MLB · resolved market

Miami Marlins vs. Houston Astros: O/U 8.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x56fc79de682815ec4058d67a889d8e073274a69b43238b43eced8de88ca1b700

Rebuilt 19 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Jul 21, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $42,822
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $42,951

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,822 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in MLB
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x5268…135dbacked Under	46c	17,066$7,772 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,294.4	11,357	52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L	+209.9wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over	53c	12,320$6,527 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,526.98	10,846	51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L	+137.6wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Over	55c	6,235$3,429 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,429.25	920	54%497 W · 423 L	+23.1wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe55a…ecf7backed Over	55c	4,198$2,309 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,308.89	39	46.2%18 W · 21 L	-2.1wins	-0.05per pick	52cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over	59c	4,147$2,438 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,437.85	4,553	49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L	-9.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Under	45c	3,205$1,429 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,775.86	3,453	51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L	+58.1wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under	45c	1,683$757 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$925.61	6,899	50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L	-7.1wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under	45c	1,619$723 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$896.54	2,290	51%1,167 W · 1,123 L	+23.9wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x50c3…ace1backed Over	56c	1,500$840 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$840	866	53%459 W · 407 L	+16.6wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a30…8abdbacked Over	55c	1,106$606 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$605.64	680	53.2%362 W · 318 L	+2.2wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under	47c	1,000$465 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$535	1,796	43.8%786 W · 1,010 L	-33.2wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd619…c461backed Under	44c	909.09$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$509.09	644	52.2%336 W · 308 L	+26.1wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+9.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x73e8…cd6fbacked Over	56c	899.79$504 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$503.88	360	48.6%175 W · 185 L	-11.5wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over	47c	865.85$408 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$408.18	2,012	51.2%1,031 W · 981 L	+43.6wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9ea…b781backed Under	45c	809$364 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$444.95	568	51.4%292 W · 276 L	+3.7wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under	44c	792.44$349 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$443.9	8,295	47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L	+72.4wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Under	60c	788.12$472 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$316.2	8,470	52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L	+510.0wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under	45c	780.02$349 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$430.92	2,800	49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf6c7…8366backed Under	47c	638.3$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$338.3	18	77.8%14 W · 4 L	+4.4wins	+0.25per pick	53cpaid	+45.9%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Under	66c	634$418 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$215.56	794	42.4%337 W · 457 L	-13.1wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-18%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed Under	41c	621.74$258 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$364	95	38.9%37 W · 58 L	-4.3wins	-0.05per pick	43cpaid	-17.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x58b9…ee8bbacked Over	53c	621.74$331 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$331.12	752	48.8%367 W · 385 L	-1.9wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under	65c	559.71$363 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$196.21	9,728	46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L	+32.8wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over	57c	538.89$308 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$307.54	4,478	48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L	-47.7wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under	45c	499.99$225 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$274.99	5,401	50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L	+17.6wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Under	45c	499.98$225 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$274.99	1,836	50.8%932 W · 904 L	-3.9wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under	45c	455$205 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$250.25	1,284	49.5%635 W · 649 L	-1.1wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4a3f…4333backed Under	45c	454.4$204 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$249.92	562	53.2%299 W · 263 L	+13.2wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under	41c	393.77$161 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$232.52	8,086	46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L	+29.9wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0e50…2609backed Under	44c	350.56$154 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$196.31	877	50.4%442 W · 435 L	+12.4wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f29…f03dbacked Over	54c	292.59$158 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$158	475	45.9%218 W · 257 L	-13.3wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed Under	45c	288$128 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$159.55	952	52.9%504 W · 448 L	+17.8wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc9e…5a9ebacked Over	55c	273.98$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	342	55.3%189 W · 153 L	+10.4wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over	30c	271.14$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81.43	4,381	44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L	+77.8wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe426…f4ffbacked Over	56c	224.52$126 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$125.73	119	56.3%67 W · 52 L	+5.4wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Over	53c	207.54$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110	3,832	42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfcba…2398backed Under	42c	203$85 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$117.74	35	48.6%17 W · 18 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over	65c	197.44$128 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$127.56	12,247	46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L	-68.6wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Over	56c	194.38$109 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$108.85	614	50.8%312 W · 302 L	+9.3wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b11…5375backed Under	43c	185.21$80 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$105.44	1,777	49.5%880 W · 897 L	+25.6wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdda3…b20cbacked Under	22c	181.82$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$141.82	184	49.5%91 W · 93 L	-3.7wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x202b…bd32backed Over	57c	175.44$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	76	43.4%33 W · 43 L	-3.5wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb0f4…6fa9backed Under	47c	160$76 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$84.1	1,777	58.4%1,037 W · 740 L	+91.8wins	+0.05per pick	53cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x789c…0d10backed Over	66c	150.49$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.86	287	49.5%142 W · 145 L	-10.5wins	-0.04per pick	53cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xab8b…24ffbacked Over	52c	149.3$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78.13	248	43.5%108 W · 140 L	-13.2wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-23%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under	45c	149$67 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$81.95	2,296	49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L	+37.8wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5659…7a6bbacked Under	44c	138$61 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$77.28	546	42.5%232 W · 314 L	+7.5wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	+4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb2e…7821backed Under	45c	128.2$58 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$70.51	738	49.3%364 W · 374 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0547…fb35backed Over	56c	111.09$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.21	736	53%390 W · 346 L	+21.6wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Under	44c	110.57$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$61.86	3,457	51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L	+108.1wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe077…f5eebacked Under	46c	108.7$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$58.7	87	54%47 W · 40 L	+5.0wins	+0.06per pick	48cpaid	+9.