TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

CA Platense vs. CA Talleres: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$53,197
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$59,801

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,197 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf5f9…87b0backed Over58c6,767$3,925 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,842.0418352.5%96 W · 87 L+10.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under55c3,614$1,982 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,982.335,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x41d2…d7c9backed Over42c3,585$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,084.854843.8%21 W · 27 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+15%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under44c3,190$1,401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,400.588,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd93…56c0backed Over56c2,687$1,507 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,180.1520665%134 W · 72 L+24.5wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+20.2%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under44c2,416$1,062 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,062.071,30250.2%653 W · 649 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Under41c2,356$966 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$965.969454.3%51 W · 43 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84d2…399bbacked Under10c2,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200520%1 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick15cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd8df…a2c7backed Under10c2,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200520%1 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick10cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf45…401fbacked Under14c1,786$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250633.3%2 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.20per pick14cpaid+130.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9f8a…01cdbacked Over62c1,610$1,002 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$607.373842.1%16 W · 22 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e5c…ab50backed Over56c1,468$829 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$638.616827.9%19 W · 49 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-17.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8543…ff1bbacked Under3c1,465$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.0914753.7%79 W · 68 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d67…3667backed Under8c1,448$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.0946449.6%230 W · 234 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-12.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under42c1,442$606 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$605.641,94451.3%998 W · 946 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under42c1,406$592 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$591.753,74938.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L-33.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under52c1,346$705 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$705.412,51439%980 W · 1,534 L-32.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over51c1,271$648 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$623.3175240.8%307 W · 445 L-17.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under42c1,250$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5251,23153.9%663 W · 568 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under42c1,250$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$524.981,28253.7%689 W · 593 L+5.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Over57c1,058$603 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$455.061,65150.6%836 W · 815 L-4.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over57c1,052$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$452.361,35549.7%674 W · 681 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over58c1,034$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$434.282,33551.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L+2.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2fba…fd69backed Under10c995.88$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.59911.1%1 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick15cpaid-25.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under45c992.82$443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$443.412,28134.3%782 W · 1,499 L-30.5wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe57d…bf4cbacked Under3c833.33$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2511817.8%21 W · 97 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-50.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2035…dc1cbacked Under2c526.87$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.541612.5%2 W · 14 L-2.5wins-0.16per pick28cpaid-70.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under5c394$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.51,53745.2%695 W · 842 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under43c355.98$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.749136.3%178 W · 313 L-2.2wins0.00per pick37cpaid+7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0fa9…09fabacked Over58c344.91$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.3410635.8%38 W · 68 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick31cpaid+106.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x84d4…77a9backed Under32c330.21$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.2633152.6%174 W · 157 L+8.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x789c…0d10backed Under46c316.47$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.2555250.2%277 W · 275 L+1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over73c302.64$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.151,25356.2%704 W · 549 L+73.3wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb8c6…7b39backed Under46c226.04$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.3821044.3%93 W · 117 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x42c7…c415backed Under11c214.43$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.218760.9%53 W · 34 L+6.3wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+1.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xad31…c93abacked Over55c193.15$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.923438.2%13 W · 21 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-32.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d39…ba51backed Over58c172.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.411080%8 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.13per pick67cpaid+23.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb4bf…60f8backed Under25c170.4$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.6950656.3%285 W · 221 L+9.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Over54c154.78$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.6253836.8%198 W · 340 L-24.0wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-24.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9028…8608backed Under46c148.82$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.4660156.2%338 W · 263 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x191f…4a8dbacked Over62c138.34$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.9519447.9%93 W · 101 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8152…5b51backed Under37c135.14$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5012850%64 W · 64 L+0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b6e…f544backed Under17c129.53$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.3864633.1%214 W · 432 L-24.8wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-19.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf38c…d9f2backed Over50c128.4$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.21050%5 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe90…5bbbbacked Over58c124.98$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.49366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+11.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fa1…bf73backed Over51c120.94$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.5325147.8%120 W · 131 L+11.0wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe84f…b777backed Under23c113.59$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.6969453.5%371 W · 323 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Under42c108.38$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.4855946%257 W · 302 L-19.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0977…53ccbacked Under42c99.52$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.815554.2%84 W · 71 L+9.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+16.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf79d…0289backed Over66c94.89$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.897467.6%50 W · 24 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick70cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Under44c93.63$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.5195155.8%531 W · 420 L+31.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa94b…ef59backed Over58c68.97$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.975100%5 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+46.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9b4e…150cbacked Under49c66.19$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.311747.1%8 W · 9 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick40cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6be9…5998backed Over76c60.5$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.5417440.2%70 W · 104 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1425…3bc8backed Under46c59.53$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.242065%13 W · 7 L+2.4wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+33.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6dfe…d954backed Under46c57.73$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.591947.4%9 W · 10 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+35.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1134…47e5backed Over71c56.34$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.34771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick70cpaid+6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6dd…7af9backed Under24c54.87$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.1511155%61 W · 50 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+4.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3654…1b78backed Under41c53.64$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.841262.1%256 W · 156 L+13.7wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+0.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4b9b…7a9fbacked Under28c52.88$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.864372.1%31 W · 12 L+5.9wins+0.14per pick58cpaid+16.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf497…5ce0backed Over63c51$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.8744939.2%176 W · 273 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under41c50.92$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.132,61154.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5974…5c32backed Over67c50$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.51973.7%14 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick65cpaid+13.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd8fa…581fbacked Under30c47.74$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4210458.7%61 W · 43 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadd8…53c9backed Under42c47.62$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202944.8%13 W · 16 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x345c…b59dbacked Over54c46.29$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.294456.8%25 W · 19 L-0.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e50…c665backed Over60c44.57$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.037542.7%32 W · 43 L-0.3wins0.00per pick43cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29d4…5d18backed Under48c34.87$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.7715364.1%98 W · 55 L+14.4wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+18.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x12c8…20d5backed Over50c32.3$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.152060%12 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick66cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Over59c32$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.1245746.8%214 W · 243 L+13.9wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x61ad…1cc0backed Over58c30$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.61353.8%7 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba00…527bbacked Under42c29.88$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.551643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-33.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3c52…99e1backed Over71c29.58$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.586877.9%53 W · 15 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick75cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x33a5…3da0backed Over58c28.13$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.812100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+59.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9a28…eff6backed Over57c26.32$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.321241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-28.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x15ee…81b5backed Over58c25.86$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.861770.6%12 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick65cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd819…2d80backed Under42c25$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.514563.4%92 W · 53 L+5.9wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Under44c23.73$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.4467548%324 W · 351 L-18.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfeef…4b1fbacked Over56c21.48$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.4526465.9%174 W · 90 L+13.6wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+7.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc6a6…9458backed Over58c21.13$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.87366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.30per pick37cpaid+30.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3bfa…5e79backed Over71c19.72$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.721154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdaee…8559backed Over76c18.14$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.367262.5%45 W · 27 L+6.9wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+8.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.