MLB · resolved market
First Round Pool B: USA vs. Italy
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x99b82cba99246477a226126cbd13321f32baa2a79150cf161b4cab23bd3fd23a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Italyof USA, Italy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $438,308
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $438,308 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 203 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x93ab…9723backed USA | 73c | 56,222$41,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40,999.7 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.8wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Italy | 46c | 31,898$14,789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,108.19 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad2b…f091backed Italy | 11c | 22,144$2,527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,616.91 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +60.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Italy | 7c | 20,460$1,502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,957.94 | 233 | 51.1%119 W · 114 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Italy | 19c | 18,829$3,634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,194.26 | 321 | 52%167 W · 154 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Italy | 76c | 16,038$12,153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,884.84 | 230 | 36.1%83 W · 147 L | -11.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3a…2470backed USA | 0c | 15,860$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34e4…6299backed USA | 9c | 14,268$1,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,222.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked USA | 18c | 10,418$1,833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,833.28 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc44d…935cbacked USA | 21c | 8,544$1,781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,781.37 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x683a…274ebacked USA | 33c | 8,400$2,736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,735.78 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | +5.9wins | +0.13per pick | 31cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbd36…6ec9backed Italy | 9c | 7,783$695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,088.11 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +64.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57b9…d142backed Italy | 9c | 7,000$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,370 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Italy | 8c | 5,734$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,255.48 | 1,041 | 50.1%522 W · 519 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bc6…66d3backed USA | 58c | 5,422$3,142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,141.84 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc51a…a0d9backed USA | 73c | 5,330$3,899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,899.23 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Italy | 47c | 4,511$2,118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,392.97 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked USA | 15c | 3,951$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601.24 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Italy | 22c | 3,841$852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,989.36 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa842…ab57backed Italy | 43c | 3,609$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,049.03 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.35per pick | 36cpaid | +79.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5a70…5882backed USA | 9c | 3,408$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…c867backed Italy | 20c | 3,393$666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,727.53 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +4.4wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +59%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x969b…db70backed USA | 1c | 3,333$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Italy | 9c | 3,208$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,934.2 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed USA | 11c | 3,105$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.01 | 224 | 2.7%6 W · 218 L | -10.6wins | -0.05per pick | 7cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Italy | 77c | 2,876$2,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650.77 | 1,722 | 50.3%867 W · 855 L | +55.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf83d…367dbacked Italy | 7c | 2,708$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,530.63 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Italy | 24c | 2,670$628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,041.88 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Italy | 8c | 2,530$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,338.65 | 465 | 47.1%219 W · 246 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Italy | 36c | 2,380$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,530.04 | 161 | 32.3%52 W · 109 L | -10.9wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x82a8…6c09backed USA | 16c | 2,373$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.77 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x881e…6af8backed USA | 9c | 2,313$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed USA | 19c | 1,957$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.15 | 851 | 35.8%305 W · 546 L | -23.3wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13ff…16a3backed USA | 32c | 1,890$596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595.5 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed USA | 24c | 1,819$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.61 | 218 | 42.7%93 W · 125 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed USA | 26c | 1,672$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.19 | 65 | 24.6%16 W · 49 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…6ccfbacked USA | 10c | 1,664$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166 | 179 | 61.5%110 W · 69 L | +16.7wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Italy | 58c | 1,633$946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$686.65 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb20…3b5cbacked Italy | 27c | 1,626$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,186.93 | 134 | 61.9%83 W · 51 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96f8…2560backed USA | 46c | 1,522$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.22per pick | 68cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ae…6fc3backed USA | 78c | 1,450$1,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,129.5 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +190.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd38a…4832backed USA | 17c | 1,379$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.6 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc5e…e87cbacked Italy | 77c | 1,377$1,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Italy | 8c | 1,286$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,183.97 | 507 | 51.7%262 W · 245 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98cc…f321backed USA | 69c | 1,261$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$870 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Italy | 63c | 1,243$788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.11 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3032…9b05backed USA | 41c | 1,222$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed USA | 2c | 1,165$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.07 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +4.2wins | +0.28per pick | 25cpaid | +187%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Italy | 9c | 1,111$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,011.11 | 190 | 53.7%102 W · 88 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked USA | 28c | 1,027$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.02 | 477 | 43%205 W · 272 L | -12.