TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc595…994d

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
253
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: NBA, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 59 out of 100; worst Other European Leagues at 49.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT14526.2%38 W · 107 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-21.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 145 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will England win on 2026-07-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$148.78
Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.42
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advancebacked Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.9
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$222Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+71.4%+$158.36
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Norway vs. England: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.7
Will England win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$355Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$355.15
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$131.67
Norway vs. England: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+715.8%+$293.68
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$340Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$488.67
Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$139.14
France vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$199.99
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advancebacked Colombia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.56
Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Mexico vs. England: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+37%+$36.91
Mexico vs. England: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.88
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Brazil vs. Norway: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+197.1%+$59.12
Paraguay vs. France: O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.93
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advancebacked Cabo Verde · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Australia vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Australia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Australia vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.96
Portugal vs. Croatia: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.52
Showing 25 of 145 picks, newest first.
South American Leagueslast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT6230.6%19 W · 43 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick27cpaid+15.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 62 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
CA Huracán vs. CD Riestra: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will Clube do Remo win on 2026-08-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.23
Will Estudiantes de La Plata win on 2026-08-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$194.11
Santos FC vs. CSyD Macará: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.87
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-08-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.47
Will CA Huracán win on 2026-08-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.69
Will CS Independiente Rivadavia win on 2026-08-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.45
SC Internacional vs. CR Flamengo: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
CR Vasco da Gama vs. Independiente Medellín: O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+70%+$13.24
CR Vasco da Gama vs. Independiente Medellín: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Santos FC vs. Universidad Central de Venezuela FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$161Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$160.84
CA Rosario Central vs. Racing Club: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+27.5%+$25.71
SE Palmeiras vs. CA Mineiro: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Club Necaxa vs. CF Monterrey: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.23
Grêmio FBPA vs. Fluminense FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.53
CR Flamengo vs. São Paulo FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+1,372.6%+$1,476.08
EC Bahia vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$516Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$515.53
Will CA Paranaense win on 2026-07-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$207Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$207.25
Will CA River Plate win on 2026-07-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will CA Newell's Old Boys win on 2026-07-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$98
Will CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza win on 2026-07-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+149.7%+$62.22
Will CA Central Córdoba win on 2026-07-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.78
Will EC Vitória win on 2026-07-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.14
Botafogo FR vs. EC Vitória: O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Club Bolívar win on 2026-07-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$168Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$168.46
Showing 25 of 62 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 21, 2026, EDT1118.2%2 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick12cpaid-6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs MOUZ (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked Nuclear TigeRES · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Counter-Strike: Misa Esports vs OlyBet SB (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #5 Group Dbacked OlyBet SB · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Counter-Strike: Keyd vs Imperial (BO3) - BetBoom RUSH B! Summit Playoffsbacked Keyd · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.93
Counter-Strike: NIP vs Heroic (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 3 Playoffsbacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.24
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs FaZe (BO3) - XSE Pro League Playoffsbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+448.2%+$421.45
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - XSE Pro League Playoffsbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.28
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs TYLOO (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.99
Counter-Strike: Acend vs ECHO (BO3) - Super DraculaN Playoffsbacked Acend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+385.7%+$213.04
Counter-Strike: ex-Sashi Academy vs eternal premium (BO3) - European Pro League Series 8 Closed Qualifier Group Bbacked eternal premium · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs Inner Circle Esports (BO3) - Super DraculaN Playoffsbacked Walczaki · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.99
Counter-Strike: Acend vs Infinite (BO3) - Super DraculaN Playoffsbacked Infinite · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.07
All 11 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT1070%7 W · 3 L+2.6wins+0.26per pick44cpaid+70%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
Asian League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$355Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$354.9
Will Shanghai Shenhua FC win on 2026-07-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+139.3%+$174.06
Will Qingdao Xihaian FC win on 2026-07-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.15
Will Zhejiang Zhiye FC win on 2026-07-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.37
Will Chengdu Rongcheng FC win on 2026-07-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+149.3%+$92.2
Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$206Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+56.8%+$117.01
Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+34.1%+$13.06
Will Wuhan San Zhen FC win on 2026-05-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+357%+$78.58
Will Qingdao Xihaian FC win on 2026-05-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$167Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+73.1%+$122.34
Will Chongqing Tonglianglong FC win on 2026-05-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+190.7%+$114.41
All 10 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Aug 6, 2026, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid-5.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Red Bull Salzburg win on 2026-08-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+88.8%+$37.85
FC Inter Turku vs. FC Vaduz: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$12.45
Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. FC St. Gallen: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+91.1%+$134.93
RSC Anderlecht vs. Hammarby Fotboll: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
FC København vs. FK Polissia: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will UMF Stjarnan win on 2026-07-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$80.58
Will FK Auda win on 2026-07-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$271Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$270.97
Will FCSB vs. FK Auda end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.05
Will FCSB win on 2026-07-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+93.6%+$140.33
Will Bohemian FC win on 2026-07-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$152Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+100.6%+$153.14
All 10 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+18.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+2.2wins+0.73per pick27cpaid+401.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+832.2%+$233.8
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$21.25
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+159.6%+$127.63
All 3 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid-21.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will UD Las Palmas win on 2026-06-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.19
Will UD Almería win on 2026-06-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+56.2%+$32.87
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+70%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Wolfsburg win on 2026-05-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+70%+$13.99
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 29, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Tommy Paulbacked Tommy Paul · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Jul 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Nashville SC vs. Atlanta United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.3
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will KFUM-Kameratene Oslo win on 2026-07-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$90.93
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.