South American Leagues · resolved market
Santos FC vs. CSyD Macará: 1st Half O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdec985396e50461f60cc9f9326d2b23236427dcd094a463f21f21afba4f9650f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,609
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,279
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,609 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Over | 52c | 2,220$1,152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,068.79 | 465 | 30.3%141 W · 324 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2220…1a0fbacked Under | 3c | 2,041$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.23 | 46 | 26.1%12 W · 34 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 46c | 1,719$799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$798.85 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2c…3c32backed Under | 67c | 1,487$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e97…8ffabacked Over | 69c | 1,190$821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.89 | 88 | 33%29 W · 59 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 31c | 1,029$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.8 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…04fabacked Over | 34c | 926.41$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.43 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde39…2fa1backed Over | 59c | 766.94$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.99 | 108 | 28.7%31 W · 77 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 49c | 560.98$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.87 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Over | 33c | 175.59$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.64 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 66c | 150.42$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.42 | 769 | 51.5%396 W · 373 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over | 31c | 135$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.15 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 163 | 49.1%80 W · 83 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb3…f890backed Under | 35c | 93.41$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.89 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Under | 50c | 86$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 221 | 45.7%101 W · 120 L | +10.2wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 31c | 74.73$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.17 | 723 | 50.5%365 W · 358 L | -24.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd924…7bc2backed Over | 35c | 71.43$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.43 | 100 | 44%44 W · 56 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 65c | 71.43$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.43 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 31c | 70.08$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.36 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.82 | 493 | 41%202 W · 291 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Under | 31c | 47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.57 | 720 | 58.8%423 W · 297 L | +29.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x453d…2dbabacked Under | 36c | 39.14$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.09 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -3.3wins | -0.16per pick | 35cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x67bf…f983backed Under | 35c | 34.56$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 110 | 25.5%28 W · 82 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x404c…5c87backed Over | 77c | 34$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.67 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +3.4wins | +0.21per pick | 48cpaid | +81.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…1ef5backed Over | 65c | 28.56$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 101 | 28.7%29 W · 72 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37b0…799fbacked Under | 43c | 27.89$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 150 | 57.3%86 W · 64 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ceb…4716backed Over | 66c | 22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.48 | 18 | 83.3%15 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 73cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 57c | 19.69$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.47 | 896 | 45.4%407 W · 489 L | -23.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Santos FC vs. CSyD Macará: 1st Half O/U 1.5this page
- Santos FC vs. CSyD Macará: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Santos FC vs. CSyD Macará: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Santos FC vs. CSyD Macará: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Santos FC vs. CSyD Macará: Both Teams to Score in First HalfYes won
- Santos FC vs. CSyD Macará: O/U 0.5Over won
- Santos FC vs. CSyD Macará: O/U 1.5Over won
- Santos FC vs. CSyD Macará: O/U 2.5Over won
- Santos FC vs. CSyD Macará: O/U 3.5Under won
- Santos FC vs. CSyD Macará: O/U 4.5Under won
- Santos FC vs. CSyD Macará: O/U 5.5Under won
- Santos FC vs. CSyD Macará: Santos FC O/U 1.5Over won
- Santos FC vs. CSyD Macará: Santos FC O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: CSyD Macará (-1.5)Santos FC won
- Spread: Santos FC (-1.5)CSyD Macará won
- Spread: Santos FC (-2.5)CSyD Macará won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.