WNBA · resolved market
Spread: New York Liberty (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdb88b97b9a5fcfc9e8f2167d70cd6f6725fa6a678f57734e36c57d6a679fc291
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- New York Libertyof New York Liberty, Indiana Fever
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,541
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,830
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,541 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf0de…8048backed New York Liberty | 51c | 5,428$2,788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,640.42 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed New York Liberty | 52c | 4,048$2,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,943.36 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Indiana Fever | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -3.2wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Indiana Fever | 47c | 2,750$1,302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,301.94 | 386 | 50.3%194 W · 192 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Indiana Fever | 48c | 2,022$970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$970.06 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf1…b5afbacked New York Liberty | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.78 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Indiana Fever | 49c | 1,500$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735 | 130 | 48.5%63 W · 67 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Indiana Fever | 46c | 1,500$683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$682.99 | 112 | 50%56 W · 56 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6387…95dcbacked New York Liberty | 54c | 1,455$783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$671.69 | 15 | 86.7%13 W · 2 L | +5.0wins | +0.33per pick | 54cpaid | +61.5%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Indiana Fever | 44c | 1,172$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.48 | 371 | 41.2%153 W · 218 L | -13.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed New York Liberty | 53c | 873$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.95 | 361 | 54%195 W · 166 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6daa…954abacked New York Liberty | 62c | 854.65$526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.94 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed New York Liberty | 60c | 806.97$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.35 | 237 | 46.4%110 W · 127 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6df…dda7backed New York Liberty | 50c | 749.13$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.16 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Indiana Fever | 49c | 738$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.68 | 269 | 53.2%143 W · 126 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Indiana Fever | 46c | 700$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322 | 58 | 31%18 W · 40 L | -7.5wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe079…a06fbacked New York Liberty | 55c | 678.56$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.35 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +3.0wins | +0.34per pick | 55cpaid | +60.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed New York Liberty | 52c | 575.87$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.42 | 87 | 43.7%38 W · 49 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x885f…8ed9backed Indiana Fever | 50c | 566$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.46 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Indiana Fever | 50c | 532.05$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.47 | 386 | 45.9%177 W · 209 L | -15.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed New York Liberty | 59c | 509.68$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.96 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Indiana Fever | 48c | 383.37$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.72 | 411 | 47%193 W · 218 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed New York Liberty | 50c | 339$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.5 | 194 | 46.4%90 W · 104 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked New York Liberty | 51c | 256$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.44 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Indiana Fever | 37c | 246.09$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.26 | 245 | 46.9%115 W · 130 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd20c…5031backed Indiana Fever | 48c | 234$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.32 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed New York Liberty | 53c | 216.68$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.92 | 176 | 56.8%100 W · 76 L | +12.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Indiana Fever | 42c | 212$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.54 | 286 | 47.9%137 W · 149 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Indiana Fever | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 399 | 47.1%188 W · 211 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed New York Liberty | 49c | 173.02$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.24 | 310 | 43.2%134 W · 176 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Indiana Fever | 35c | 163.38$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.55 | 378 | 50%189 W · 189 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Indiana Fever | 46c | 143.13$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.84 | 329 | 48.6%160 W · 169 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95f5…779fbacked New York Liberty | 59c | 121.72$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.49 | 132 | 56.8%75 W · 57 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Indiana Fever | 49c | 110.73$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.96 | 749 | 42.3%317 W · 432 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed New York Liberty | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 364 | 54.1%197 W · 167 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Indiana Fever | 40c | 95.49$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.49 | 376 | 50.3%189 W · 187 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed New York Liberty | 55c | 88.53$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.84 | 344 | 48%165 W · 179 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xece0…7dc9backed New York Liberty | 52c | 86.53$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.54 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +2.8wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Indiana Fever | 25c | 79.53$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.52 | 367 | 50.7%186 W · 181 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Indiana Fever | 45c | 77.42$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.84 | 307 | 34.2%105 W · 202 L | -28.2wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed New York Liberty | 64c | 76.65$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.96 | 321 | 50.2%161 W · 160 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x014f…7edbbacked New York Liberty | 54c | 73$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.58 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked New York Liberty | 60c | 68.99$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.49 | 239 | 55.2%132 W · 107 L | +12.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Indiana Fever | 46c | 63.5$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.21 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked New York Liberty | 54c | 61.56$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.24 | 314 | 48.4%152 W · 162 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Indiana Fever | 45c | 58.3$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.22 | 325 | 40.3%131 W · 194 L | -17.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf39b…cca8backed New York Liberty | 53c | 55$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.09 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e27…ef72backed Indiana Fever | 49c | 54.34$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7091…96f8backed Indiana Fever | 50c | 51$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90a7…5ac0backed Indiana Fever | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb88a…f6adbacked Indiana Fever | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd238…ee03backed New York Liberty | 55c | 49.45$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.25 | 93 | 36.6%34 W · 59 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7f38…13c8backed Indiana Fever | 47c | 45.55$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.21 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Indiana Fever | 34c | 45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.09 | 506 | 46.8%237 W · 269 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Indiana Fever | 49c | 42.24$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed Indiana Fever | 34c | 39.49$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.59 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d1a…ff69backed New York Liberty | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3561…f1b7backed Indiana Fever | 47c | 38.88$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.27 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked New York Liberty | 54c | 38.3$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.62 | 108 | 38.9%42 W · 66 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Indiana Fever | 47c | 36.91$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.43 | 615 | 47%289 W · 326 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1950…1bf4backed New York Liberty | 51c | 35.73$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.35 | 138 | 50.7%70 W · 68 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcac7…37d8backed New York Liberty | 55c | 32.76$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.74 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +68.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4855…6a41backed New York Liberty | 50c | 32$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe00b…256fbacked New York Liberty | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf4…1c91backed New York Liberty | 57c | 28.07$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.07 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed New York Liberty | 53c | 27.44$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13bf…dcdebacked New York Liberty | 59c | 27.44$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed New York Liberty | 54c | 27.03$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.43 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e7d…7161backed New York Liberty | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Indiana Fever | 48c | 25.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.36 | 173 | 43.9%76 W · 97 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Indiana Fever | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 303 | 47.2%143 W · 160 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5547…3a41backed Indiana Fever | 50c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -2.7wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1262…056fbacked Indiana Fever | 49c | 21$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 100 | 50%50 W · 50 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44eb…4c1cbacked New York Liberty | 55c | 18.51$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.33 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +84.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: New York Liberty (-1.5)this page
- Aliyah Boston: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Indiana Fever vs. New York LibertyNew York Liberty won
- Indiana Fever vs. New York Liberty: O/U 185.5Over won
- Indiana Fever vs. New York Liberty: O/U 186.5Over won
- Indiana Fever vs. New York Liberty: O/U 187.5Over won
- Indiana Fever vs. New York Liberty: O/U 188.5Over won
- Spread: New York Liberty (-2.5)New York Liberty won
- Spread: New York Liberty (-3.5)New York Liberty won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.