TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0f99…cc23

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
65
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 57 out of 100; worst Music at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT4273.8%31 W · 11 L+4.1wins+0.10per pick64cpaid+21.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 42 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$35.76
France vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+29%+$14.52
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+91.3%+$105.04
Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advancebacked Brazil · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.7
Canada vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Morocco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+37%+$18.49
Australia vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Egypt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$17.33
Portugal vs. Croatia: Team to Advancebacked Portugal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+37.9%+$37.93
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Netherlands · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.1
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.1
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$46
Panama vs. England: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$19.5
Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$41
Will France win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$20.42
Spread: Netherlands (-1.5)backed Netherlands · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$17.57
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$17.57
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$26.92
Morocco vs. Haiti: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$28.13
France vs. Iraq: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$30.22
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$22.46
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$30.65
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spread: Spain (-1.5)backed Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$14.94
Showing 25 of 42 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 24, 2026, EST666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick69cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennislast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference Leaguelast resolved Aug 12, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick66cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+81.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fulham FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$38.74
Spread: Aston Villa FC (-1.5)backed Manchester United FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+44.9%+$15.5
All 2 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
F1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Ligalast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-31.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-08-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+37%+$22.95
FC Barcelona vs. CA Osasuna: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 2 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.85per pick15cpaid+566.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+566.7%+$595
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 27, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SV Werder Bremen vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+100%+$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 15, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Suns vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+42.9%+$28.62
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Gold (GC) Up or Down on February 17?backed Down · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+28.6%+$28.13
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ukraine finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.93
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.