South American Leagues · resolved market
Santos FC vs. CSyD Macará: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x63d46a503eb1d9495edaefab60422c8ff1db930954d65879b41d866bdd1fe891
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $213,563
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $190,716
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $213,563 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 125 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 45c | 16,512$7,483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,483.25 | 311 | 36.7%114 W · 197 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e97…8ffabacked Under | 18c | 12,232$2,217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,216.85 | 88 | 33%29 W · 59 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 57c | 10,045$5,745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,299.64 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x122b…ac59backed Under | 14c | 8,566$1,187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,186.55 | 87 | 43.7%38 W · 49 L | +8.9wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +112%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Under | 50c | 8,364$4,182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,181.97 | 199 | 52.8%105 W · 94 L | +11.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6be9…5998backed Under | 13c | 8,140$1,043 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,042.93 | 174 | 40.2%70 W · 104 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 55c | 6,875$3,795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,080.89 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 51c | 6,018$3,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,922.62 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4502…9eedbacked Under | 17c | 5,779$996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$996.34 | 160 | 51.3%82 W · 78 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c3…3e18backed Under | 7c | 5,764$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.87 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +6.2wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x67bf…f983backed Under | 11c | 5,658$628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$628.18 | 110 | 25.5%28 W · 82 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8806…2e83backed Under | 17c | 4,903$817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$816.54 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaf18…3ca8backed Under | 32c | 4,729$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec57…0fa7backed Under | 15c | 4,457$667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$667.03 | 145 | 30.3%44 W · 101 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad31…c93abacked Under | 15c | 4,290$648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$648.23 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x059c…050ebacked Under | 13c | 4,238$543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.85 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -4.1wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 29c | 3,526$1,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,016.59 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…1ef5backed Under | 11c | 3,327$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.23 | 101 | 28.7%29 W · 72 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 32c | 2,699$865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$865.34 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 65c | 2,623$1,711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$911.69 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76bc…fccabacked Under | 8c | 2,230$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.59 | 127 | 38.6%49 W · 78 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +96.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb76b…d1f0backed Under | 18c | 1,984$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.68 | 62 | 32.3%20 W · 42 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf16e…43afbacked Under | 13c | 1,864$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.86 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +287.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2220…1a0fbacked Under | 13c | 1,791$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.37 | 46 | 26.1%12 W · 34 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x482a…c85dbacked Under | 13c | 1,586$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.16 | 89 | 28.1%25 W · 64 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9c…8620backed Under | 24c | 1,555$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.4 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc5b…3ddcbacked Under | 7c | 1,515$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.21 | 65 | 26.2%17 W · 48 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2c…3c32backed Over | 67c | 1,350$905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.99 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa9…09fabacked Under | 15c | 1,269$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.17 | 106 | 35.8%38 W · 68 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +106.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 28c | 1,248$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.9 | 404 | 51.2%207 W · 197 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 62c | 1,216$748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.14 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb5a…8445backed Under | 9c | 1,111$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 77 | 23.4%18 W · 59 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Over | 74c | 948$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248 | 212 | 52.4%111 W · 101 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed01…83a8backed Under | 29c | 918.2$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.28 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea8…b821backed Under | 16c | 822.23$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.7 | 62 | 25.8%16 W · 46 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +118.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24ae…d35bbacked Under | 49c | 791.4$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.73 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e75…80ffbacked Under | 39c | 750$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.5 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 68c | 743.64$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.41 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under | 13c | 720$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 184 | 26.1%48 W · 136 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Under | 27c | 600.65$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.62 | 190 | 40.5%77 W · 113 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Over | 74c | 587.97$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.69 | 91 | 49.5%45 W · 46 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2983…4eb2backed Under | 51c | 586.66$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc595…994dbacked Under | 7c | 554.65$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.87 | 62 | 30.6%19 W · 43 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7245…4b00backed Under | 16c | 538.68$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.07 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Under | 28c | 535.71$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 221 | 45.7%101 W · 120 L | +10.2wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…b369backed Over | 79c | 504.71$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.46 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 28c | 500$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Under | 50c | 486.98$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.37 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 53c | 476.36$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.44 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa249…08b6backed Under | 12c | 379.83$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.76 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x46cd…6b95backed Under | 26c | 355.96$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.9 | 123 | 40.7%50 W · 