WNBA · resolved market
Spread: New York Liberty (-3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x33323719cd25a1342384d4a657515ee7cd4715a58399881563d3b04b86c9acaf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- New York Libertyof New York Liberty, Indiana Fever
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $120,210
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $120,892
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $120,210 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Indiana Fever | 52c | 30,782$16,051 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,050.75 | 301 | 54.8%165 W · 136 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…8973backed New York Liberty | 49c | 29,163$14,285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,878.17 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Indiana Fever | 50c | 16,068$8,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,033.83 | 803 | 48.7%391 W · 412 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb915…8da5backed Indiana Fever | 53c | 14,244$7,510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,509.89 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked New York Liberty | 49c | 10,000$4,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,100 | 122 | 58.2%71 W · 51 L | +10.6wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked New York Liberty | 48c | 7,989$3,835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,154.43 | 130 | 48.5%63 W · 67 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked New York Liberty | 49c | 7,424$3,610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,813.84 | 399 | 50.4%201 W · 198 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked New York Liberty | 42c | 6,421$2,697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,724.42 | 183 | 46.4%85 W · 98 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Indiana Fever | 52c | 4,930$2,564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,563.6 | 369 | 54.2%200 W · 169 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2918…fe4abacked New York Liberty | 49c | 4,750$2,327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,422.47 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Indiana Fever | 52c | 4,433$2,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,289.93 | 1,803 | 51.8%934 W · 869 L | +56.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed New York Liberty | 46c | 4,405$2,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,378.62 | 201 | 47.3%95 W · 106 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed New York Liberty | 47c | 4,000$1,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,140 | 871 | 48.2%420 W · 451 L | +4.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked New York Liberty | 48c | 3,750$1,793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,957.5 | 150 | 49.3%74 W · 76 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba43…c6c0backed Indiana Fever | 51c | 3,473$1,771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,771.02 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed New York Liberty | 49c | 2,934$1,442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,491.42 | 1,025 | 47.8%490 W · 535 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Indiana Fever | 52c | 2,257$1,174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,173.76 | 475 | 46.7%222 W · 253 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea48…c596backed New York Liberty | 49c | 1,836$905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$931.35 | 115 | 40%46 W · 69 L | -10.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xee46…faa0backed New York Liberty | 50c | 1,799$899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$899.28 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -32%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed New York Liberty | 47c | 1,634$768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$866.02 | 414 | 51%211 W · 203 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6859…fb90backed Indiana Fever | 33c | 1,435$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.58 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7254…5594backed New York Liberty | 55c | 1,133$629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.42 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed New York Liberty | 65c | 1,058$688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.66 | 351 | 26.2%92 W · 259 L | -21.7wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb75b…e377backed Indiana Fever | 46c | 999.98$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.99 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf247…d8cabacked Indiana Fever | 52c | 961.53$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc56…8f28backed Indiana Fever | 52c | 775.13$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.07 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Indiana Fever | 31c | 758.35$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.7 | 515 | 47.2%243 W · 272 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked Indiana Fever | 50c | 717.3$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.65 | 94 | 45.7%43 W · 51 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c24…cfdcbacked Indiana Fever | 38c | 688.84$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad0b…a514backed Indiana Fever | 50c | 666$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333 | 151 | 42.4%64 W · 87 L | -9.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd20c…5031backed New York Liberty | 44c | 596.38$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.01 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +3.8wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4272…4a17backed Indiana Fever | 51c | 503.92$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Indiana Fever | 53c | 493$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.29 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Indiana Fever | 42c | 439.78$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.13 | 1,635 | 50.2%820 W · 815 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb904…3ef8backed New York Liberty | 52c | 419.99$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.6 | 46 | 60.9%28 W · 18 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Indiana Fever | 53c | 376.29$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.43 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1262…056fbacked Indiana Fever | 51c | 365$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.25 | 118 | 54.2%64 W · 54 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed New York Liberty | 48c | 330.84$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.45 | 107 | 50.5%54 W · 53 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed New York Liberty | 49c | 317.09$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.43 | 913 | 49.3%450 W · 463 L | +4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed New York Liberty | 49c | 300$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 330 | 50%165 W · 165 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed New York Liberty | 44c | 277.38$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.46 | 574 | 55.2%317 W · 257 L | +27.9wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x582c…3266backed New York Liberty | 73c | 272.6$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.6 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1b…85c8backed Indiana Fever | 42c | 272.47$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.1 | 172 | 51.2%88 W · 84 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95f5…779fbacked New York Liberty | 55c | 265.55$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.86 | 145 | 55.2%80 W · 65 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed New York Liberty | 44c | 255.24$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.88 | 267 | 46.4%124 W · 143 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a9…68b6backed New York Liberty | 46c | 199.99$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.99 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x987e…8d7abacked New York Liberty | 50c | 198.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.82 | 55 | 61.8%34 W · 21 L | +5.5wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Indiana Fever | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 231 | 49.4%114 W · 117 L | -14.