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WNBA · resolved market

Spread: New York Liberty (-3.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
New York Libertyof New York Liberty, Indiana Fever
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$120,210
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$120,892

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $120,210 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in WNBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Indiana Fever52c30,782$16,051 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,050.7530154.8%165 W · 136 L+11.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd202…8973backed New York Liberty49c29,163$14,285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,878.177949.4%39 W · 40 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Indiana Fever50c16,068$8,034 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,033.8380348.7%391 W · 412 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb915…8da5backed Indiana Fever53c14,244$7,510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,509.896848.5%33 W · 35 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa1f3…d99cbacked New York Liberty49c10,000$4,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,10012258.2%71 W · 51 L+10.6wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+17.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked New York Liberty48c7,989$3,835 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,154.4313048.5%63 W · 67 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked New York Liberty49c7,424$3,610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,813.8439950.4%201 W · 198 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked New York Liberty42c6,421$2,697 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,724.4218346.4%85 W · 98 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Indiana Fever52c4,930$2,564 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,563.636954.2%200 W · 169 L+1.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2918…fe4abacked New York Liberty49c4,750$2,327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,422.474139%16 W · 25 L+0.2wins0.00per pick39cpaid-17.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Indiana Fever52c4,433$2,290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,289.931,80351.8%934 W · 869 L+56.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd619…c461backed New York Liberty46c4,405$2,026 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,378.6220147.3%95 W · 106 L-0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed New York Liberty47c4,000$1,860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,14087148.2%420 W · 451 L+4.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked New York Liberty48c3,750$1,793 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,957.515049.3%74 W · 76 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba43…c6c0backed Indiana Fever51c3,473$1,771 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,771.022040%8 W · 12 L-2.1wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-20.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed New York Liberty49c2,934$1,442 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,491.421,02547.8%490 W · 535 L-1.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Indiana Fever52c2,257$1,174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,173.7647546.7%222 W · 253 L-2.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea48…c596backed New York Liberty49c1,836$905 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$931.3511540%46 W · 69 L-10.9wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-18.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xee46…faa0backed New York Liberty50c1,799$899 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$899.28933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-32%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed New York Liberty47c1,634$768 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$866.0241451%211 W · 203 L+7.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6859…fb90backed Indiana Fever33c1,435$474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$473.5820%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7254…5594backed New York Liberty55c1,133$629 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$504.42366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick46cpaid+29.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed New York Liberty65c1,058$688 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.6635126.2%92 W · 259 L-21.7wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-40.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb75b…e377backed Indiana Fever46c999.98$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$459.993948.7%19 W · 20 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+47.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf247…d8cabacked Indiana Fever52c961.53$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbc56…8f28backed Indiana Fever52c775.13$403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403.071353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Indiana Fever31c758.35$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.751547.2%243 W · 272 L-2.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeef6…cd4cbacked Indiana Fever50c717.3$359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$358.659445.7%43 W · 51 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4c24…cfdcbacked Indiana Fever38c688.84$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.9620%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xad0b…a514backed Indiana Fever50c666$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33315142.4%64 W · 87 L-9.1wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-14.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd20c…5031backed New York Liberty44c596.38$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331.014153.7%22 W · 19 L+3.8wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+19.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4272…4a17backed Indiana Fever51c503.92$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2573046.7%14 W · 16 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-15.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed Indiana Fever53c493$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.293959%23 W · 16 L+3.0wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+15.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Indiana Fever42c439.78$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.131,63550.2%820 W · 815 L+36.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb904…3ef8backed New York Liberty52c419.99$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.64660.9%28 W · 18 L+4.3wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+18.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed Indiana Fever53c376.29$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.434751.1%24 W · 23 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1262…056fbacked Indiana Fever51c365$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.2511854.2%64 W · 54 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed New York Liberty48c330.84$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.4510750.5%54 W · 53 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed New York Liberty49c317.09$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.4391349.3%450 W · 463 L+4.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed New York Liberty49c300$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15333050%165 W · 165 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed New York Liberty44c277.38$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.4657455.2%317 W · 257 L+27.9wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+8.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x582c…3266backed New York Liberty73c272.6$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.61662.5%10 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c1b…85c8backed Indiana Fever42c272.47$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.117251.2%88 W · 84 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x95f5…779fbacked New York Liberty55c265.55$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.8614555.2%80 W · 65 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed New York Liberty44c255.24$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.8826746.4%124 W · 143 L-10.6wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-10.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb9a9…68b6backed New York Liberty46c199.99$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.993754.1%20 W · 17 L+3.2wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+14.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x987e…8d7abacked New York Liberty50c198.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.825561.8%34 W · 21 L+5.5wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+19.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0eb7…1f17backed Indiana Fever56c178.