South American Leagues · resolved market
CA Platense vs. CA Talleres: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe0c2c8d905b2cc7a65dd19a0fffddce92a8e509d421308af218773eb831ae1f1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,827
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,403
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,827 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2ec5…fd53backed Under | 73c | 5,314$3,856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,457.46 | 200 | 36.5%73 W · 127 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e78…067ebacked Under | 64c | 3,457$2,211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,245.13 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 26c | 1,766$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.24 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 10c | 1,237$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.83 | 517 | 50.7%262 W · 255 L | +28.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 70c | 1,220$859 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.81 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 33c | 1,168$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.47 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e39…352cbacked Over | 6c | 1,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 104 | 26.9%28 W · 76 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde39…2fa1backed Over | 44c | 909.49$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.68 | 108 | 28.7%31 W · 77 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4348…f08abacked Over | 37c | 503.26$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.17 | 111 | 43.2%48 W · 63 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 10c | 256.05$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.6 | 1,038 | 49.4%513 W · 525 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb964…033ebacked Over | 35c | 238.45$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.46 | 113 | 54.9%62 W · 51 L | +10.5wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +28%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 37c | 235.3$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.91 | 538 | 36.8%198 W · 340 L | -24.0wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2918…fe4abacked Over | 19c | 200$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 12c | 193.26$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.83 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 60c | 180.94$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.81 | 898 | 46.1%414 W · 484 L | -11.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 13c | 158.8$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.04 | 269 | 65.4%176 W · 93 L | +48.9wins | +0.18per pick | 47cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 68+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 13c | 153.8$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 313 | 55.6%174 W · 139 L | +24.8wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 13c | 153.8$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 336 | 58.3%196 W · 140 L | +32.4wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 32c | 153.57$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.93 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…965abacked Over | 16c | 137.74$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.47 | 90 | 26.7%24 W · 66 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Over | 18c | 105$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 352 | 46.9%165 W · 187 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb209…b744backed Over | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.9 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 33cpaid | -80.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf51…8bfabacked Over | 29c | 98.33$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 11c | 94.71$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 896 | 45.4%407 W · 489 L | -23.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Under | 73c | 91.24$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.51 | 464 | 49.6%230 W · 234 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Under | 73c | 89.06$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.22 | 331 | 52.6%174 W · 157 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8543…ff1bbacked Under | 73c | 66.68$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.28 | 147 | 53.7%79 W · 68 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Over | 28c | 52.13$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 506 | 56.3%285 W · 221 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 72c | 37.47$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.39 | 951 | 55.8%531 W · 420 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 34c | 33.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.28 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd033…d4c6backed Under | 65c | 33.22$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.63 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a2b…3e5cbacked Under | 80c | 31$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 63 | 31.7%20 W · 43 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 61c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 217 | 52.1%113 W · 104 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c52…99e1backed Under | 77c | 27.17$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.17 | 68 | 77.9%53 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 75cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 59c | 26.55$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.01 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed Over | 39c | 26.23$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.23 | 75 | 42.7%32 W · 43 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 72c | 25.5$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.06 | 601 | 56.2%338 W · 263 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1603…913bbacked Under | 63c | 24.06$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +62%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fa…581fbacked Under | 73c | 17.96$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.82 | 104 | 58.7%61 W · 43 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9b…7a9fbacked Under | 74c | 17.65$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.68 | 43 | 72.1%31 W · 12 L | +5.9wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x42c7…c415backed Under | 75c | 14.29$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.53 | 87 | 60.9%53 W · 34 L | +6.3wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CA Platense vs. CA Talleres: O/U 4.5this page
- CA Platense vs. CA Talleres: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- CA Platense vs. CA Talleres: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- CA Platense vs. CA Talleres: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- CA Platense vs. CA Talleres: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- CA Platense vs. CA Talleres: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- CA Platense vs. CA Talleres: CA Platense O/U 2.5Under won
- CA Platense vs. CA Talleres: CA Talleres 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- CA Platense vs. CA Talleres: O/U 0.5Over won
- CA Platense vs. CA Talleres: O/U 1.5Over won
- CA Platense vs. CA Talleres: O/U 2.5Over won
- CA Platense vs. CA Talleres: O/U 3.5Over won
- CA Platense vs. CA Talleres: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: CA Platense (-1.5)CA Talleres won
- Spread: CA Platense (-2.5)CA Talleres won
- Spread: CA Talleres (-1.5)CA Talleres won
- Spread: CA Talleres (-2.5)CA Talleres won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.