MLB · resolved market
Miami Marlins vs. Houston Astros
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe324509d419dce72ec21fa18a81b735fd0b130d8dbb82228649cf7f24463d796
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Houston Astrosof Miami Marlins, Houston Astros
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $156,616
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $158,911
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $156,616 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 197 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Miami Marlins | 46c | 36,676$17,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,004.16 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Houston Astros | 53c | 14,465$7,667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,798.72 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Miami Marlins | 27c | 11,827$3,229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,229.17 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d5c…d8f2backed Houston Astros | 72c | 6,220$4,504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,715.6 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +4.9wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb5…d57abacked Houston Astros | 54c | 5,656$3,052 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,603.21 | 216 | 44.9%97 W · 119 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Miami Marlins | 24c | 5,339$1,281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,280.55 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Miami Marlins | 47c | 5,000$2,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,350 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Miami Marlins | 47c | 5,000$2,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,350 | 489 | 52.8%258 W · 231 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Houston Astros | 55c | 4,741$2,624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,116.32 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6f1b…f28abacked Houston Astros | 54c | 4,647$2,509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,137.5 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Miami Marlins | 11c | 4,281$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.26 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9015…281fbacked Houston Astros | 76c | 4,175$3,173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,001.99 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Houston Astros | 68c | 3,829$2,615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,213.66 | 794 | 42.4%337 W · 457 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Houston Astros | 53c | 3,364$1,783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,581.26 | 776 | 47.4%368 W · 408 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce36…2b99backed Miami Marlins | 14c | 2,577$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366 | 71 | 32.4%23 W · 48 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Houston Astros | 60c | 2,553$1,534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,018.87 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Houston Astros | 53c | 2,351$1,246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,104.97 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…f636backed Miami Marlins | 43c | 2,326$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 233 | 57.9%135 W · 98 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Miami Marlins | 18c | 2,238$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.3 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2972…3f29backed Miami Marlins | 46c | 2,174$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c98…f4f4backed Miami Marlins | 47c | 2,128$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 67 | 49.3%33 W · 34 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x816b…d69dbacked Houston Astros | 73c | 1,808$1,317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.73 | 117 | 59%69 W · 48 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Miami Marlins | 47c | 1,777$835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$835.28 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Miami Marlins | 2c | 1,567$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.11 | 370 | 32.7%121 W · 249 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Miami Marlins | 12c | 1,514$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.27 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Houston Astros | 53c | 1,500$795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705 | 619 | 47.7%295 W · 324 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Houston Astros | 53c | 1,448$771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$676.78 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Miami Marlins | 46c | 1,406$647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$646.94 | 115 | 40%46 W · 69 L | -7.1wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…cca7backed Miami Marlins | 47c | 1,200$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564 | 246 | 39%96 W · 150 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Houston Astros | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea39…9d34backed Miami Marlins | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 134 | 53%71 W · 63 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Houston Astros | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 167 | 53.9%90 W · 77 L | +10.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…f46abacked Houston Astros | 53c | 999.95$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.98 | 168 | 48.2%81 W · 87 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63ec…3b76backed Houston Astros | 54c | 925.93$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.93 | 107 | 50.5%54 W · 53 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d52…3612backed Miami Marlins | 47c | 895.64$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.95 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Houston Astros | 56c | 861$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.18 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff5…f136backed Miami Marlins | 47c | 843.77$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.57 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a40…e2c4backed Houston Astros | 73c | 842.47$614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.47 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 59cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Houston Astros | 53c | 835.97$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.9 | 694 | 53.6%372 W · 322 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Miami Marlins | 24c | 792.12$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.97 | 95 | 38.9%37 W · 58 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Miami Marlins | 14c | 718.72$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.06 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Miami Marlins | 16c | 698.17$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.48 | 2,012 | 51.2%1,031 W · 981 L | +43.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2002…a75ebacked Miami Marlins | 30c | 686.54$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.97 | 157 | 51.6%81 W · 76 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2792…c4f6backed Houston Astros | 59c | 654.03$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.57 | 739 | 49.8%368 W · 371 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Miami Marlins | 31c | 640$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.4 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd23e…e4a3backed Houston Astros | 54c | 555.56$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.56 | 117 | 50.4%59 W · 58 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Houston Astros | 54c | 540.7$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.72 | 1,733 | 49%849 W · 884 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Houston Astros | 56c | 529.53$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.22 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Miami Marlins | 23c | 499.98$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.98 | 613 | 46.3%284 W · 329 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Houston Astros | 54c | 494.05$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.14 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd4b…d965backed Houston Astros | 54c | 450$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…1d79backed Miami Marlins | 47c | 438.94$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.3 | 262 | 45.8%120 W · 142 L | -17.