WNBA · resolved market
Indiana Fever vs. New York Liberty: O/U 185.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd91a16252eb5f507de6aa77cf6e717cff6518b21e7e516089b1871d8dc96f97f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,946
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,394
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,946 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Under | 36c | 3,327$1,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,209.5 | 371 | 41.2%153 W · 218 L | -13.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 75c | 989.12$744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.73 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over | 54c | 800$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368 | 269 | 53.2%143 W · 126 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Under | 48c | 611.3$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.42 | 87 | 43.7%38 W · 49 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34b8…81afbacked Over | 52c | 288.46$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.46 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -6.1wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f7…c7a2backed Over | 52c | 134.62$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.62 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa94b…ef59backed Over | 79c | 120.51$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.31 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39c1…3174backed Over | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked Over | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…eecebacked Over | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66ac…5e75backed Over | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.28 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +120.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9455…7defbacked Over | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.28 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd82…6a10backed Over | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bcd…c00fbacked Over | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.28 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf452…4d43backed Over | 52c | 95.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.72 | 68 | 61.8%42 W · 26 L | +6.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Over | 52c | 90.5$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.44 | 344 | 48%165 W · 179 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f3c…1c56backed Under | 24c | 83.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -24%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Under | 45c | 80$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 130 | 48.5%63 W · 67 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2889…edcfbacked Over | 55c | 80$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa68…ba5dbacked Over | 76c | 74.89$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.97 | 80 | 53.8%43 W · 37 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88a9…e618backed Over | 43c | 69.77$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.77 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b0…d8dbbacked Over | 43c | 69.77$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.77 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1b…85c8backed Over | 43c | 66$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.62 | 154 | 51.9%80 W · 74 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…6e8dbacked Over | 54c | 64.81$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.81 | 76 | 69.7%53 W · 23 L | +6.2wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…ab49backed Over | 43c | 58.14$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.14 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 46c | 40.06$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.43 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 54c | 25.71$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.83 | 641 | 52%333 W · 308 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 52c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccab…46f9backed Under | 48c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 49c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 246 | 56.5%139 W · 107 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 49c | 24.98$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 154 | 53.2%82 W · 72 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Indiana Fever vs. New York Liberty: O/U 185.5this page
- Aliyah Boston: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Indiana Fever vs. New York LibertyNew York Liberty won
- Indiana Fever vs. New York Liberty: O/U 186.5Over won
- Indiana Fever vs. New York Liberty: O/U 187.5Over won
- Indiana Fever vs. New York Liberty: O/U 188.5Over won
- Spread: New York Liberty (-1.5)New York Liberty won
- Spread: New York Liberty (-2.5)New York Liberty won
- Spread: New York Liberty (-3.5)New York Liberty won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.