TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

NBA Summer League: Charlotte Hornets vs. Sacramento Kings

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Sacramento Kingsof Charlotte Hornets, Sacramento Kings
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$144,544
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$163,682

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $144,544 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 146 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2c33…0563backed Charlotte Hornets62c27,641$17,137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,137.4226753.2%142 W · 125 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf070…ac55backed Sacramento Kings38c26,666$10,133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,532.925848.3%28 W · 30 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Charlotte Hornets51c14,978$7,681 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,680.7637355%205 W · 168 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Sacramento Kings67c10,104$6,805 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,299.0642842.5%182 W · 246 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f03…766dbacked Charlotte Hornets62c8,116$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0004946.9%23 W · 26 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+15.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe156…134bbacked Charlotte Hornets50c6,920$3,430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,430.111235.7%40 W · 72 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-17.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37e2…4b92backed Sacramento Kings43c6,685$2,883 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,801.714042.9%60 W · 80 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Sacramento Kings53c4,920$2,622 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,298.4793148.4%451 W · 480 L+34.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5482…b6eebacked Charlotte Hornets0c4,004$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.545502.5%14 W · 536 L+2.2wins0.00per pick2cpaid-28.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Charlotte Hornets61c2,701$1,661 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,661.0662652.2%327 W · 299 L-6.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Sacramento Kings54c2,633$1,415 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,217.8252150.9%265 W · 256 L+18.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Sacramento Kings48c2,592$1,232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,360.074,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Sacramento Kings52c2,427$1,262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,164.6922753.3%121 W · 106 L+11.4wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+2.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Sacramento Kings50c2,115$1,052 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,063.441675%12 W · 4 L+4.5wins+0.28per pick47cpaid+95.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Sacramento Kings49c2,077$1,019 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,058.348,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1852…cb4ebacked Sacramento Kings42c1,913$799 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,113.698230.5%25 W · 57 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d92…8676backed Sacramento Kings61c1,849$1,135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$713.3917646%81 W · 95 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7120…7c4ebacked Sacramento Kings48c1,769$841 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$928.088923.6%21 W · 68 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-34.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked Sacramento Kings39c1,741$671 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,069.8711145.9%51 W · 60 L+7.7wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+11.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Sacramento Kings54c1,502$816 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$685.6110761.7%66 W · 41 L+8.4wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+9.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Charlotte Hornets40c1,461$582 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$582.451,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Charlotte Hornets54c1,440$771 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$771.2918445.7%84 W · 100 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x033e…1bb9backed Sacramento Kings63c1,376$860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$515.3425146.2%116 W · 135 L+9.9wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Sacramento Kings43c1,254$538 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$715.812339.1%9 W · 14 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Sacramento Kings48c1,171$556 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$614.4925954.4%141 W · 118 L+34.1wins+0.13per pick41cpaid+68.6%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x40f7…1f5ebacked Charlotte Hornets64c1,150$736 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$735.985844.8%26 W · 32 L+0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked Sacramento Kings55c1,112$612 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$500.0321443.9%94 W · 120 L+7.8wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0e64…336dbacked Charlotte Hornets63c1,015$639 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$639.45911.1%1 W · 8 L-3.1wins-0.34per pick45cpaid-62.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Sacramento Kings49c1,000$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51025651.2%131 W · 125 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa07c…11a0backed Charlotte Hornets55c884.53$488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$488.3518140.3%73 W · 108 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+11.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Charlotte Hornets40c873.09$346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$345.931,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Sacramento Kings69c768$526 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.6511160.4%67 W · 44 L+5.7wins+0.05per pick55cpaid-1.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x30c1…9f91backed Sacramento Kings38c757.47$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$469.63580%4 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.39per pick41cpaid+71.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Charlotte Hornets51c723.47$369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$368.9776249.5%377 W · 385 L-8.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec7a…a1f2backed Charlotte Hornets75c671.69$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503.825570.9%39 W · 16 L+3.6wins+0.06per pick64cpaid+11.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x93bd…89bcbacked Sacramento Kings39c617.72$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$376.81757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick40cpaid+43.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc934…215fbacked Charlotte Hornets73c578.39$425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$424.581163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x16c8…1badbacked Charlotte Hornets35c573.81$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-33.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked Sacramento Kings79c523$416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.36437.5%24 W · 40 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-36.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x519d…37a1backed Charlotte Hornets3c449.99$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127502%15 W · 735 L-3.2wins0.00per pick2cpaid-63.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked Sacramento Kings59c444.25$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.985076%38 W · 12 L+8.5wins+0.17per pick59cpaid+21.7%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0xabea…72aebacked Charlotte Hornets27c437.86$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.87616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.27per pick44cpaid-78.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Sacramento Kings47c415.31$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.058654.7%47 W · 39 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5659…7a6bbacked Sacramento Kings47c412.08$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.061752.9%9 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8027…2ee8backed Sacramento Kings43c404.09$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.91030%3 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-34.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Sacramento Kings48c380.74$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.982,65749.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L+42.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Sacramento Kings46c347.94$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.1219548.2%94 W · 101 L+12.4wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+9.