Europa Conference League · resolved market
FC København vs. FK Polissia: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x37068af57935d5370586349a9cea2225e12bf2e81056ec745886ddf5bed0d401
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $40,726
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $47,826
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,726 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe6ee…b3aabacked Under | 49c | 4,049$1,971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,970.54 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41d2…d7c9backed Over | 55c | 3,636$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,636.36 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 55c | 2,899$1,589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,588.99 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 45c | 2,100$937 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$937.14 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 48c | 2,074$989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,084.89 | 558 | 45%251 W · 307 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7c…4cbfbacked Over | 50c | 1,964$982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$982.15 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 49c | 1,935$941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$993.84 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 38c | 1,840$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,139.54 | 57 | 29.8%17 W · 40 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 43c | 1,547$671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670.9 | 1,033 | 46.1%476 W · 557 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 46c | 1,503$691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$812.62 | 769 | 41.9%322 W · 447 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 63c | 1,162$732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.87 | 128 | 32.8%42 W · 86 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5902…59fabacked Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x744c…e37fbacked Under | 70c | 996.69$694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$693.77 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61d4…3593backed Under | 62c | 829.66$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.46 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96ea…639abacked Under | 59c | 705.86$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.31 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10a6…4d8bbacked Over | 54c | 593.31$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.92 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 63c | 545.21$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.73 | 1,039 | 50%520 W · 519 L | +26.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4348…f08abacked Under | 45c | 530.17$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.57 | 56 | 62.5%35 W · 21 L | +6.6wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xea83…e0ccbacked Under | 62c | 459.67$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -15%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 48c | 377.93$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.82 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 36c | 316.35$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.62 | 441 | 56%247 W · 194 L | +22.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c8c…01c9backed Under | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.24per pick | 41cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xced1…280ebacked Over | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +3.2wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +58.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa4a6…c03bbacked Over | 55c | 272.73$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.73 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 48c | 242.93$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.98 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb185…48c1backed Under | 36c | 220$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.2 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.21per pick | 38cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7b…eac6backed Over | 68c | 211.13$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.56 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -3.4wins | -0.15per pick | 56cpaid | -26%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfdae…6ad2backed Over | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 206 | 60.2%124 W · 82 L | -15.2wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x488c…a2dabacked Over | 65c | 153.69$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.69 | 87 | 50.6%44 W · 43 L | -6.8wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe065…df75backed Over | 64c | 148.92$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.93 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5630…6ca8backed Over | 60c | 125$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 64cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde39…2fa1backed Over | 16c | 125$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +59.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x042d…0b81backed Under | 41c | 103.6$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.47 | 125 | 48%60 W · 65 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Under | 62c | 97.42$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.21 | 351 | 46.2%162 W · 189 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 54c | 93.9$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.79 | 852 | 60.9%519 W · 333 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb595…5922backed Over | 70c | 92.3$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.67 | 42 | 90.5%38 W · 4 L | +10.6wins | +0.25per pick | 65cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e1…b1aebacked Under | 53c | 88.12$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.05 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d23…251cbacked Under | 57c | 85.23$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.52 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Over | 49c | 85$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.45 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Under | 46c | 83.73$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.77 | 318 | 56%178 W · 140 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 45c | 82.84$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.31 | 335 | 22.4%75 W · 260 L | -43.5wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1372…4ce0backed Over | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 59c | 78.6$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.84 | 1,114 | 35.8%399 W · 715 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8543…ff1bbacked Under | 45c | 62.39$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.08 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66bf…07e8backed Over | 42c | 57.14$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.14 | 102 | 38.2%39 W · 63 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc595…994dbacked Under | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x62d5…bc0cbacked Over | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.85 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a5…307abacked Over | 63c | 47.64$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.64 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -32%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…d72dbacked Over | 63c | 47.62$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.62 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 70cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Under | 41c | 46.34$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 118 | 33.9%40 W · 78 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8490…3243backed Over | 63c | 46.03$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.03 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Over | 48c | 45.51$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.85 | 191 | 63.4%121 W · 70 L | +10.5wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 55c | 45.44$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.82 | 580 | 61.9%359 W · 221 L | +22.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Over | 48c | 43$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.28 | 535 | 64.7%346 W · 189 L | +29.1wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Over | 47c | 40.9$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 393 | 57.5%226 W · 167 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf98…0924backed Over | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf504…0111backed Under | 62c | 36.13$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.44 | 36 | 72.2%26 W · 10 L | +3.1wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 35c | 35.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.64 | 501 | 54.7%274 W · 227 L | +20.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd68e…8048backed Over | 63c | 32.61$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.07 | 59 | 71.2%42 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Under | 46c | 26.34$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.09 | 278 | 46.4%129 W · 149 L | -12.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 46c | 26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.96 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d9…1059backed Over | 54c | 26$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.96 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +26%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91e7…6716backed Under | 46c | 25.2$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Under | 45c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 239 | 50.2%120 W · 119 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2ab…0dc8backed Over | 63c | 23.81$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.81 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Over | 63c | 23.47$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.75 | 334 | 46.7%156 W · 178 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb700…5a62backed Over | 62c | 20.47$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC København vs. FK Polissia: O/U 2.5this page
- FC København vs. FK Polissia: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- FC København vs. FK Polissia: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- FC København vs. FK Polissia: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- FC København vs. FK Polissia: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- FC København vs. FK Polissia: FC København O/U 1.5Over won
- FC København vs. FK Polissia: FC København O/U 2.5Under won
- FC København vs. FK Polissia: FK Polissia 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- FC København vs. FK Polissia: FK Polissia O/U 2.5Under won
- FC København vs. FK Polissia: O/U 0.5Over won
- FC København vs. FK Polissia: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC København vs. FK Polissia: O/U 3.5Under won
- FC København vs. FK Polissia: O/U 4.5Under won
- FC København vs. FK Polissia: O/U 5.5Under won
- FC København vs. FK Polissia: Team to AdvanceFC København won
- Spread: FC København (-1.5)FK Polissia won
- Spread: FC København (-2.5)FK Polissia won
- Spread: FK Polissia (-1.5)FC København won
- Spread: FK Polissia (-2.5)FC København won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.