TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9b75…409e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
521
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: NBA, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 57 out of 100; worst Lol at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLBlast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT31549.2%155 W · 160 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 315 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chicago Cubs vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$103.2
Cincinnati Reds vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$101.52
Texas Rangers vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$112
Boston Red Sox vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$46
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$90
Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$62
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.7
New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$98
Cincinnati Reds vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$56.1
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$25.45
Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.9
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$67.2
Washington Nationals vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$88
San Francisco Giants vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$111.82
Miami Marlins vs. Houston Astrosbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$87.4
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$52
Cincinnati Reds vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.1
Washington Nationals vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 12.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$46
Washington Nationals vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$92
San Francisco Giants vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$45
San Diego Padres vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$89.24
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.44
Washington Nationals vs. Athleticsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.36
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$36.4
Showing 25 of 315 picks, newest first.
Tennislast resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT6352.4%33 W · 30 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 63 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Monterrey Open: Clara Tauson vs Renata Zarazuabacked Clara Tauson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$36.4
US Open, Qualification ATP: Otto Virtanen vs Ugo Blanchetbacked Otto Virtanen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$48
US Open, Qualification ATP: Joel Schwaerzler vs Gustavo Heidebacked Joel Schwaerzler · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$57.2
Cincinnati Open: Coco Gauff vs Jessica Pegulabacked Coco Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$108.24
Cincinnati Open: Iga Swiatek vs Elena Rybakinabacked Iga Swiatek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$68.4
Generali Open: Alexander Bublik vs Facundo Acostabacked Alexander Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$35
Generali Open: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Mariano Navonebacked Mariano Navone · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$31.04
Zug: Thomas Faurel vs Daniel Rinconbacked Daniel Rincon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+56.2%+$28.8
Tampere: Daniel Galan vs Gilles Arnaud Baillybacked Daniel Galan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.29
Hamburg European Open, Qualification: Arantxa Rus vs Chloe Paquetbacked Arantxa Rus · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+68.6%+$24.42
Livesport Prague Open, Qualification: Sofia Costoulas vs Ayla Aksubacked Ayla Aksu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.8
Livesport Prague Open, Qualification: Xinyu Gao vs Linda Fruhvirtovabacked Linda Fruhvirtova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.09
Swiss Open: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Raphael Collignonbacked Raphael Collignon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.5
Livesport Prague Open, Qualification: Priscilla Hon vs Carol Young Suh Leebacked Priscilla Hon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.3
Iasi Open: Mayar Sherif vs Oleksandra Oliynykovabacked Oleksandra Oliynykova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.27
Swedish Open: Nuno Borges vs Luciano Darderibacked Luciano Darderi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$37.72
Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Alexander Zverevbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.5
Braunschweig: Niels McDonald vs Martin Krumichbacked Niels McDonald · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$21.42
Kostyuk vs. Paolini: Match O/U 21.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+100%+$15
Set Handicap: Dimitrov (-1.5) vs Fery (+1.5)backed Fery · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
Wimbledon WTA: Emma Navarro vs Marta Kostyukbacked Emma Navarro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.6
Quito: Mwendwa Mbithi vs Matias Sotobacked Matias Soto · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+109.2%+$15.66
Lexus Eastbourne Open: Zizou Bergs vs Ugo Humbertbacked Zizou Bergs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$38.57
Bad Homburg Open: Karolina Muchova vs Naomi Osakabacked Karolina Muchova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+150%+$15
Lexus Eastbourne Open: Toby Samuel vs Juan Manuel Cerundolobacked Toby Samuel · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$16.12
Showing 25 of 63 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT3063.3%19 W · 11 L+3.7wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+20.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
NBA — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.28
NBA Summer League: Charlotte Hornets vs. Sacramento Kingsbacked Charlotte Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$54
NBA Summer League: Atlanta Hawks vs. Memphis Grizzliesbacked Memphis Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$63.93
Spread: Spurs (-7.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$10.5
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$34.55
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$16.36
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.76
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 215.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$18.62
Spread: Spurs (-4.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$30.68
Spread: Thunder (-5.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$32.64
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$25.16
Spread: Thunder (-2.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.95
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 217.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.98
Spurs vs. Thunder: 1H Moneylinebacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.64
Spread: Knicks (-1.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$47.52
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$45.54
Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 217.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$40.89
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$40.89
Spread: Spurs (-2.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$47.04
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$23.1
Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 216.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.47
Spread: Spurs (-2.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.88
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 217.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$47.52
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.98
Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 215.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.5
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
Lollast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT2832.1%9 W · 19 L-4.3wins-0.15per pick47cpaid-37%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Lol — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$381Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+86.2%+$328.7
LoL: Disguised vs Dignitas (BO3) - LCS Regular Seasonbacked Dignitas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$102
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$130
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 (BO3) - LCS Regular Seasonbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$64
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group Cbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.8
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs LYON (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.4
Game Handicap: HLE (-2.5) vs LYON (+2.5)backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.4
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs LYON - Game 4 Winnerbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.2
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$24.4
LoL: LYON vs Team Secret Whales (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$14.4
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Top Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked Team Secret Whales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$15.59
