TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

World Politics · resolved market

Will Choo Kyung-ho win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$971,906
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,069,463

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $971,906 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 385 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in World Politics
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0380…073dbacked No19c82,975$15,944 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,944.2834354.8%188 W · 155 L-1.5wins0.00per pick55cpaid-12%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7bc1…8db4backed No13c45,268$5,788 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,788.431650%8 W · 8 L+2.9wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+138.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8d5b…a718backed No31c37,193$11,416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,415.5590%0 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8575…87febacked No24c22,288$5,435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,435.163852.6%20 W · 18 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x60f5…e502backed Yes79c21,591$17,024 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,567.332100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+201.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0579…aa36backed No31c18,024$5,605 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,605.0550%0 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7bba…e48dbacked Yes69c17,957$12,436 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,521.1540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-42.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac4a…bf1ebacked No12c16,161$1,862 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,861.7717330.1%52 W · 121 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-21.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa89d…d0a2backed Yes77c15,553$12,051 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,501.593100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+748.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x23d8…0288backed Yes62c13,384$8,335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,048.984161%25 W · 16 L+8.3wins+0.20per pick41cpaid+51.5%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x5676…b103backed Yes63c12,493$7,914 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,579.2820538%78 W · 127 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-16.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbefa…300dbacked No0c12,200$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.74440.7%3 W · 441 L-0.7wins0.00per pick1cpaid-87.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x438d…8ef2backed No5c11,950$578 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$577.581030%3 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick23cpaid+415.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8dd…ec86backed No24c11,389$2,725 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,724.944450%22 W · 22 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60f7…050bbacked Yes75c11,298$8,484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,813.453046.7%14 W · 16 L-5.4wins-0.18per pick65cpaid-29.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xe6fa…aeecbacked No19c11,060$2,091 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,090.522020%4 W · 16 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick16cpaid-33.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd8d0…4427backed Yes80c11,041$8,825 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,215.952846.4%13 W · 15 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-28.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xff9e…56a1backed No20c10,997$2,157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,157.316536.9%24 W · 41 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick33cpaid-6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd49b…bdf9backed No31c10,768$3,305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,305.115932.2%19 W · 40 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick30cpaid-22.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked No17c9,941$1,714 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,713.613823.7%9 W · 29 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick23cpaid-40%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x398d…c7c3backed No12c8,525$989 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$989.121060%6 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+34.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc3cd…816cbacked No15c7,674$1,121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,120.5718628.5%53 W · 133 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick26cpaid-17.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6dce…4490backed Yes67c7,551$5,033 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,518.014445.5%20 W · 24 L+5.9wins+0.13per pick32cpaid+10.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa509…324ebacked No12c7,061$881 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$881.3420%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f43…64f7backed No8c6,575$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50020%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa43d…00f4backed No13c6,500$865 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$864.991952.6%10 W · 9 L+1.9wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+33.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf5b3…4155backed Yes57c6,469$3,710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,758.98341%34 W · 49 L+5.9wins+0.07per pick34cpaid+18%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xecaf…90bcbacked Yes73c6,128$4,449 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,679.653100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+160.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x944e…8c94backed Yes71c5,811$4,133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,677.5414240.8%58 W · 84 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-25.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x28bf…4a4ebacked No24c5,595$1,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,350.2339952.4%209 W · 190 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ae9…5f74backed Yes74c5,407$3,992 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,414.644729.8%14 W · 33 L-3.8wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-30.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd8d5…8935backed No16c4,837$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$780.3410151.5%52 W · 49 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-16.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb0d6…7475backed No18c4,600$824 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$824.313748.2%66 W · 71 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0873…b1fabacked Yes70c4,441$3,110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,330.85580%4 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.37per pick43cpaid+275.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2b9d…adc0backed No10c4,387$439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$438.7413444.8%60 W · 74 L+17.1wins+0.13per pick32cpaid+13.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x181e…4a56backed Yes69c4,315$2,993 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,322.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7616…69eebacked No18c4,200$758 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$757.995431.5%17 W · 37 L+0.1wins0.00per pick31cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1bc6…c936backed Yes67c4,139$2,769 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,370.032948.3%14 W · 15 L+4.2wins+0.14per pick34cpaid-11.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4a2b…af20backed No32c4,000$1,299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,298.84032.5%13 W · 27 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick26cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x01da…ea89backed No14c4,000$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$559.992133.3%7 W · 14 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-4.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd9b5…9db1backed No18c3,910$689 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$688.9612249.2%60 W · 62 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa9a…de87backed No17c3,820$640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$640.261330.8%4 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-32.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe8c2…8594backed No12c3,808$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$450714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.16per pick30cpaid-42.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5a8b…92c9backed Yes71c3,800$2,694 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,106862.5%5 W · 3 L+2.1wins+0.27per pick36cpaid+141.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x824e…265abacked No44c3,700$1,626 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,626.061216.7%2 W · 10 L-3.6wins-0.30per pick46cpaid-78.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x61cd…541ebacked Yes77c3,500$2,694 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$805.771566.7%10 W · 5 L+2.3wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+91.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5898…5028backed No30c3,474$1,035 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,034.953429.4%10 W · 24 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick24cpaid+0.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9968…a104backed Yes75c3,254$2,435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$818.793751.4%19 W · 18 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+14.