TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa94b…ef59

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
39
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
1

Best Category: South American Leagues, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category South American Leagues at 56 out of 100; worst WNBA at 50.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Europa Conference Leaguelast resolved Aug 12, 2026, EDT2576%19 W · 6 L+2.4wins+0.10per pick66cpaid+13.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain win on 2026-08-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$34.75
FK Partizan Beograd vs. Tobyl FK: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$31.97
Hibernian FC vs. KF Shkëndija 79: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$43
Bohemian FC vs. FC Midtjylland: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$34.75
Will Beşiktaş JK win on 2026-08-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$28.29
FC Hradec Králové vs. Beşiktaş JK: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+37%+$35.51
RKS Raków Częstochowa vs. Hammarby Fotboll: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.12
Debreceni VSC vs. FC København: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$14.1
FC CFR 1907 Cluj vs. Tromsø IL: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+37%+$18.7
Noah FA vs. FC Sion: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$16.64
Noah FA vs. FC Sion: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$16.79
Helsingin JK vs. Motherwell FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+26.7%+$19.76
Will Kuopion PS vs. Universitatea Craiova CS end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$26.92
Larne FC vs. SK Iberia 1999: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Shamrock Rovers FC vs. KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+37%+$18.49
FK Auda vs. FC Dinamo City: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$6.8
FC Koper vs. NSÍ Runavík: Team to Advancebacked FC Koper · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
PFK CSKA Sofia vs. Qarabağ Ağdam FK: Team to Advancebacked Qarabağ Ağdam FK · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$54
ÍF Vestri vs. FK Rīgas Futbola Skola: Draw at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+37%+$16.64
KAA Gent vs. FK LNZ Cherkasy: Team to Advancebacked KAA Gent · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$25.57
RSC Anderlecht vs. Hammarby Fotboll: Team to Advancebacked RSC Anderlecht · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$37.72
Will KAA Gent vs. FK LNZ Cherkasy end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$16.34
Will Paksi FC win on 2026-07-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Ilves Tampere vs. UMF Stjarnan: Draw at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$33.33
FC Midtjylland vs. Beşiktaş JK: Draw at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$28.13
All 25 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Aug 8, 2026, EDT5100%5 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+46.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBAlast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick69cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
WNBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Aug 8, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
PSV vs. Fortuna Sittard: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+37%+$18.49
Celtic FC vs. Dundee FC: Draw at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$24.34
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Aug 8, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
GNK Dinamo Zagreb vs. FK Kauno Žalgiris: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$26.92
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Aug 8, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will VfL Wolfsburg vs. 1. FC Kaiserslautern end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$20.09
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.