WNBA · resolved market
Indiana Fever vs. New York Liberty: O/U 188.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4a6c47de812e1bc0a8f16c5e827153b8e34ddfd24eef39186720ffe449bcce37
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,717
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,038
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,717 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 72c | 3,521$2,529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$991.72 | 371 | 41.2%153 W · 218 L | -13.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbdce…b9dfbacked Over | 46c | 3,286$1,511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,774.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 25c | 3,232$822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$822.4 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7210…bcebbacked Under | 27c | 3,000$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 44c | 1,556$685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$871.22 | 462 | 47%217 W · 245 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 54c | 1,381$746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$745.74 | 411 | 45.7%188 W · 223 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under | 55c | 806$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.38 | 269 | 53.2%143 W · 126 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea1b…ec19backed Under | 56c | 797.54$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -4.7wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbc56…8f28backed Over | 45c | 677.76$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.77 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa61…7f3bbacked Over | 47c | 624.56$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.56 | 285 | 58.6%167 W · 118 L | +20.0wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d59…f7e5backed Over | 69c | 600$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.51 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1b…85c8backed Over | 70c | 592.8$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.84 | 154 | 51.9%80 W · 74 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Under | 56c | 428.66$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.73 | 92 | 55.4%51 W · 41 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Over | 70c | 380.64$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.19 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 45c | 256$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.8 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Over | 44c | 211.2$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.27 | 307 | 34.2%105 W · 202 L | -28.2wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2918…fe4abacked Over | 46c | 170.57$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.11 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 18c | 122.34$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.29 | 378 | 50%189 W · 189 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Under | 56c | 100.98$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.78 | 237 | 46.4%110 W · 127 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0182…301cbacked Under | 56c | 83.99$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 25c | 76.51$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.39 | 246 | 56.5%139 W · 107 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x910a…1aa7backed Over | 46c | 72.01$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d1a…ff69backed Under | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b18…dd26backed Over | 45c | 62.28$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.45 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Under | 30c | 62$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.56 | 89 | 62.9%56 W · 33 L | +5.9wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 30c | 60.92$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.3 | 154 | 53.2%82 W · 72 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d18…2365backed Under | 55c | 59.99$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.99 | 84 | 42.9%36 W · 48 L | -10.7wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Over | 47c | 58.8$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.16 | 132 | 56.1%74 W · 58 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 54c | 54.52$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.45 | 749 | 42.3%317 W · 432 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 44c | 44.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.78 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 45c | 43.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbb…07d9backed Under | 32c | 37.96$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.15 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68cb…6872backed Under | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -5.6wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8513…7d41backed Under | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bba…a2eabacked Under | 40c | 33.14$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 84 | 57.1%48 W · 36 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 54c | 26.21$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.14 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d10…b3d0backed Under | 56c | 19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Indiana Fever vs. New York Liberty: O/U 188.5this page
- Aliyah Boston: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Indiana Fever vs. New York LibertyNew York Liberty won
- Indiana Fever vs. New York Liberty: O/U 185.5Over won
- Indiana Fever vs. New York Liberty: O/U 186.5Over won
- Indiana Fever vs. New York Liberty: O/U 187.5Over won
- Spread: New York Liberty (-1.5)New York Liberty won
- Spread: New York Liberty (-2.5)New York Liberty won
- Spread: New York Liberty (-3.5)New York Liberty won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.