TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x72f4…3d96

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
388
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: NBA, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 56 out of 100; worst MLB at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT18242.3%77 W · 105 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 182 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$122
LoL: G2 Esports vs LYON (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$117
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.67
LoL: LYON vs Team Secret Whales (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$37
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Top Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked Team Secret Whales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$35
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$112
Game Handicap: LY (-1.5) vs FURIA Esports (+1.5)backed LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$41
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$134.99
Will Hanwha Life Esports make a roster change before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+167.1%+$57.89
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Team Liquid (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Play-Inbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.35
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$22
Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs Karmine Corp (+1.5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$42
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSIbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$197Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$197.3
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSIbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$109.2
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$38
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Road to MSIbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$89.95
LoL: BNK FEARX vs T1 - Game 1 Winnerbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 2 Winnerbacked Kiwoom DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$42
LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed DN SOOPers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$108
LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 - Game 1 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 1 Winnerbacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$40
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$117.89
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffsbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$154Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$46
Showing 25 of 182 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT7245.8%33 W · 39 L-7.0wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-15.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
MLB — the 72 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Venezuela win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$496Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+347.3%+$1,723.7
Will Japan win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$949Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$949.01
Final Stage: Japan vs. Venezuelabacked Japan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.2
First Round Pool B: USA vs. Italybacked Italy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+25%+$40
First Round Pool C: Australia vs. South Koreabacked South Korea · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$51.98
First Round Pool C: Japan vs. Australiabacked Japan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+31.8%+$35.07
First Round Pool C: South Korea vs. Chinese Taipeibacked Chinese Taipei · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$591Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+26%+$153.66
Will Cal Raleigh win the 2025 AL MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$109.69
Dodgers vs. Blue Jaysbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$22.63
Dodgers vs. Blue Jaysbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$15.09
Mariners vs. Blue Jaysbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.17
Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.25
Brewers vs. Dodgersbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$23.39
Blue Jays vs. Marinersbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$36.85
Dodgers vs. Brewersbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Mariners vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Will the Philadelphia Phillies win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$32.81
Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)backed Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$17.2
Blue Jays vs. Yankeesbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$20.85
Dodgers vs. Philliesbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Tigers vs. Marinersbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 6, 2025, EDT+132.6%+$39.77
Yankees vs. Blue Jaysbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Dodgers vs. Philliesbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$26
Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)backed Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$17.2
Red Sox vs. Yankeesbacked Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$30.38
Showing 25 of 72 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 5, 2026, EDT4334.9%15 W · 28 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 43 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will voter turnout be between 50% and 55% in the 2026 Seoul mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Will voter turnout be between 55% and 60% in the 2026 Seoul mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.88
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Electionbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$353Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$353
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Electionbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$704Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+279.7%+$1,970.69
Will Kim Kyung-soo win the 2026 Gyeongsangnam Province Gubernatorial Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.7
Will Park Wan-soo win the 2026 Gyeongsangnam Province Gubernatorial Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$971Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+297.2%+$2,887.1
Will Kim Sang-wook win the 2026 Ulsan mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$29.18
Will Choo Kyung-ho win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$853Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+59.5%+$506.99
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$68
Will NewJeans perform again by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$136Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+66.5%+$90.45
Kang Sun-woo in jail by March 31? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$265Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$265.3
Will Yoon Suk Yeol be sentenced to at least 30 years in prison?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$143.85
Will Yoon be sentenced to prison in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$5,897Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+29.1%+$1,717.84
Choo Kyung-ho in jail by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$358Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$357.87
Will NewJeans perform again in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Hwang Kyo-ahn in jail by November 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$478Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+95.4%+$455.64
Choo Kyung-ho in jail by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$164.56
Park Sung-jae in jail by November 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$809Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+64.2%+$519.61
Park Sung-jae in jail by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+603.4%+$270.35
South Korea First Lady Keon-hee arrested in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$254Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$254.09
Will Jennifer Geerlings-Simons be the next president of Suriname after the election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2025, EDT+143.9%+$35.99
Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT+170.7%+$154.48
Will Andrew Cuomo win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$210.3
North Korea missile test by June 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$67.86
Will Kim Moon-soo win more than 40% of the vote in the South Korea election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$294Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT+200.4%+$588.59
Showing 25 of 43 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT2065%13 W · 7 L+2.4wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+8.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+174%+$127
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$876Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$875.91
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$30.35
Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.86
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$107.03
Warriors vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST+72.4%+$21.72
Trail Blazers vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$7.03
Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$63.29
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$342Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT+54.4%+$185.87
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander score the most total points in the NBA Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$25.38
Spread: Thunder (-6.5)backed Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2025, EDT+70.9%+$29.88
Thunder vs. Pacersbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$11.75
Thunder vs Pacers: O/U 225.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$35.69
Thunder vs. Pacersbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Pacers vs Thunder: O/U 225.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2025, EDT+79.7%+$15.93
Pacers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$22.5
Thunder vs. Timberwolvesbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2025, EDT+42.3%+$16.92
Knicks vs Pacers: O/U 223.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2025, EDT+56.6%+$56.58
Pacers vs. Knicksbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$255Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$71.86
All 20 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-24.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+25%+$30
US forces enter Iran by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$279Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$278.65
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$163Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$163.03
US forces enter Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$39
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+45.1%+$46.65
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$265Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$265
Iran strike on US military by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$175.45
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$196Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+155.1%+$304
Nothing Ever Happens: Israel Editionbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$56.58
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+66.7%+$38.18
Israel withdraws from Gaza in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,138Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+30.7%+$348.95
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$42.12
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$290Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT+62.6%+$181.76
Israel x Iran ceasefire before July? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.69
Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$9.18
Israel strike on Iran on June 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.3
US military action against Iran before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,901Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,900.58
Iran strike on Israel by Friday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.14
Iran strike on Israel by Monday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$12.5
All 19 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT1770.6%12 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.10per pick61cpaid+19.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
UFC — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Max Holloway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$499Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+40.3%+$201
UFC 329: Paddy Pimblett vs. Benoît Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Benoît Saint Denis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Ciryl Gane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$196Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$204
UFC Freedom 250: Steve Garcia vs. Diego Lopes (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Diego Lopes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$90
UFC Fight Night: Dooho Choi vs. Daniel Santos (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Dooho Choi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+150%+$90
UFC 328: Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Tatsuro Taira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$126.28
UFC 328: Alexander Volkov vs. Waldo Cortes-Acosta (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Alexander Volkov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$43
UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Volkanovski · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+66.7%+$46.67
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Pimblett · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$69
UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Dvalishvili · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$77.25
Dvalishvili vs. Sandhagenbacked Dvalishvili · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+31.8%+$39.72
Procházka vs. Rountree Jr.backed Rountree Jr. · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.1
Santos vs. Yoobacked Santos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$21.5
UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaevbacked Chimaev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT+47.3%+$22.49
UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirierbacked Holloway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$18
UFC 317 Parlay: Topuria + Pantojabacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$3.75
Dvalishvili vs. O'Malleybacked Dvalishvili · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$337Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2025, EDT+47.9%+$161.55
All 17 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 15, 2026, EST837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-27.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 13, 2025, EST650%3 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-12.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-9.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+48.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Sep 20, 2025, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-64.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: KT vs HLEbacked HLE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT+43.5%+$36.4
LoL: T1 vs DKbacked DK · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$33
LoL: DK vs BFXbacked BFX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$37.2
LoL: HLE vs T1backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$65
All 4 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Sep 18, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick40cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Barcelona win on 2025-09-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT+163.2%+$49.6
Champions League Final: 3+ goals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$41
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-23.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Aug 7, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will GPT-5 be released on August 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.32
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$43.61
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester United win on 2025-05-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.