Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Orgryte IS vs. Djurgardens IF end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3734d377b04fcdcd13225b87fa009972ecc05532dbc3a1bb530a70bf38c8e2b4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,536
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,430
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,536 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 50c | 2,212$1,113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,112.97 | 518 | 42.1%218 W · 300 L | -18.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30d5…36bfbacked No | 76c | 1,500$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,139.89 | 76 | 35.5%27 W · 49 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 51c | 1,167$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568.76 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 24c | 1,001$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760.76 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31f3…0eacbacked Yes | 18c | 880.56$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$722.06 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -3.2wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 28c | 523.94$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.5 | 877 | 45.2%396 W · 481 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e2a…d25cbacked Yes | 30c | 500$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked No | 30c | 399.32$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.77 | 233 | 47.2%110 W · 123 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb3e…1fbbbacked No | 77c | 378$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.06 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3740…a935backed Yes | 69c | 374.63$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.74 | 60 | 63.3%38 W · 22 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 17c | 339.21$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.98 | 1,434 | 37.7%540 W · 894 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd74…bedabacked Yes | 29c | 306.39$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.34 | 175 | 29.1%51 W · 124 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf958…31b3backed Yes | 18c | 277.78$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.78 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 73c | 246.84$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.24 | 1,240 | 39.2%486 W · 754 L | -35.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked No | 7c | 209.92$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 115 | 45.2%52 W · 63 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked No | 32c | 208.34$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.21 | 79 | 38%30 W · 49 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d2…55f7backed Yes | 19c | 160.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.86 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 15c | 155.28$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.6 | 323 | 50.2%162 W · 161 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe16f…a33fbacked No | 71c | 140.84$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Yes | 68c | 120$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.4 | 216 | 58.8%127 W · 89 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked No | 45c | 110$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.82 | 93 | 53.8%50 W · 43 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Yes | 50c | 108.38$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.39 | 559 | 54.9%307 W · 252 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed No | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 269 | 49.8%134 W · 135 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 13c | 99.23$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.98 | 381 | 47.5%181 W · 200 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Yes | 24c | 86$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.36 | 212 | 47.2%100 W · 112 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbffd…2af5backed Yes | 18c | 83.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.33 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.19per pick | 26cpaid | +71%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3d15…bbb0backed No | 18c | 79.08$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.01 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes | 24c | 72$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.72 | 237 | 47.7%113 W · 124 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 39c | 69.6$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.46 | 186 | 59.7%111 W · 75 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe29c…a31dbacked No | 20c | 68$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.56 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +9.1wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 18c | 56$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.92 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Yes | 42c | 48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce0…9d0bbacked Yes | 78c | 44.94$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.94 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde19…e90dbacked No | 54c | 43.03$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.24 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -3.2wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 40c | 42.85$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.01 | 233 | 48.1%112 W · 121 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bd8…e4d5backed Yes | 53c | 40.62$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.09 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +3.0wins | +0.20per pick | 53cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbe53…2dbabacked Yes | 72c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed No | 45c | 33.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.29 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d2d…2be7backed Yes | 59c | 33.72$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.72 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +4.1wins | +0.23per pick | 55cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked No | 59c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 460 | 44.3%204 W · 256 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad6f…cc7cbacked No | 38c | 28.85$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.86 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…c3d9backed No | 62c | 24.06$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.92 | 39 | 69.2%27 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 69cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Orgryte IS vs. Djurgardens IF end in a draw?this page
- Will Djurgardens IF win on 2026-07-20?No won
- Will Orgryte IS win on 2026-07-20?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.