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Sacramento Kings42c340.29$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.971,63341.2%672 W · 961 L+26.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Sacramento Kings57c335.97$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.721,40940.2%567 W · 842 L-40.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f19…474ebacked Charlotte Hornets36c305.55$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7ff…8a60backed Sacramento Kings49c300$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.31per pick49cpaid+65.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xec69…6fbabacked Sacramento Kings72c300$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8414357.3%82 W · 61 L+9.4wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+2.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe846…252bbacked Charlotte Hornets37c300$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-25.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c91…b4d2backed Charlotte Hornets65c295.29$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.941315.4%2 W · 11 L-4.5wins-0.35per pick50cpaid-70.9%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Charlotte Hornets18c295$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.168838.5%265 W · 423 L-26.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Sacramento Kings51c294.11$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.1164944.7%290 W · 359 L-9.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Sacramento Kings65c290.78$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.7257550.3%289 W · 286 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Sacramento Kings57c281.73$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.1224937.3%93 W · 156 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-35%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Charlotte Hornets24c273.1$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.1436023.1%83 W · 277 L-15.6wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-49.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x52e9…c2c1backed Charlotte Hornets57c262.79$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.79450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1378…dbd2backed Charlotte Hornets61c254.92$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.5650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd5a6…6991backed Charlotte Hornets33c254.36$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.7410836.1%39 W · 69 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Sacramento Kings60c252.14$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.19851%50 W · 48 L+6.5wins+0.07per pick44cpaid-6.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfb07…e2ccbacked Sacramento Kings45c250$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.53348.5%16 W · 17 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x701c…b953backed Charlotte Hornets37c250$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.51136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick33cpaid-11.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2160…bcb3backed Charlotte Hornets54c248.46$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13530945.3%140 W · 169 L-0.7wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7cea…371bbacked Charlotte Hornets46c237.09$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.064461.4%27 W · 17 L+7.0wins+0.16per pick45cpaid+50.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x5a65…e883backed Sacramento Kings76c233.18$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.963751.4%19 W · 18 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-10.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x999a…9a25backed Sacramento Kings57c217.63$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.832781.5%22 W · 5 L+5.9wins+0.22per pick60cpaid+31.4%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x4f16…553dbacked Charlotte Hornets48c209.52$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10027145.4%123 W · 148 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9eb7…a3cdbacked Charlotte Hornets23c208.7$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481250%6 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x807f…9615backed Sacramento Kings35c200$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1301560%9 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+20.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x910a…88e5backed Charlotte Hornets37c200$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-18%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3702…9b19backed Charlotte Hornets37c200$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7430%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4e82…437abacked Charlotte Hornets37c200$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x06ff…70b7backed Charlotte Hornets9c184.99$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.23728.6%2 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.18per pick11cpaid+148.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbf49…b4a5backed Charlotte Hornets65c184.62$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1201442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-14.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Sacramento Kings44c181$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.556,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9aaf…8298backed Charlotte Hornets37c180$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.653945.3%244 W · 295 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked Charlotte Hornets58c172.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10031249.4%154 W · 158 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Sacramento Kings40c167.95$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.2332045.3%145 W · 175 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e1b…2576backed Charlotte Hornets40c167.54$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.52955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ba7…dd5abacked Sacramento Kings58c160.69$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.84560%3 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick65cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3252…1d21backed Charlotte Hornets32c150$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.81625%4 W · 12 L-2.4wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-38.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Sacramento Kings49c148.72$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.4535546.5%165 W · 190 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Sacramento Kings51c140.4$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.9433356.2%187 W · 146 L+9.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Sacramento Kings47c140$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.210757%61 W · 46 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1c66…e371backed Charlotte Hornets58c138.31$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.9315759.2%93 W · 64 L+9.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+18.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x33fe…bab3backed Sacramento Kings47c137.13$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.681100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe4f…6d4bbacked Charlotte Hornets65c135.38$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-15%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Sacramento Kings47c122.36$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.8243958.8%258 W · 181 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Charlotte Hornets35c121.02$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.3559743.6%260 W · 337 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a6a…56bdbacked Sacramento Kings46c106$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.5862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+12.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3697…f189backed Charlotte Hornets33c101.99$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.4165218.4%120 W · 532 L+12.0wins+0.02per pick17cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f76…dcc9backed Charlotte Hornets13c101.35$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.774136.6%15 W · 26 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-13.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b75…409ebacked Charlotte Hornets54c100$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$543063.3%19 W · 11 L+3.7wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+20.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x25a4…69f6backed Charlotte Hornets54c100$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Sacramento Kings76c99.99$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.151241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3404…10d2backed Sacramento Kings47c99.6$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.363458.8%20 W · 14 L+2.6wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+19.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x85c3…700cbacked Charlotte Hornets33c84.79$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.986636.4%24 W · 42 L-6.9wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-19.9%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.