TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xad6f…cc7c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
185
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Tennis, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 54 out of 100; worst South American Leagues at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 22, 2026, EDT8051.3%41 W · 39 L-3.9wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-17.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 80 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. New York Yankeesbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.73
Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)backed Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.07
Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+81.5%+$16.16
Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+93.3%+$13.78
Athletics vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 10.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.59
Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-1.5)backed Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.24
Athletics vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+41.2%+$8.08
Athletics vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 9.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.73
Athletics vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+105.3%+$15.09
Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-1.5)backed Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+129%+$14.41
Cincinnati Reds vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+41.4%+$5.86
Spread: Washington Nationals (-1.5)backed Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+51.2%+$9.15
Washington Nationals vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 13.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+27%+$4.2
Chicago White Sox vs. Texas Rangersbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+28.9%+$4.25
Miami Marlins vs. Houston Astros: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.71
Spread: Houston Astros (-1.5)backed Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+56.2%+$9.88
New York Mets vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.52
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)backed New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+39.2%+$6.37
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+51.7%+$8.85
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 9.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$10.22
San Francisco Giants vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.37
Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)backed San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$11.48
San Diego Padres vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.92
Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+33%+$6.91
San Diego Padres vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 9.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.04
Showing 25 of 80 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 22, 2026, EDT7661.8%47 W · 29 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 76 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ITF Brisbane: Amy Stevens vs Himari Satobacked Himari Sato · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.4
ITF Brisbane: Natsuho Arakawa vs Lily Faircloughbacked Lily Fairclough · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.8
ITF Brisbane: Taiki Takizawa vs Kosuke Ogurabacked Kosuke Ogura · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.55
Winnipeg: August Holmgren vs Garrett Johnsbacked Garrett Johns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.72
ITF Sao Paulo: Francisco Fontes Damorim vs Carlos Maria Zaratebacked Carlos Maria Zarate · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+65.9%+$11.12
Winnipeg: James McCabe vs Duncan Chanbacked James McCabe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.58
Winnipeg: Hayato Matsuoka vs Daniel Milavskybacked Daniel Milavsky · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.07
Winnipeg: Justin Boulais vs Johannus Mondaybacked Johannus Monday · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+65.6%+$9.9
ITF Saskatoon: Anna Frey vs Jia-Jing Lubacked Jia-Jing Lu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+35.3%+$5.1
ITF Champaign: Oliver Bonding vs Evan Bynoebacked Oliver Bonding · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.13
ITF Saskatoon: Kayo Nishimura vs Isabella Martonbacked Isabella Marton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+64.9%+$10.92
Palermo: Tamara Zidansek vs Alevtina Ibragimovabacked Tamara Zidansek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.15
Winnipeg: Yuta Shimizu vs Liam Broadybacked Liam Broady · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.48
Palermo: Alice Rame vs Anastasia Tikhonovabacked Alice Rame · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$11.6
Zug: Roberto Carballes Baena vs Marc-Andrea Hueslerbacked Roberto Carballes Baena · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.26
ITF Sao Paulo: Nicolas Zanellato vs Nicolas Oliveirabacked Nicolas Oliveira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.3
Winnipeg: Rio Noguchi vs Braden Shickbacked Rio Noguchi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$10.8
ITF Amstetten: Anna-Lena Friedsam vs Julie Pastikovabacked Julie Pastikova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+95.7%+$13.09
Palermo: Caroline Werner vs Mina Hodzicbacked Caroline Werner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.1
Tampere: Igor Ribeiro Marcondes vs Linus Lagerbohmbacked Igor Ribeiro Marcondes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$6.38
ITF Denia: Anas Mazdrashki vs Carlos Lopez Montagudbacked Anas Mazdrashki · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.84
Hamburg European Open: Oleksandra Oliynykova vs Nastasja Schunkbacked Oleksandra Oliynykova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+41.9%+$8.02
ITF Huamantla: Rafael De Alba vs Alvin Nicholas Tudoricabacked Alvin Nicholas Tudorica · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$7.51
Winnipeg: Yu-Hsiou Hsu vs Jay Dylan Friendbacked Yu-Hsiou Hsu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+68.5%+$11.28
Palermo: Francesca Jones vs Darya Astakhovabacked Francesca Jones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$7.04
Showing 25 of 76 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 22, 2026, EDT714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.8wins-0.41per pick55cpaid-78.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jul 21, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick64cpaid+31.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Asian League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jul 21, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 21, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-2.4wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
WNBA — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-53.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved Jul 22, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-20.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Cricket — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ODI Series West Indies vs. New Zealand: West Indies vs New Zealandbacked West Indies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+58.5%+$10.08
T20 Lanka Premier League: Dambulla Sixers vs Kandy Royalsbacked Dambulla Sixers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.92
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jul 21, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Drita win on 2026-07-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$10.34
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.