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x969e…b834backed Indiana Fever | 58c | 173.53$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 29 | 17.2%5 W · 24 L | -6.3wins | -0.22per pick | 39cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x93a4…6bdbbacked New York Liberty | 44c | 160.89$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.89 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Indiana Fever | 48c | 126.72$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.88 | 351 | 40.2%141 W · 210 L | -19.5wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Indiana Fever | 45c | 116.83$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.37 | 670 | 51.5%345 W · 325 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked New York Liberty | 55c | 108.39$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.28 | 162 | 40.7%66 W · 96 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc547…c570backed Indiana Fever | 40c | 102.5$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 133 | 38.3%51 W · 82 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked New York Liberty | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 402 | 47.3%190 W · 212 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a86…0079backed Indiana Fever | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f5…0688backed Indiana Fever | 53c | 94$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.82 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed New York Liberty | 53c | 85.42$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.15 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeeaa…15cebacked New York Liberty | 48c | 82.67$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.63 | 63 | 36.5%23 W · 40 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked New York Liberty | 54c | 80.34$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.93 | 113 | 54%61 W · 52 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3c…35cfbacked New York Liberty | 47c | 64$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.92 | 98 | 41.8%41 W · 57 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked New York Liberty | 55c | 59$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.56 | 354 | 54.2%192 W · 162 L | +20.9wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x30f6…004fbacked New York Liberty | 54c | 56.98$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.23 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd4…de15backed Indiana Fever | 33c | 56.72$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.48 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -5.0wins | -0.16per pick | 48cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Indiana Fever | 52c | 52.55$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.29 | 260 | 54.6%142 W · 118 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Indiana Fever | 43c | 50.13$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.56 | 248 | 55.6%138 W · 110 L | +13.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Indiana Fever | 53c | 50.08$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.53 | 335 | 49.3%165 W · 170 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd52a…6955backed Indiana Fever | 52c | 48.18$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed New York Liberty | 57c | 45.82$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.48 | 376 | 53.7%202 W · 174 L | +15.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked New York Liberty | 54c | 45$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.54 | 326 | 48.5%158 W · 168 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Indiana Fever | 36c | 44.29$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.15 | 351 | 18.5%65 W · 286 L | -49.3wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa250…b806backed New York Liberty | 48c | 43.96$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.86 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x530a…4961backed New York Liberty | 54c | 43.35$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed New York Liberty | 47c | 41.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.07 | 258 | 46.9%121 W · 137 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbb…07d9backed New York Liberty | 66c | 38.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.93 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed New York Liberty | 49c | 37.06$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 347 | 48.4%168 W · 179 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2470…7ae6backed Indiana Fever | 53c | 36.18$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.13 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked New York Liberty | 42c | 34.48$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 520 | 52.9%275 W · 245 L | +19.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec80…7298backed Indiana Fever | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -33%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Indiana Fever | 38c | 33.51$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.88 | 304 | 47.4%144 W · 160 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed Indiana Fever | 43c | 32.92$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.06 | 74 | 43.2%32 W · 42 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb5…3444backed New York Liberty | 50c | 30.54$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.27 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c3…a6e8backed Indiana Fever | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 105 | 43.8%46 W · 59 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked New York Liberty | 53c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 94 | 44.7%42 W · 52 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked New York Liberty | 45c | 29.11$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.02 | 39 | 69.2%27 W · 12 L | +6.2wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1715…a049backed New York Liberty | 47c | 29.09$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.29 | 126 | 43.7%55 W · 71 L | -7.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed New York Liberty | 46c | 27.44$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.82 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90f…a908backed New York Liberty | 44c | 25.77$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.43 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked New York Liberty | 45c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.75 | 138 | 39.9%55 W · 83 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd819…2d80backed Indiana Fever | 53c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +4.0wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x05c5…6a69backed New York Liberty | 44c | 24.58$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.66 | 146 | 61.6%90 W · 56 L | +15.1wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x183b…b6e9backed Indiana Fever | 58c | 24.22$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.05 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1f…1e14backed Indiana Fever | 58c | 24.22$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.05 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked New York Liberty | 62c | 24.03$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.13 | 404 | 40.6%164 W · 240 L | -15.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked New York Liberty | 54c | 24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.04 | 157 | 48.4%76 W · 81 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5317…9a3bbacked New York Liberty | 60c | 20.31$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.12 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…6e8dbacked New York Liberty | 71c | 19.72$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.72 | 85 | 68.2%58 W · 27 L | +5.9wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: New York Liberty (-3.5)this page
- Aliyah Boston: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Indiana Fever vs. New York LibertyNew York Liberty won
- Indiana Fever vs. New York Liberty: O/U 185.5Over won
- Indiana Fever vs. New York Liberty: O/U 186.5Over won
- Indiana Fever vs. New York Liberty: O/U 187.5Over won
- Indiana Fever vs. New York Liberty: O/U 188.5Over won
- Spread: New York Liberty (-1.5)New York Liberty won
- Spread: New York Liberty (-2.5)New York Liberty won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.