TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x1805…8905

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
45
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: South American Leagues, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category South American Leagues at 54 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennislast resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT2445.8%11 W · 13 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+34.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US Open, Qualification ATP: Luka Pavlovic vs Juan Pablo Varillasbacked Juan Pablo Varillas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.18
Cancun: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Moez Echarguibacked Camilo Ugo Carabelli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.99
Cincinnati Open: Jaime Faria vs Adam Waltonbacked Jaime Faria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+1,194.3%+$358.26
Canadian Open: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Nuno Borgesbacked Aleksandar Kovacevic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.02
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alex de Minaur vs Brandon Nakashimabacked Brandon Nakashima · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+107.7%+$37.68
Targu Mures: Sara Sorribes Tormo vs Lucia Bronzettibacked Sara Sorribes Tormo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.99
Bonn: Max Dahlin vs Daniel Galanbacked Daniel Galan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.39
San Marino: Francesco Maestrelli vs Juan Pablo Varillasbacked Francesco Maestrelli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.77
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Jakub Mensikbacked Jakub Mensik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.48
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alex de Minaur vs Stefanos Tsitsipasbacked Alex de Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$25.64
Bonn: Elmer Moeller vs Jamie Mackenziebacked Elmer Moeller · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.85
Liberec: Joel Schwaerzler vs Martin Krumichbacked Joel Schwaerzler · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.66
The Memphis Classic: Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Kristina Liutovabacked Kristina Liutova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+227.5%+$125.04
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Taylor Fritz vs Zizou Bergsbacked Zizou Bergs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.37
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Tallon Griekspoorbacked Tallon Griekspoor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$90.82
Hamburg European Open: Oleksandra Oliynykova vs Leyre Romero Gormazbacked Oleksandra Oliynykova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+36.3%+$7.26
Winnipeg: Yu-Hsiou Hsu vs Jay Dylan Friendbacked Yu-Hsiou Hsu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+53.4%+$10.68
Estoril Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Kyrian Jacquetbacked Daniel Merida Aguilar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Generali Open: Alex Molcan vs Sebastian Ofnerbacked Sebastian Ofner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.48
Swiss Open: Raphael Collignon vs Juan Manuel Cerundolobacked Raphael Collignon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+267.1%+$155.76
Swedish Open: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Thiago Agustin Tirantebacked Thiago Agustin Tirante · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$8.96
Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Alexander Zverevbacked Jannik Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+31.3%+$35.97
Newport: Alexis Galarneau vs Juan Pablo Ficovichbacked Alexis Galarneau · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+48.6%+$16.06
Iasi: Zsombor Piros vs Damir Dzumhurbacked Zsombor Piros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+53.7%+$7.9
All 24 picks, newest first.
South American Leagueslast resolved Aug 13, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+60.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick37cpaid-31.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jul 28, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Shamrock Rovers FC win on 2026-07-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Sabah FK win on 2026-07-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.41
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jul 8, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+52.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Déifferdeng 03 vs. Ilves Tampere end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+52.1%+$6.98
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Henan FC win on 2026-07-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Orgryte IS win on 2026-07-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 21, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs MOUZ (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked Nuclear TigeRES · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$114.02
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.