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$19.6
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+137.9%+$41.47
Game Handicap: TL (-1.5) vs Deep Cross Gaming (+1.5)backed Deep Cross Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.52
LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.96
LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 - Game 2 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.34
LoL: LOUD vs LOS (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffsbacked LOUD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.15
LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid (BO5) - LCS Playoffsbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$26.68
Game Handicap: NIP (-2.5) vs EDward Gaming (+2.5)backed EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$16.8
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT2650%13 W · 13 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+68.1%+$68.85
England vs. Argentina: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.63
England vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$46.08
Johan Manzambi: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.56
Norway vs. England: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+133.9%+$20.04
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.8
Will United States win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.6
Mexico vs. England: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$15.59
Luis Díaz: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.5
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.64
Will Algeria advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$16.5
Algeria vs. Austria: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$30.53
Will Jordan vs. Argentina end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will Paraguay vs. Australia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$17.23
Mexico vs. Korea Republic: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.2
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.44
Spread: Portugal (-1.5)backed Portugal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Austria vs. Jordan: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$17.04
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.38
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Sweden vs. Tunisia: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$17.1
Spread: Scotland (-1.5)backed Haiti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$11.52
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$26
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$20.3
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
WNBAlast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT1546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
WNBA — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Indiana Fever vs. Chicago Skybacked Indiana Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$81.82
Connecticut Sun vs. Las Vegas Aces: O/U 165.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Indiana Fever vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 185.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$78.24
Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-6.5)backed Washington Mystics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.53
Los Angeles Sparks vs. New York Libertybacked Los Angeles Sparks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.16
Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-7.5)backed Golden State Valkyries · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.6
Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-8.5)backed Golden State Valkyries · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.4
Connecticut Sun vs. Phoenix Mercurybacked Connecticut Sun · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$49.6
Spread: Indiana Fever (-9.5)backed Seattle Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$28.2
Spread: Chicago Sky (-1.5)backed Los Angeles Sparks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Spread: Los Angeles Sparks (-3.5)backed Seattle Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$13.52
Minnesota Lynx vs. Los Angeles Sparks: O/U 177.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+100%+$20
Indiana Fever vs. New York Libertybacked Indiana Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.06
Spread: Washington Mystics (-3.5)backed Seattle Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.2
Spread: Atlanta Dream (-1.5)backed Minnesota Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$23.76
All 15 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT1163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+12.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
O/U 0.5 Roundsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$230Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+30.7%+$70.66
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Conor McGregor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
O/U 2.5 Roundsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.76
UFC Fight Night: Kyoji Horiguchi vs. Manel Kape (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Manel Kape · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$20.4
UFC Fight Night: Christian Rodriguez vs. Hyder Amil (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Christian Rodriguez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$22.72
UFC Fight Night: Allan Nascimento vs. Mitch Raposo (Flyweight, Prelims)backed Allan Nascimento · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.33
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Ciryl Gane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+100%+$20.5
UFC Fight Night: Belal Muhammad vs. Gabriel Bonfim (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Gabriel Bonfim · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+100%+$21.5
O/U 1.5 Roundsbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$16.77
O/U 2.5 Roundsbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.76
UFC Fight Night: Bruno Silva vs. Édgar Cháirez (Flyweight, Prelims)backed Édgar Cháirez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$22.79
All 11 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT875%6 W · 2 L+2.1wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+50.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
CS2 — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs Ursa (BO3) - BC Game Masters Europe Series #2 Playoffsbacked FOKUS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$40.59
Counter-Strike: ENCE vs CYBERSHOKE Prospects (BO3) - European Pro League Series 7 Closed Qualifier Group Dbacked CYBERSHOKE Prospects · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$45.75
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs PARIVISION (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group Bbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.78
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs paiN (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group Abacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$22.2
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group Bbacked MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$37.05
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Legacy (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group Abacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.75
Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs paiN (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group Abacked paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$19.24
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Liquid (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group Bbacked Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$59.16
All 8 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 11, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.36per pick52cpaid-72.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
NHL — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT5100%5 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+51%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Middle East — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2last resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick70cpaid+46.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+16.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Valorant — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagueslast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CF América win on 2026-08-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$85.05
Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-05-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.45
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SS Lazio win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$18.4
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.8
All 2 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Nashville SC win on 2026-05-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$13.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 92m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$14.52
All 1 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will annual inflation be 3.7% in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.19
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.