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Miami Marlins | 36c | 417.22$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.78 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7677…37c0backed Miami Marlins | 46c | 410.32$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.75 | 328 | 50%164 W · 164 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Miami Marlins | 47c | 400$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c57…e81abacked Miami Marlins | 47c | 400$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Miami Marlins | 12c | 397.58$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.71 | 287 | 49.5%142 W · 145 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b4c…fa0cbacked Houston Astros | 74c | 378$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.28 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Miami Marlins | 3c | 350.6$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76e1…cfdfbacked Miami Marlins | 3c | 327.02$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Houston Astros | 54c | 318$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.13 | 373 | 48.3%180 W · 193 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed Houston Astros | 73c | 315.08$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.93 | 801 | 59.2%474 W · 327 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32bf…ec60backed Miami Marlins | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 141 | 34%48 W · 93 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f46…85c0backed Miami Marlins | 28c | 300.83$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 218 | 53.2%116 W · 102 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed Houston Astros | 53c | 300$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141 | 586 | 52.7%309 W · 277 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Houston Astros | 53c | 296.96$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.57 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f4…6fa9backed Miami Marlins | 23c | 285.7$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.61 | 1,777 | 58.4%1,037 W · 740 L | +91.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Houston Astros | 53c | 284.2$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.57 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17d7…9e1ebacked Houston Astros | 56c | 275.5$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.22 | 1,000 | 58.8%588 W · 412 L | +26.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40d8…9fdabacked Miami Marlins | 45c | 271.65$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.96 | 62 | 54.8%34 W · 28 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd52…aa25backed Miami Marlins | 47c | 265.96$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 281 | 52%146 W · 135 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e68…3772backed Miami Marlins | 14c | 250$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 249 | 47%117 W · 132 L | +15.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba7…67a1backed Miami Marlins | 18c | 247.5$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.55 | 370 | 52.2%193 W · 177 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Houston Astros | 75c | 247.49$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.74 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cb5…6e63backed Houston Astros | 80c | 243.98$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.8 | 74 | 67.6%50 W · 24 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b33…d653backed Miami Marlins | 9c | 235.7$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.1 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b22…9431backed Miami Marlins | 47c | 220$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.4 | 73 | 60.3%44 W · 29 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a49…651abacked Miami Marlins | 47c | 215$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.05 | 230 | 52.6%121 W · 109 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce00…7d1dbacked Miami Marlins | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 179 | 52.5%94 W · 85 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f6b…b245backed Miami Marlins | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 125 | 47.2%59 W · 66 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e13…3035backed Miami Marlins | 28c | 210.83$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad54…006abacked Houston Astros | 73c | 210.78$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.91 | 580 | 60.5%351 W · 229 L | +30.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93a0…6623backed Miami Marlins | 47c | 210$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.7 | 398 | 46.5%185 W · 213 L | -16.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Miami Marlins | 47c | 208.33$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.92 | 481 | 47%226 W · 255 L | -31.8wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x428d…8cb6backed Miami Marlins | 47c | 205.26$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.47 | 97 | 53.6%52 W · 45 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Houston Astros | 54c | 203.72$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.71 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19b7…9ee6backed Houston Astros | 60c | 201.56$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.81 | 1,038 | 51.7%537 W · 501 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfc7…7f02backed Miami Marlins | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff19…3ebebacked Houston Astros | 57c | 199.69$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.18 | 404 | 47.8%193 W · 211 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Miami Marlins | 46c | 194.9$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.66 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5430…fbbbbacked Miami Marlins | 47c | 191.49$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 808 | 55.3%447 W · 361 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b75…409ebacked Houston Astros | 54c | 190$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.4 | 315 | 49.2%155 W · 160 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9be…08bebacked Houston Astros | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a21…4aa9backed Houston Astros | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 144 | 52.8%76 W · 68 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Miami Marlins | 16c | 177.81$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.8 | 462 | 39.6%183 W · 279 L | -17.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Houston Astros | 80c | 177.6$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.3 | 133 | 55.6%74 W · 59 L | +9.8wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb428…74c8backed Miami Marlins | 47c | 170.21$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 442 | 45.5%201 W · 241 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2de9…5289backed Houston Astros | 75c | 164.1$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.49 | 549 | 45.4%249 W · 300 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb77e…2ac6backed Houston Astros | 78c | 150$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 34 | 70.6%24 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Miami Marlins | 14c | 144.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.22 | 1,879 | 40.6%763 W · 1,116 L | -39.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Miami Marlins vs. Houston Astrosthis page
- Miami Marlins vs. Houston Astros: O/U 7.5Over won
- Miami Marlins vs. Houston Astros: O/U 8.5Under won
- Miami Marlins vs. Houston Astros: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Houston Astros (-1.5)Houston Astros won
- Spread: Houston Astros (-2.5)Miami Marlins won
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-1.5)Houston Astros won
- Will the game go to extra innings?: Miami Marlins vs. Houston AstrosNo won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Miami Marlins vs. Houston AstrosYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.