TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Santos FC vs. CSyD Macará: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$88,870
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$97,942

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $88,870 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 113 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8806…2e83backed Over3c10,309$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.285147.1%24 W · 27 L+4.8wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+10.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under62c6,886$4,235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,650.178,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under65c5,831$3,818 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,012.872,51439%980 W · 1,534 L-32.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over31c4,628$1,420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,420.55,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x122b…ac59backed Over18c4,269$789 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$788.518743.7%38 W · 49 L+8.9wins+0.10per pick33cpaid+112%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Under72c3,672$2,630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,042.291,43937.5%540 W · 899 L+4.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2220…1a0fbacked Over3c3,333$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004626.1%12 W · 34 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-41.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over32c3,039$970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$970.391,29042.8%552 W · 738 L-2.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed Over46c2,808$1,298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,297.8120036.5%73 W · 127 L-6.4wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-29.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a2c…3c32backed Under72c2,791$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$790.92166.7%14 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over29c2,437$706 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$706.41,94451.3%998 W · 946 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Over43c2,000$860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$859.97633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-17%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over30c1,987$586 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$586.262,33551.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L+2.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Over28c1,682$471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$470.9531039.7%123 W · 187 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67bf…f983backed Over3c1,550$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.511025.5%28 W · 82 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick23cpaid+22.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf18…3ca8backed Over37c1,339$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001030%3 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-19.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ac5…f963backed Over28c1,127$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315.6116050.6%81 W · 79 L+7.3wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+13.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfa69…02c1backed Under60c1,076$641 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$434.943458.8%20 W · 14 L+4.3wins+0.13per pick46cpaid+22%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd202…1ef5backed Over3c1,036$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.0810128.7%29 W · 72 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-27.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e97…8ffabacked Over3c1,031$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.928833%29 W · 59 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick36cpaid+11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Over30c855.78$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.981,65150.6%836 W · 815 L-4.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a2b…3e5cbacked Over2c854.86$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.16331.7%20 W · 43 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick30cpaid-38.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfb3…f890backed Under63c805.97$505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.865757.9%33 W · 24 L+4.3wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+20.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x67b0…89d3backed Under56c804.99$451 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.21675%12 W · 4 L+2.8wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+22.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under72c777.32$556 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.991,44345.9%662 W · 781 L-22.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under71c710.64$505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.373,74938.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L-33.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ee0…d6a6backed Under57c700$399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3013756.8%21 W · 16 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7acc…c5b9backed Under68c611.02$415 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.8812156.2%68 W · 53 L+5.8wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over38c567.63$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.6151750.7%262 W · 255 L+28.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+0.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under61c552.31$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.2131136.7%114 W · 197 L-9.7wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xef57…827dbacked Over45c539.99$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243650%3 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+16.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb42…0ad9backed Over5c526.3$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.324456.8%25 W · 19 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick50cpaid-10.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over34c512$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.361,53745.2%695 W · 842 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over12c491.96$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.1285220.7%176 W · 676 L-85.2wins-0.10per pick31cpaid-52.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x2aa1…1ea8backed Under53c482.51$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.788337.3%31 W · 52 L-4.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-20.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1ca3…9613backed Under80c481.64$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.682055%11 W · 9 L-2.5wins-0.13per pick68cpaid-23.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Over35c478.2$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.3721252.4%111 W · 101 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6f39…e279backed Under47c463.34$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.8417051.8%88 W · 82 L+7.3wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-2.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x76bc…fccabacked Over4c450$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2012738.6%49 W · 78 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+96.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa54d…deb8backed Over34c449.99$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1531656.3%9 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick57cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b9c…8620backed Under76c406.98$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.013243.8%14 W · 18 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-31.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde39…2fa1backed Over13c390.37$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.1610828.7%31 W · 77 L+0.3wins0.00per pick28cpaid-29.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over28c362.97$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.691,35549.7%674 W · 681 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Under71c361$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.6919742.1%83 W · 114 L+0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid+10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c5b…ec01backed Over30c345.14$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.57748.1%37 W · 40 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d3d…5fcfbacked Over6c324.21$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.42227.3%6 W · 16 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick28cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa891…a1c1backed Over5c316.9$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.91425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-56.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under77c315.54$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.712,17043.7%948 W · 1,222 L-53.