South American Leagues · resolved market
CA Platense vs. CA Talleres: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa4ed8085993475b1bd3cce1082227f749229674d2cc15bd2b07f1742bf81083b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,044
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,184
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,044 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0dbe…9013backed Over | 32c | 3,124$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,134.43 | 185 | 43.2%80 W · 105 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ee…b3aabacked Under | 52c | 2,136$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,119.74 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 31c | 1,273$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$884.47 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 48c | 1,032$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.57 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 70c | 985.77$689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$688.82 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 68c | 882$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.76 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 68c | 882$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.76 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 69c | 869$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.61 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde39…2fa1backed Over | 47c | 833.32$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.66 | 108 | 28.7%31 W · 77 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 69c | 712.53$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.07 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Under | 69c | 668.32$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.14 | 161 | 60.9%98 W · 63 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeddf…a953backed Over | 31c | 645.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.16 | 73 | 32.9%24 W · 49 L | -5.0wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 69c | 468.59$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.44 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over | 31c | 318$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.42 | 491 | 36.3%178 W · 313 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 68c | 302.85$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.45 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Over | 71c | 249.04$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.34 | 246 | 65.9%162 W · 84 L | +26.2wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under | 12c | 245.93$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.1 | 184 | 26.1%48 W · 136 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Under | 69c | 230$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.8 | 106 | 51.9%55 W · 51 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 68c | 209.99$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.23 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7b39backed Over | 31c | 191.32$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.01 | 210 | 44.3%93 W · 117 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Under | 69c | 163.47$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.06 | 559 | 46%257 W · 302 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…2864backed Over | 31c | 150$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.5 | 150 | 45.3%68 W · 82 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb964…033ebacked Under | 50c | 105$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 113 | 54.9%62 W · 51 L | +10.5wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +28%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0977…53ccbacked Over | 30c | 103.33$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.33 | 155 | 54.2%84 W · 71 L | +9.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 71c | 86.9$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.91 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Over | 31c | 78.7$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.66 | 464 | 49.6%230 W · 234 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe904…44e9backed Under | 68c | 69.62$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.34 | 182 | 47.8%87 W · 95 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Over | 31c | 64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.45 | 720 | 58.8%423 W · 297 L | +29.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf51…8bfabacked Over | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.3 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57f6…ba20backed Over | 47c | 55$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.15 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Over | 31c | 54.3$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.71 | 506 | 56.3%285 W · 221 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Over | 31c | 52.48$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.45 | 694 | 53.5%371 W · 323 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Over | 31c | 51.6$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.84 | 331 | 52.6%174 W · 157 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 50c | 50.36$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.18 | 538 | 36.8%198 W · 340 L | -24.0wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Over | 32c | 50$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 382 | 33%126 W · 256 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55a3…fd93backed Over | 30c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d9c…601abacked Over | 25c | 49.64$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.23 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 70c | 40$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 424 | 62.3%264 W · 160 L | +24.4wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f81…2bb7backed Under | 68c | 40$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.2 | 242 | 57%138 W · 104 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed Over | 28c | 36.53$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.3 | 75 | 42.7%32 W · 43 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a5a…3427backed Under | 69c | 30$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 74 | 63.5%47 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe32…960bbacked Under | 71c | 28.21$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8859…89d6backed Under | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 65 | 61.5%40 W · 25 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 69c | 26$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.94 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 66c | 25.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.15 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 47c | 22.76$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.06 | 336 | 58.3%196 W · 140 L | +32.4wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 70c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 217 | 52.1%113 W · 104 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CA Platense vs. CA Talleres: O/U 2.5this page
- CA Platense vs. CA Talleres: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- CA Platense vs. CA Talleres: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- CA Platense vs. CA Talleres: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- CA Platense vs. CA Talleres: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- CA Platense vs. CA Talleres: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- CA Platense vs. CA Talleres: CA Platense O/U 2.5Under won
- CA Platense vs. CA Talleres: CA Talleres 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- CA Platense vs. CA Talleres: O/U 0.5Over won
- CA Platense vs. CA Talleres: O/U 1.5Over won
- CA Platense vs. CA Talleres: O/U 3.5Over won
- CA Platense vs. CA Talleres: O/U 4.5Under won
- CA Platense vs. CA Talleres: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: CA Platense (-1.5)CA Talleres won
- Spread: CA Platense (-2.5)CA Talleres won
- Spread: CA Talleres (-1.5)CA Talleres won
- Spread: CA Talleres (-2.5)CA Talleres won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.