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Under	45c	104.26$47 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$57.29	1,206	53.7%648 W · 558 L	+29.4wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x56cc…d589backed Under	47c	95.86$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50.48	1,245	56.9%708 W · 537 L	+31.4wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xea6f…6572backed Over	44c	90.37$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.32	100	58%58 W · 42 L	+2.4wins	+0.02per pick	56cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe3e9…7302backed Over	58c	86.21$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	38	55.3%21 W · 17 L	+0.9wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Under	45c	85.71$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.72	2,945	47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L	+3.8wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x237f…e76ebacked Under	44c	76.71$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.96	172	55.8%96 W · 76 L	+8.1wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	+10.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Over	36c	75.93$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.36	5,786	43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L	-192.2wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x45a4…5eb3backed Over	59c	70$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.4	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	-1.8wins	-0.17per pick	62cpaid	-29.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4fd9…932fbacked Under	52c	68.5$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.14	133	57.9%77 W · 56 L	+9.1wins	+0.07per pick	51cpaid	+12.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1a6a…56bdbacked Under	45c	65$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.76	133	45.9%61 W · 72 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Under	47c	60$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.8	2,147	50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L	+27.8wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa23c…ae92backed Over	58c	51.72$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	162	51.9%84 W · 78 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf9f1…23eebacked Under	43c	49.99$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.5	50	54%27 W · 23 L	+3.0wins	+0.06per pick	48cpaid	+10.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Under	28c	49$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.28	6,116	55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L	+344.6wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe733…f6c9backed Under	45c	44.44$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.44	60	48.3%29 W · 31 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc730…c568backed Under	45c	44.44$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.44	357	47.6%170 W · 187 L	+2.1wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+14.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa057…d092backed Under	57c	40.96$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.59	2,144	39.6%849 W · 1,295 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x38ef…8800backed Over	54c	37.84$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.43	424	48.1%204 W · 220 L	-9.3wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d7a…ebe3backed Under	43c	37.31$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.37	66	40.9%27 W · 39 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Over	66c	37.06$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.34	733	55.3%405 W · 328 L	+22.3wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Under	44c	37$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.72	2,947	51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L	-34.0wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c1f…a7d2backed Over	55c	36.36$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	23	39.1%9 W · 14 L	-3.3wins	-0.15per pick	54cpaid	-25.4%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x927c…a79abacked Over	54c	36.15$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.52	87	44.8%39 W · 48 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0daf…17a9backed Over	57c	35.09$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	145	59.3%86 W · 59 L	+13.4wins	+0.09per pick	50cpaid	+19.5%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0954…012abacked Over	58c	34.48$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	1,197	53.9%645 W · 552 L	+42.4wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9ebd…7fd4backed Under	43c	32$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.24	41	41.5%17 W · 24 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0570…16c9backed Under	47c	30.72$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.28	106	42.5%45 W · 61 L	-1.7wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe0c…c0cdbacked Over	51c	29.41$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	150	50%75 W · 75 L	-6.2wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xad6f…cc7cbacked Over	57c	27.54$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.71	80	51.3%41 W · 39 L	-3.9wins	-0.05per pick	56cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x765b…5043backed Over	55c	27.27$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	65	46.2%30 W · 35 L	-4.9wins	-0.08per pick	54cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4bf1…7cb7backed Over	56c	26.52$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.85	33	42.4%14 W · 19 L	-3.9wins	-0.12per pick	54cpaid	-26.3%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Over	48c	26.14$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.51	529	55.6%294 W · 235 L	+13.1wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	-10%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Under	46c	24.66$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.32	2,969	48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L	-5.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x73bd…b576backed Over	63c	24.11$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.19	275	57.1%157 W · 118 L	+8.2wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x263c…6540backed Under	45c	22.95$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.62	148	48.6%72 W · 76 L	+2.3wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Over	56c	21.11$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.82	1,521	48.6%739 W · 782 L	-5.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2892…e9d7backed Over	57c	20.96$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.95	348	46.8%163 W · 185 L	-12.9wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9555…889abacked Over	58c	20.45$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.86	1,001	57.3%574 W · 427 L	+2.3wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Miami Marlins vs. Houston Astros: O/U 8.5this page
Miami Marlins vs. Houston AstrosHouston Astros won
Miami Marlins vs. Houston Astros: O/U 7.5Over won
Miami Marlins vs. Houston Astros: O/U 9.5Under won
Spread: Houston Astros (-1.5)Houston Astros won
Spread: Houston Astros (-2.5)Miami Marlins won
Spread: Miami Marlins (-1.5)Houston Astros won
Will the game go to extra innings?: Miami Marlins vs. Houston AstrosNo won
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Miami Marlins vs. Houston AstrosYes won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Miami Marlins vs. Houston Astros: O/U 8.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event