73 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Over | 77c | 351.82$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.67 | 519 | 45.7%237 W · 282 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0f…0e48backed Under | 20c | 349.36$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.56 | 124 | 34.7%43 W · 81 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e85…3b3bbacked Over | 72c | 346.47$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.01 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 67cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 66c | 344.57$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.54 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a47…3b21backed Over | 52c | 328$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.44 | 127 | 54.3%69 W · 58 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafd0…ebd0backed Under | 8c | 327.18$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 81 | 39.5%32 W · 49 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb3…f890backed Under | 32c | 320.67$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.77 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Under | 18c | 310.2$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.91 | 321 | 39.6%127 W · 194 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc046…d8f0backed Under | 20c | 300.98$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.42 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | -4.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Over | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.94 | 559 | 46%257 W · 302 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f39…e279backed Under | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 170 | 51.8%88 W · 82 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a2b…3e5cbacked Under | 30c | 252.5$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.6 | 63 | 31.7%20 W · 43 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f58…d93abacked Under | 17c | 243$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.59 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 30c | 221.96$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.8 | 723 | 50.5%365 W · 358 L | -24.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 55c | 202$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.9 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Over | 80c | 200$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.75 | 352 | 46.9%165 W · 187 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a4d…be6fbacked Under | 51c | 196.04$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Under | 48c | 172.34$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.73 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Over | 55c | 160$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.6 | 163 | 49.1%80 W · 83 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2035…dc1cbacked Under | 20c | 158.75$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.89 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.16per pick | 28cpaid | -70.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Over | 79c | 155.5$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.93 | 168 | 64.9%109 W · 59 L | +14.9wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9f…014abacked Under | 19c | 154.55$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.95 | 116 | 40.5%47 W · 69 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d1…de26backed Under | 30c | 150$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 127 | 55.9%71 W · 56 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Over | 51c | 141.77$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.85 | 787 | 56.4%444 W · 343 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9eeb…a72cbacked Under | 46c | 127.66$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.91 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.9wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbb…07d9backed Over | 66c | 119.78$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.37 | 142 | 64.1%91 W · 51 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 29c | 113.46$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.57 | 601 | 56.2%338 W · 263 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Under | 45c | 112.2$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 341 | 55.1%188 W · 153 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d3…4b1fbacked Over | 50c | 110.22$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.11 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 29c | 106.62$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.58 | 951 | 55.8%531 W · 420 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 58c | 104$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.19 | 992 | 59.1%586 W · 406 L | +108.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 55c | 100.98$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.44 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabd9…dc3abacked Under | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +392.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0e…3197backed Over | 78c | 99.99$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 69cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 52c | 89.71$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.06 | 668 | 37.1%248 W · 420 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…bf6cbacked Under | 48c | 82.83$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.52 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.8wins | +0.18per pick | 55cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec5…fd53backed Over | 71c | 82.02$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.61 | 200 | 36.5%73 W · 127 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 79c | 75.95$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.95 | 493 | 41%202 W · 291 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Under | 33c | 74.94$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.73 | 160 | 50.6%81 W · 79 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…5124backed Under | 50c | 70.31$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 52c | 67.74$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.52 | 1,439 | 37.5%540 W · 899 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd924…7bc2backed Over | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 100 | 44%44 W · 56 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf7…c485backed Over | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf184…d472backed Under | 28c | 55.93$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.66 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6469…c10dbacked Under | 49c | 54.57$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x702e…ff44backed Over | 52c | 53.5$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.68 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Over | 50c | 52.35$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.05 | 506 | 56.3%285 W · 221 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81a7…7042backed Over | 63c | 52.1$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 83 | 42.2%35 W · 48 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1805…8905backed Under | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +60.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Santos FC vs. CSyD Macará: O/U 2.5this page
- Santos FC vs. CSyD Macará: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Santos FC vs. CSyD Macará: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Santos FC vs. CSyD Macará: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Santos FC vs. CSyD Macará: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Santos FC vs. CSyD Macará: Both Teams to Score in First HalfYes won
- Santos FC vs. CSyD Macará: O/U 0.5Over won
- Santos FC vs. CSyD Macará: O/U 1.5Over won
- Santos FC vs. CSyD Macará: O/U 3.5Under won
- Santos FC vs. CSyD Macará: O/U 4.5Under won
- Santos FC vs. CSyD Macará: O/U 5.5Under won
- Santos FC vs. CSyD Macará: Santos FC O/U 1.5Over won
- Santos FC vs. CSyD Macará: Santos FC O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: CSyD Macará (-1.5)Santos FC won
- Spread: Santos FC (-1.5)CSyD Macará won
- Spread: Santos FC (-2.5)CSyD Macará won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.