Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Orgryte IS win on 2026-07-20?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe55f251b56550311d3ec4b64cb8580c5fd0beb604656adf2f31865e1a5d064a3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,957
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,450
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,957 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa2b5…4582backed Yes | 16c | 6,300$1,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,008 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdee3…6fe5backed Yes | 12c | 4,947$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$593.64 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21d5…442bbacked Yes | 16c | 2,746$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.32 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 11c | 1,457$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.25 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 13c | 942.15$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.25 | 1,434 | 37.7%540 W · 894 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e4f…6763backed Yes | 15c | 926.44$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.97 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0852…655cbacked Yes | 9c | 817.99$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.37 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0811…5d31backed Yes | 16c | 726.13$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.18 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -37%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb1…4557backed Yes | 14c | 699.74$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.42 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed Yes | 11c | 499.98$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 102 | 45.1%46 W · 56 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd74…bedabacked Yes | 13c | 299.96$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.99 | 175 | 29.1%51 W · 124 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Yes | 12c | 218.01$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 136 | 15.4%21 W · 115 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1805…8905backed Yes | 12c | 208.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae58…3f01backed Yes | 12c | 166.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…ca96backed Yes | 12c | 158.33$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd094…271bbacked Yes | 12c | 133.33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…16c5backed Yes | 16c | 128.31$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 320 | 51.9%166 W · 154 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc4…1225backed Yes | 12c | 125$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62a4…2daebacked Yes | 12c | 125$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc4d…8401backed Yes | 12c | 125$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bd8…e4d5backed Yes | 15c | 120.7$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.1 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +3.0wins | +0.20per pick | 53cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Yes | 10c | 106.9$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 79 | 38%30 W · 49 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 136 | 50%68 W · 68 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d3b…6f8bbacked Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Orgryte IS win on 2026-07-20?this page
- Will Djurgardens IF win on 2026-07-20?No won
- Will Orgryte IS vs. Djurgardens IF end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.