Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will KAA Gent win on 2026-07-30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaa89c2b2679f75ba446d3420bf577189d6276cc0d7e785cb857739be40aaae74
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,256
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,247
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,256 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 47c | 728.95$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.79 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 73c | 608.65$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.11 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 2c | 605$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.15 | 795 | 32.2%256 W · 539 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb502…9d8bbacked Yes | 62c | 550.79$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee0…d6a6backed Yes | 41c | 500$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -22%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked No | 40c | 494.8$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.88 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 12c | 418.4$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 274 | 37.2%102 W · 172 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 26c | 338.35$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.87 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf353…692abacked Yes | 60c | 333.33$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd03…df4abacked Yes | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 44 | 27.3%12 W · 32 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6868…24f0backed Yes | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 207 | 40.1%83 W · 124 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b2…ee5bbacked Yes | 60c | 196.67$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 35c | 192.29$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.99 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 39c | 175.5$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.83 | 919 | 50.9%468 W · 451 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8492…f17cbacked Yes | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 46c | 158$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.41 | 380 | 47.4%180 W · 200 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 37c | 147.2$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.28 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked No | 73c | 134.39$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.32 | 314 | 30.3%95 W · 219 L | -15.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2a…65dcbacked Yes | 61c | 107.8$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.76 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Yes | 61c | 100$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 154 | 59.1%91 W · 63 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Yes | 36c | 99.98$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.34 | 158 | 28.5%45 W · 113 L | -18.5wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…c544backed No | 50c | 98$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.92 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 66c | 91.28$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.42 | 1,114 | 35.8%399 W · 715 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 39c | 86.86$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.99 | 778 | 55%428 W · 350 L | +23.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes | 26c | 84.17$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.26 | 558 | 45%251 W · 307 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 37c | 82.01$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.35 | 1,033 | 46.1%476 W · 557 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2217…1660backed Yes | 46c | 80$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.8 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f99…cc23backed Yes | 66c | 76$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.16 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 56c | 66.17$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.88 | 116 | 50.9%59 W · 57 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee8a…69acbacked Yes | 60c | 46.28$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.77 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6796…453fbacked Yes | 33c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a98…dc9cbacked Yes | 67c | 37.31$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbef0…69c8backed Yes | 46c | 36.69$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 46 | 28.3%13 W · 33 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed No | 78c | 33.36$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.29 | 318 | 56%178 W · 140 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a0a…c19ebacked Yes | 46c | 30.41$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c8…023abacked Yes | 62c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed No | 38c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 381 | 44.1%168 W · 213 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed Yes | 35c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 170 | 59.4%101 W · 69 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked No | 39c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.3 | 218 | 40.4%88 W · 130 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Yes | 64c | 17.65$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.36 | 655 | 49.8%326 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked Yes | 64c | 16.2$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.37 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -4.3wins | -0.13per pick | 59cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd331…733cbacked Yes | 67c | 15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will KAA Gent win on 2026-07-30?this page
- Will FK LNZ Cherkasy win on 2026-07-30?No won
- Will KAA Gent vs. FK LNZ Cherkasy end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.