409.13$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.66 | 105 | 52.4%55 W · 50 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 39c | 346.48$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.35 | 378 | 50%189 W · 189 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e9e…208cbacked Over | 47c | 331.98$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d23…251cbacked Under | 51c | 275$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.25 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Under | 51c | 270.92$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.17 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 49c | 260.8$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.79 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under | 51c | 246$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.62 | 269 | 53.2%143 W · 126 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 49c | 174.32$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.42 | 749 | 42.3%317 W · 432 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe66f…0f3ebacked Under | 50c | 164.8$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.4 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 49c | 150$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.5 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Over | 50c | 136.4$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.2 | 150 | 48%72 W · 78 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bcd…c00fbacked Over | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.21 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 49c | 120.91$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.67 | 411 | 45.7%188 W · 223 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Over | 40c | 114.08$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.45 | 103 | 45.6%47 W · 56 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Over | 40c | 114.08$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.45 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Over | 39c | 101.97$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.2 | 245 | 46.9%115 W · 130 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xece0…7dc9backed Over | 51c | 88.23$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.23 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +2.8wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 47c | 69$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.57 | 386 | 50.3%194 W · 192 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x910a…1aa7backed Over | 50c | 66.25$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.13 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1b…85c8backed Over | 40c | 64.32$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.59 | 154 | 51.9%80 W · 74 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffc2…c69abacked Under | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Under | 49c | 57.57$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.21 | 260 | 54.6%142 W · 118 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1262…056fbacked Over | 52c | 55.06$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.48 | 100 | 50%50 W · 50 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Over | 50c | 53.2$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 132 | 56.1%74 W · 58 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed Under | 49c | 52.63$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.79 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f93…a687backed Over | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -6.8wins | -0.21per pick | 53cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb663…f135backed Over | 40c | 48.53$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.12 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Under | 49c | 40.38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.79 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff19…3ebebacked Under | 51c | 39.37$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.13 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.17per pick | 48cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 49c | 39.2$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.99 | 325 | 40.3%131 W · 194 L | -17.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbaf3…2286backed Over | 51c | 37.53$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Over | 65c | 36.91$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.95 | 246 | 56.5%139 W · 107 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb3…4a24backed Under | 50c | 36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +2.7wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3c…35cfbacked Over | 47c | 31.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.95 | 84 | 38.1%32 W · 52 L | -7.7wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0fca…3487backed Under | 51c | 30.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -29%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe90f…a908backed Under | 48c | 26.54$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.74 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -3.7wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x321e…ce73backed Over | 51c | 26.16$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Under | 49c | 24.16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.84 | 62 | 54.8%34 W · 28 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed Over | 65c | 21.5$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.45 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…01febacked Over | 50c | 20.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd355…e402backed Over | 52c | 20.15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.67 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.7wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbded…48b7backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +78.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3003…30f5backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Indiana Fever vs. New York Liberty: O/U 186.5this page
- Aliyah Boston: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Indiana Fever vs. New York LibertyNew York Liberty won
- Indiana Fever vs. New York Liberty: O/U 185.5Over won
- Indiana Fever vs. New York Liberty: O/U 187.5Over won
- Indiana Fever vs. New York Liberty: O/U 188.5Over won
- Spread: New York Liberty (-1.5)New York Liberty won
- Spread: New York Liberty (-2.5)New York Liberty won
- Spread: New York Liberty (-3.5)New York Liberty won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.