Europa Conference League · resolved market
FC København vs. FK Polissia: Team to Advance
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb81d1fc11d83ca69395542fbdb65781972bd0401d745bfb84c8095d6ef857c05
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FC Københavnof FC København, FK Polissia
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,527
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,541
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,527 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed FK Polissia | 25c | 5,021$1,278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,278.38 | 1,114 | 35.8%399 W · 715 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60c1…0438backed FC København | 75c | 3,000$2,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb82b…fc60backed FK Polissia | 23c | 1,545$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.43 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed FC København | 74c | 1,459$1,082 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.54 | 381 | 44.1%168 W · 213 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca97…49f6backed FK Polissia | 26c | 1,147$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed FC København | 73c | 1,071$782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.26 | 1,039 | 50%520 W · 519 L | +26.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9709…52abbacked FC København | 76c | 990.91$751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.3 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe2…9645backed FC København | 77c | 974.03$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.03 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 73cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed FC København | 78c | 872.96$683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.17 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed FK Polissia | 25c | 819.51$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.44 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeddb…41bcbacked FC København | 77c | 629.99$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 77cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd169…8ff6backed FK Polissia | 26c | 575$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e4…b626backed FK Polissia | 25c | 517.93$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57ef…044abacked FK Polissia | 22c | 502.29$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.5 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2230…69e5backed FK Polissia | 23c | 404.35$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a5…3249backed FK Polissia | 27c | 376.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed FK Polissia | 22c | 312.49$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.75 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed FK Polissia | 28c | 311.18$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.27 | 1,022 | 47.5%485 W · 537 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed FK Polissia | 23c | 306.69$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.72 | 29 | 17.2%5 W · 24 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -59%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked FC København | 77c | 259.74$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.74 | 274 | 37.2%102 W · 172 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked FK Polissia | 29c | 240$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.6 | 880 | 48.2%424 W · 456 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba3e…4cbcbacked FC København | 77c | 194.81$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde0e…e5bcbacked FC København | 74c | 120$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf934…8858backed FK Polissia | 26c | 120$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf17…5c20backed FK Polissia | 10c | 110$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed FC København | 76c | 106.37$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.72 | 393 | 57.5%226 W · 167 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x012d…9db6backed FC København | 79c | 101.62$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.62 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 72cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8262…eddebacked FK Polissia | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc39…398abacked FK Polissia | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked FK Polissia | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 638 | 57.2%365 W · 273 L | +35.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d38…cc4ebacked FK Polissia | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x626f…cdfabacked FK Polissia | 24c | 99.98$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.99 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0aba…1910backed FC København | 76c | 98.65$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.65 | 21 | 81%17 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 73cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b11…6f75backed FC København | 77c | 97.4$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.4 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 72cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7345…4b28backed FC København | 79c | 94.88$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.07 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 76cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x422c…9840backed FK Polissia | 25c | 81.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.33 | 42 | 19%8 W · 34 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0e…8d7dbacked FK Polissia | 23c | 75.13$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.28 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f99…cc23backed FC København | 74c | 70$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4c1…1630backed FK Polissia | 27c | 62.96$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5913…3bbebacked FC København | 77c | 51.95$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.95 | 107 | 61.7%66 W · 41 L | +7.0wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked FK Polissia | 23c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 142 | 33.1%47 W · 95 L | -9.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfce…5c3ebacked FK Polissia | 23c | 47.51$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.93 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.18per pick | 41cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x63a3…0d0cbacked FC København | 75c | 45$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +60.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed FC København | 78c | 34$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.48 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1934…474cbacked FC København | 75c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 74cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc9…a105backed FC København | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 76cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x487c…75a4backed FC København | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4c5…c8c1backed FC København | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 13 | 92.3%12 W · 1 L | +2.9wins | +0.22per pick | 70cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9c96…5099backed FC København | 76c | 19.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.74 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f15…a670backed FC København | 76c | 16.45$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.95 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked FC København | 73c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.05 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC København vs. FK Polissia: Team to Advancethis page
- FC København vs. FK Polissia: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- FC København vs. FK Polissia: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- FC København vs. FK Polissia: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- FC København vs. FK Polissia: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- FC København vs. FK Polissia: FC København O/U 1.5Over won
- FC København vs. FK Polissia: FC København O/U 2.5Under won
- FC København vs. FK Polissia: FK Polissia 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- FC København vs. FK Polissia: FK Polissia O/U 2.5Under won
- FC København vs. FK Polissia: O/U 0.5Over won
- FC København vs. FK Polissia: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC København vs. FK Polissia: O/U 2.5Over won
- FC København vs. FK Polissia: O/U 3.5Under won
- FC København vs. FK Polissia: O/U 4.5Under won
- FC København vs. FK Polissia: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: FC København (-1.5)FK Polissia won
- Spread: FC København (-2.5)FK Polissia won
- Spread: FK Polissia (-1.5)FC København won
- Spread: FK Polissia (-2.5)FC København won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.