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf055…ccddbacked No22c3,080$684 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$684.11546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b30…1d67backed Yes66c3,025$2,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,024.422100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x967d…0c38backed Yes70c2,948$2,069 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$878.542100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x94b7…6d1dbacked No25c2,914$724 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$723.78728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick36cpaid+65.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe40c…d6b4backed No36c2,808$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001020%2 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick14cpaid+87.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7631…564ebacked Yes69c2,645$1,825 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$819.97666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfbd8…4027backed No17c2,589$441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$441.0335258%204 W · 148 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb22a…a80dbacked Yes77c2,560$1,963 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$597.431668.8%11 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.11per pick58cpaid+16.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcfac…5b9ebacked No13c2,515$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334.850%0 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2200…0f2dbacked No14c2,427$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$327.784928.6%14 W · 35 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick23cpaid-19.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x835c…a5eebacked Yes57c2,373$1,351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,022.2955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.18per pick37cpaid+30.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes57c2,287$1,295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99226632.7%87 W · 179 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-11.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c5b…a790backed Yes79c2,282$1,798 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$483.782445.8%11 W · 13 L-3.7wins-0.15per pick61cpaid-23.4%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x511f…cbe1backed No14c2,139$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.7310646.2%49 W · 57 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16c7…22cdbacked No20c2,130$433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$433.3416450.6%83 W · 81 L+0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeae7…1884backed No38c2,094$796 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$796.43040%12 W · 18 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf082…a593backed No25c2,063$516 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$515.76633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick20cpaid+47%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcfff…673dbacked No22c2,042$457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$456.5426355.9%147 W · 116 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4da7…355ebacked No13c2,000$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.99862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.20per pick43cpaid+13.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x457a…44debacked No34c1,961$668 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$667.892334.8%8 W · 15 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick37cpaid+33.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3653…ef74backed No20c1,920$382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$381.7714753.7%79 W · 68 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8c4…395dbacked Yes78c1,896$1,479 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$417.123842.1%16 W · 22 L-4.5wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-25.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3a98…6a15backed Yes58c1,883$1,086 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$797.18666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick63cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5136…0e4fbacked No25c1,860$472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$471.63562.9%22 W · 13 L+4.0wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+24.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5566…7c29backed No18c1,804$327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$327.275345.3%24 W · 29 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-22.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e54…e8c8backed Yes74c1,798$1,328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$469.232100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+48.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a31…f2f0backed No41c1,731$708 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$708.26139.3%24 W · 37 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+11.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x435c…170fbacked Yes62c1,729$1,068 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$661.71825%2 W · 6 L-2.4wins-0.30per pick55cpaid-62.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x47a5…b734backed Yes67c1,726$1,162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$563.771450%7 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+22.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd717…3b85backed No16c1,723$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.9416254.3%88 W · 74 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1abc…45e7backed No25c1,642$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$410.3814954.4%81 W · 68 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3191…0665backed No30c1,565$463 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$463.32742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x27d2…a66cbacked Yes77c1,546$1,193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$353.271546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-25%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0bf7…0fb8backed Yes74c1,502$1,113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$388.633100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+128.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf861…aa20backed Yes68c1,488$1,012 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$476.21825%2 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick20cpaid+106.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d8d…71eebacked Yes66c1,468$970 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$498.512272.7%16 W · 6 L+3.8wins+0.17per pick55cpaid+43%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xee1c…7f72backed Yes72c1,393$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$393.471100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x942e…be27backed No29c1,392$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$410.3118762.6%117 W · 70 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfc97…31edbacked Yes69c1,383$948 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$435.33366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.34per pick33cpaid+63.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x69f0…fb27backed No26c1,382$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355.4415954.1%86 W · 73 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x72f4…3d96backed Yes63c1,360$853 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$506.994334.9%15 W · 28 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd91…32b8backed No24c1,350$326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$326.2916051.9%83 W · 77 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc3bd…9cd6backed Yes75c1,329$991 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337.55250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-33%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b8b…2512backed No22c1,324$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.8816755.1%92 W · 75 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+0.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x46f0…fe05backed Yes61c1,316$804 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$512.135817.2%10 W · 48 L+0.1wins0.00per pick17cpaid-43.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9562…a7fdbacked Yes75c1,311$989 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$322.081100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+32.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd76…77bdbacked No22c1,308$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.894944.9%22 W · 27 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+14.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe891…e3ddbacked Yes47c1,298$604 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$693.24450%2 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick26cpaid+172.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf7a6…3ebcbacked No21c1,268$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.72771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.18per pick53cpaid+69.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4e8b…8b79backed Yes78c1,174$917 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.413100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+95.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x94df…2dcebacked Yes55c1,165$646 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$518.97785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.4wins+0.34per pick52cpaid+131.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x265e…d223backed No18c1,138$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.762119%4 W · 17 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick25cpaid-45.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.