South American Leagues · resolved market
Spread: CA Talleres (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3183ada8ca532490eb7fdfadc6ca48a61651bb51726d29928624b189dfa33a5c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- CA Talleresof CA Talleres, CA Platense
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,206
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,241
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,206 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed CA Talleres | 14c | 3,075$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,653.44 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed CA Talleres | 10c | 2,939$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,647.4 | 347 | 47.6%165 W · 182 L | +17.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba1d…d326backed CA Talleres | 76c | 2,080$1,586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.09 | 126 | 46%58 W · 68 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed CA Talleres | 29c | 1,437$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,019.28 | 300 | 48%144 W · 156 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x851b…961ebacked CA Talleres | 23c | 1,348$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,037.83 | 61 | 31.1%19 W · 42 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed CA Platense | 77c | 707.78$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544.99 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked CA Talleres | 23c | 554.91$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.28 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed CA Platense | 56c | 314.97$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.55 | 464 | 49.6%230 W · 234 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed CA Platense | 24c | 292.81$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.62 | 824 | 34.5%284 W · 540 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8543…ff1bbacked CA Platense | 48c | 213.55$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.12 | 147 | 53.7%79 W · 68 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed CA Talleres | 19c | 167.14$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.22 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked CA Talleres | 23c | 158.87$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.33 | 290 | 47.6%138 W · 152 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed CA Talleres | 71c | 142.34$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.48 | 538 | 36.8%198 W · 340 L | -24.0wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed CA Talleres | 19c | 68.26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.29 | 646 | 33.1%214 W · 432 L | -24.8wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…7af9backed CA Platense | 67c | 45.17$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.16 | 111 | 55%61 W · 50 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf40a…ea0abacked CA Talleres | 54c | 42.27$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.41 | 82 | 68.3%56 W · 26 L | +8.6wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked CA Talleres | 64c | 41.95$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.1 | 292 | 45.2%132 W · 160 L | -24.0wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x42c7…c415backed CA Platense | 58c | 34.34$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.82 | 87 | 60.9%53 W · 34 L | +6.3wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29d4…5d18backed CA Platense | 80c | 30.58$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.46 | 153 | 64.1%98 W · 55 L | +14.4wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fa…581fbacked CA Platense | 71c | 27.73$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.64 | 104 | 58.7%61 W · 43 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: CA Talleres (-1.5)this page
- CA Platense vs. CA Talleres: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- CA Platense vs. CA Talleres: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- CA Platense vs. CA Talleres: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- CA Platense vs. CA Talleres: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- CA Platense vs. CA Talleres: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- CA Platense vs. CA Talleres: CA Platense O/U 2.5Under won
- CA Platense vs. CA Talleres: CA Talleres 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- CA Platense vs. CA Talleres: O/U 0.5Over won
- CA Platense vs. CA Talleres: O/U 1.5Over won
- CA Platense vs. CA Talleres: O/U 2.5Over won
- CA Platense vs. CA Talleres: O/U 3.5Over won
- CA Platense vs. CA Talleres: O/U 4.5Under won
- CA Platense vs. CA Talleres: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: CA Platense (-1.5)CA Talleres won
- Spread: CA Platense (-2.5)CA Talleres won
- Spread: CA Talleres (-2.5)CA Talleres won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.