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed USA | 11c | 1,000$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.42 | 1,173 | 29%340 W · 833 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe75a…5a83backed USA | 30c | 980.99$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.99 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +31%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…0876backed Italy | 8c | 968$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$890.56 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2f…3531backed Italy | 26c | 883.73$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$653.96 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3626…19e2backed USA | 58c | 879.95$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.24 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -3.3wins | -0.33per pick | 43cpaid | -80.4%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe77b…f10abacked Italy | 8c | 873.93$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$801.14 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked USA | 33c | 839$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.36 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked USA | 33c | 807$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.08 | 92 | 41.3%38 W · 54 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa80c…dd0dbacked USA | 6c | 798.64$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.16 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed USA | 32c | 793$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.97 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed USA | 33c | 765$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.58 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Italy | 12c | 753.44$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$661.03 | 6,302 | 48.3%3,041 W · 3,261 L | +181.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x079f…a9d1backed USA | 34c | 748$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.01 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4db5…5504backed Italy | 8c | 699.99$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$644 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 20cpaid | +316.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97ff…f76abacked USA | 6c | 688.19$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.83 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 20cpaid | +135.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3100…9bc9backed Italy | 8c | 677.8$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$626.82 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Italy | 10c | 662.32$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$596.09 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed USA | 74c | 614.4$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.14 | 134 | 41%55 W · 79 L | -12.2wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -19%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc991…abd4backed USA | 74c | 511.02$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.07 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e3…5889backed USA | 30c | 500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd5…8afbbacked USA | 21c | 500$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Italy | 18c | 498.93$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.02 | 1,911 | 53.1%1,014 W · 897 L | +43.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Italy | 9c | 493.46$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.99 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf22a…1697backed Italy | 9c | 483.25$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.51 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | +52.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc998…f060backed Italy | 59c | 470.2$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.71 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e05…1b97backed Italy | 7c | 450$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.5 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +83.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b7c…8d4cbacked Italy | 8c | 443.82$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.32 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 24cpaid | +161.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Italy | 39c | 421$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.56 | 103 | 53.4%55 W · 48 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fae…c000backed Italy | 6c | 416.67$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.94per pick | 6cpaid | +1,566.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…c938backed USA | 77c | 414.3$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.36 | 59 | 28.8%17 W · 42 L | -6.9wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0204…0e31backed Italy | 9c | 405.25$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.25 | 180 | 48.3%87 W · 93 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9510…16dfbacked USA | 74c | 403.27$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.72 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9729…e247backed Italy | 78c | 398.17$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.3 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -10%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c2…b14dbacked Italy | 15c | 394.69$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.97 | 1,149 | 48.9%562 W · 587 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ebc…8b41backed USA | 21c | 377.86$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.97 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30ab…f338backed USA | 74c | 358.32$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.57 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -3.8wins | -0.27per pick | 56cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdf39…591ebacked USA | 74c | 342.83$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.29per pick | 62cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6f20…6a22backed USA | 25c | 325.72$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa005…6646backed USA | 31c | 324$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.88 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Italy | 31c | 322.16$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.85 | 781 | 46.4%362 W · 419 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Italy | 28c | 318.41$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.51 | 639 | 42.7%273 W · 366 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb68d…9b4abacked USA | 41c | 312.08$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.78 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.27per pick | 38cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Italy | 16c | 310.66$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.66 | 133 | 45.9%61 W · 72 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69c2…40cfbacked USA | 16c | 308.92$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 182 | 39.6%72 W · 110 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f2…04c3backed USA | 31c | 292.16$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.17 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd7…ec7cbacked USA | 40c | 291.47$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.08 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 64cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Italy | 9c | 267.95$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.4 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0044…cb2cbacked USA | 15c | 262.51$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.44 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x260d…ab4dbacked Italy | 12c | 255.68$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.88per pick | 12cpaid | +733.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed USA | 29c | 252.53$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.76 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.