Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will KAA Gent vs. FK LNZ Cherkasy end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x66b21ab8a34cf10a8dfbb23b766d17865f4b8daa61bde010ac7c7b17e4a94a11
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $40,087
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,135
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,087 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 54c | 32,999$17,905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,904.66 | 558 | 45%251 W · 307 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 35c | 16,873$5,913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,960.3 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 56c | 15,293$8,554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,739.03 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 58c | 900.57$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.53 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked No | 32c | 798.38$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.75 | 314 | 30.3%95 W · 219 L | -15.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed No | 65c | 566$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.9 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -4.5wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3740…a935backed Yes | 79c | 500$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107 | 127 | 70.9%90 W · 37 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x496b…79a8backed Yes | 59c | 492.49$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.92 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 64cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 51c | 456.87$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.99 | 769 | 41.9%322 W · 447 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes | 63c | 448$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.54 | 535 | 64.7%346 W · 189 L | +29.1wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Yes | 41c | 321.37$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.14 | 318 | 56%178 W · 140 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 21c | 302.08$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.5 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Yes | 66c | 299.39$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.22 | 299 | 59.5%178 W · 121 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed No | 65c | 267.5$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.88 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f45…e6a7backed Yes | 27c | 222.22$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.22 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57ee…7b80backed Yes | 21c | 208$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.32 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 79c | 208$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.32 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b2…ee5bbacked Yes | 26c | 200$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6868…24f0backed Yes | 31c | 200$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 207 | 40.1%83 W · 124 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Yes | 34c | 171.28$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.35 | 580 | 61.9%359 W · 221 L | +22.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd331…733cbacked Yes | 26c | 170$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.57 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Yes | 26c | 158$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.92 | 80 | 47.5%38 W · 42 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Yes | 34c | 152.9$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.22 | 852 | 60.9%519 W · 333 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 74c | 150$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 778 | 55%428 W · 350 L | +23.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 8c | 129.97$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 795 | 32.2%256 W · 539 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeeaa…15cebacked Yes | 34c | 117.1$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.1 | 65 | 36.9%24 W · 41 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Yes | 47c | 100.61$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.01 | 134 | 67.9%91 W · 43 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked No | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 158 | 28.5%45 W · 113 L | -18.5wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Yes | 47c | 97.65$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.86 | 296 | 54.1%160 W · 136 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…c544backed No | 73c | 96$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.08 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfeef…4b1fbacked Yes | 68c | 93$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.59 | 88 | 69.3%61 W · 27 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1671…2f6dbacked Yes | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 74c | 79.62$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.92 | 919 | 50.9%468 W · 451 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba00…527bbacked Yes | 41c | 66.98$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.52 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa94b…ef59backed Yes | 71c | 56.34$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.34 | 25 | 76%19 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.10per pick | 66cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed No | 74c | 54.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.04 | 134 | 50%67 W · 67 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc90a…1834backed Yes | 62c | 48.72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.72 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc56b…3afdbacked Yes | 36c | 33$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.06 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed No | 65c | 24.62$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x829a…a748backed Yes | 67c | 18.64$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.17 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed No | 74c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 111 | 68.5%76 W · 35 L | +10.6wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked No | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 99 | 58.6%58 W · 41 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will KAA Gent vs. FK LNZ Cherkasy end in a draw?this page
- Will FK LNZ Cherkasy win on 2026-07-30?No won
- Will KAA Gent win on 2026-07-30?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.