TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

CA Platense vs. CA Talleres: 1st Half O/U 0.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$10,393
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$12,353

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,393 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x67bf…f983backed Under6c1,667$100 inLost-$10011125.2%28 W · 83 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick23cpaid+21%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe57d…bf4cbacked Under4c1,338$53 inLost-$52.911817.8%21 W · 97 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-50.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xba57…1e84backed Over19c1,000$190 inWon+$8101844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Under42c899.99$374 inLost-$3745446.3%25 W · 29 L-7.6wins-0.14per pick60cpaid-28.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x0fa9…09fabacked Under5c862.11$40 inLost-$40.4810635.8%38 W · 68 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick31cpaid+106.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under77c843.58$652 inLost-$651.898,11248.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L+27.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over58c615.83$358 inWon+$258.111,94551.3%998 W · 947 L+40.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f84…67efbacked Over61c398.16$241 inWon+$157.265721.1%12 W · 45 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick26cpaid-33%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Over19c334.06$63 inWon+$270.5946530.3%141 W · 324 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under40c299.12$120 inLost-$119.6551749.9%258 W · 259 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8ef…2864backed Under40c264.06$106 inLost-$106.2415045.3%68 W · 82 L+7.0wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+20.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x03f0…3b57backed Under79c245.57$194 inLost-$19410%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.79per pick79cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9c5b…ec01backed Over59c226.48$134 inWon+$92.527847.4%37 W · 41 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Under39c150$59 inLost-$58.541654.3%226 W · 190 L+11.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1a86…0079backed Under41c122.34$50 inLost-$506543.1%28 W · 37 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick38cpaid-4.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf6f7…c7a2backed Over58c120.69$70 inWon+$50.692552%13 W · 12 L-2.1wins-0.08per pick60cpaid+4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x19d8…965abacked Over15c118.91$18 inWon+$100.99026.7%24 W · 66 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick23cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Over60c85$51 inWon+$3416160.9%98 W · 63 L+8.7wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+6.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2a0f…d336backed Under40c85$34 inLost-$3430%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb8c6…7b39backed Over61c64.36$39 inWon+$25.121044.3%93 W · 117 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9930…696ebacked Over60c51.4$31 inWon+$20.5619340.4%78 W · 115 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick43cpaid+4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xffac…d469backed Over45c49.98$22 inWon+$27.4910055%55 W · 45 L+5.6wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdeda…8e35backed Under52c28.87$15 inLost-$14.991741.2%7 W · 10 L-2.6wins-0.15per pick56cpaid-25.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe90f…a908backed Over60c22.37$13 inWon+$8.955848.3%28 W · 30 L-4.5wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-16%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.