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Over29c314.11$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.8255946%257 W · 302 L-19.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x10a6…4d8bbacked Under54c311.21$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.73036.7%11 W · 19 L-2.9wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-27.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Under66c229.28$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.2632139.6%127 W · 194 L-11.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8d13…cd85backed Under53c210.98$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.16875%6 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+27.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x482a…c85dbacked Over6c206.3$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.388928.1%25 W · 64 L-4.2wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-6.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x54e8…5e6bbacked Under71c200$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58875%6 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+0.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Over8c199.51$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1545746.8%214 W · 243 L+13.9wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b20…a8e0backed Under70c196.63$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.858755.2%48 W · 39 L+7.2wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+14.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2983…4eb2backed Under53c188.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.683644.4%16 W · 20 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under73c184$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.681,30250.2%653 W · 649 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d1c…3347backed Over10c181.81$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.1821538.1%82 W · 133 L+9.9wins+0.05per pick34cpaid+4.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe337…4ad6backed Over52c158.94$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.719155.5%106 W · 85 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d9c…601abacked Over30c157.17$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.883339.4%13 W · 20 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick33cpaid+12.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over59c144.78$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.9682434.5%284 W · 540 L-17.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over16c143.25$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.9535046.3%162 W · 188 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Under62c139.91$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.8395155.8%531 W · 420 L+31.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9028…8608backed Under60c139.41$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.1360156.2%338 W · 263 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a6a…56bdbacked Over29c135.99$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.934542.2%19 W · 26 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9930…696ebacked Over22c128.45$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.0319040.5%77 W · 113 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid+5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over32c121.09$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.362,28134.3%782 W · 1,499 L-30.5wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under41c120$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.818426.1%48 W · 136 L-0.5wins0.00per pick26cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Over32c103.92$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.181,03849.4%513 W · 525 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf676…b039backed Over38c100$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.52138.1%8 W · 13 L-2.6wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-31.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xabce…2f87backed Over40c99.99$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4016349.1%80 W · 83 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Over14c95.29$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.6350643.9%222 W · 284 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x83de…89c6backed Under78c93.49$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.021957.9%11 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick66cpaid-17.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9ceb…4716backed Under68c86$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.81883.3%15 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.10per pick73cpaid+16.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x81a7…7042backed Over30c84.65$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.298342.2%35 W · 48 L-0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-15.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Under60c83.71$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.7863061.3%386 W · 244 L+22.3wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1805…8905backed Under57c82.9$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.65862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+60.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9b13…37dbbacked Under63c79.37$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.371471.4%10 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.10per pick61cpaid+18.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Over47c76.33$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.751945.7%237 W · 282 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5981…3934backed Over28c75.11$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.0315041.3%62 W · 88 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd93…56c0backed Over27c73.78$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9220665%134 W · 72 L+24.5wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+20.2%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x7203…795abacked Over27c73.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.8415768.2%107 W · 50 L+21.8wins+0.14per pick54cpaid+37.9%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed Over30c73.03$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.7635246.9%165 W · 187 L+1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-10.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x882c…5d07backed Under76c69$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.8335240.3%142 W · 210 L-28.0wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-23.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd924…7bc2backed Over44c68.18$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010044%44 W · 56 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0464…67dabacked Under64c65.29$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.613856.5%78 W · 60 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2892…e9d7backed Under72c60$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1714359.4%85 W · 58 L+8.5wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+12.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x24ce…da46backed Under66c57.94$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.4916449.4%81 W · 83 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b78…473dbacked Over28c56.74$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.7724665.9%162 W · 84 L+26.2wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+27.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xe29c…a31dbacked Over33c56$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.5816845.2%76 W · 92 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33c9…5124backed Under55c54.64$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.641145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc846…c413backed Over33c50$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.5633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-42.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2bc8…b4dabacked Under53c50$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.335547.3%26 W · 29 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+24.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa3d1…de26backed Under70c50$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1512755.9%71 W · 56 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Over28c50$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1478756.4%444 W · 343 L+23.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over28c48$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.3189645.4%407 W · 489 L-23.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-19.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfeef…4b1fbacked Under55c47.45$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.2826465.9%174 W · 90 L+13.6wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+7.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Over32c47.41$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.1729047.6%138 W · 152 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c22…7b22backed Under63c43.74$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.322479.2%19 W · 5 L+3.5wins+0.14per pick65cpaid+22.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.