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10023149.4%114 W · 117 L-14.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-14.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x969e…b834backed Indiana Fever58c173.53$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002917.2%5 W · 24 L-6.3wins-0.22per pick39cpaid-39.7%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x93a4…6bdbbacked New York Liberty44c160.89$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.892536%9 W · 16 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick32cpaid-14%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Indiana Fever48c126.72$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.8835140.2%141 W · 210 L-19.5wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-15.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Indiana Fever45c116.83$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.3767051.5%345 W · 325 L+2.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked New York Liberty55c108.39$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.2816240.7%66 W · 96 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-16.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc547…c570backed Indiana Fever40c102.5$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4113338.3%51 W · 82 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked New York Liberty47c100$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5340247.3%190 W · 212 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a86…0079backed Indiana Fever52c96.15$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503053.3%16 W · 14 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9f5…0688backed Indiana Fever53c94$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.826145.9%28 W · 33 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed New York Liberty53c85.42$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.156845.6%31 W · 37 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-5.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xeeaa…15cebacked New York Liberty48c82.67$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.636336.5%23 W · 40 L-4.3wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-15.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked New York Liberty54c80.34$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.9311354%61 W · 52 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdd3c…35cfbacked New York Liberty47c64$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.929841.8%41 W · 57 L-5.2wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-13.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked New York Liberty55c59$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.5635454.2%192 W · 162 L+20.9wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x30f6…004fbacked New York Liberty54c56.98$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.232352.2%12 W · 11 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9fd4…de15backed Indiana Fever33c56.72$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.483132.3%10 W · 21 L-5.0wins-0.16per pick48cpaid-36.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2892…e9d7backed Indiana Fever52c52.55$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.2926054.6%142 W · 118 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Indiana Fever43c50.13$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.5624855.6%138 W · 110 L+13.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Indiana Fever53c50.08$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.5333549.3%165 W · 170 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-13%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd52a…6955backed Indiana Fever52c48.18$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.05250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed New York Liberty57c45.82$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.4837653.7%202 W · 174 L+15.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked New York Liberty54c45$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.5432648.5%158 W · 168 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Indiana Fever36c44.29$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.1535118.5%65 W · 286 L-49.3wins-0.14per pick33cpaid-57.9%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0xa250…b806backed New York Liberty48c43.96$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.862055%11 W · 9 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x530a…4961backed New York Liberty54c43.35$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.94250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed New York Liberty47c41.64$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.0725846.9%121 W · 137 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdcbb…07d9backed New York Liberty66c38.02$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.936251.6%32 W · 30 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed New York Liberty49c37.06$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.934748.4%168 W · 179 L-0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2470…7ae6backed Indiana Fever53c36.18$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.131850%9 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked New York Liberty42c34.48$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2052052.9%275 W · 245 L+19.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+3.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xec80…7298backed Indiana Fever58c34.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20450%2 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-33%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Indiana Fever38c33.51$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.8830447.4%144 W · 160 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x92f5…52a2backed Indiana Fever43c32.92$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.067443.2%32 W · 42 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-17.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5fb5…3444backed New York Liberty50c30.54$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.273751.4%19 W · 18 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc6c3…a6e8backed Indiana Fever50c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510543.8%46 W · 59 L-5.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-10.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked New York Liberty53c30$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.19444.7%42 W · 52 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x22a4…63ebbacked New York Liberty45c29.11$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.023969.2%27 W · 12 L+6.2wins+0.16per pick53cpaid+26.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x1715…a049backed New York Liberty47c29.09$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.2912643.7%55 W · 71 L-7.2wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed New York Liberty46c27.44$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.828048.8%39 W · 41 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe90f…a908backed New York Liberty44c25.77$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.434744.7%21 W · 26 L-2.8wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-11.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked New York Liberty45c25$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.7513839.9%55 W · 83 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd819…2d80backed Indiana Fever53c25$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.252864.3%18 W · 10 L+4.0wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+33.1%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x05c5…6a69backed New York Liberty44c24.58$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.6614661.6%90 W · 56 L+15.1wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+18.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x183b…b6e9backed Indiana Fever58c24.22$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.05560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1f…1e14backed Indiana Fever58c24.22$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.05650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked New York Liberty62c24.03$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.1340440.6%164 W · 240 L-15.0wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-24.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked New York Liberty54c24$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.0415748.4%76 W · 81 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5317…9a3bbacked New York Liberty60c20.31$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.122339.1%9 W · 14 L-2.0wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-29.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1b44…6e8dbacked New York Liberty71c19.72$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.728568.2%58 W · 27 L+5.9wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+10.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.