TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa80c…dd0d

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
83
Categories scored
21
Categories below 50
13

Best Category: Middle East, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 56 out of 100; worst Commodities at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT2450%12 W · 12 L+2.6wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+26.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Middle East — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.77
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.55
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+125.6%+$68.32
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.33
US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.36
JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.1
US forces enter Iran by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+67.6%+$30.25
US forces enter Iran by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$459Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+58.5%+$268.68
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+119.8%+$66.38
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$417Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+176.1%+$733.94
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$545Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+243%+$1,324.5
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+69.1%+$14.29
US forces enter Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$208Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$207.6
Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$255Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$255.08
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$389Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$388.89
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$201Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$200.77
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on March 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+278.4%+$82.7
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$178Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+40.3%+$71.69
Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$559Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+82.9%+$463.18
Will Iran strike Israel on March 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.88
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.5
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$225Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+52.5%+$118
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+528.3%+$120.69
All 24 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 26, 2026, EDT1241.7%5 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid-26.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Miami Open: Tommy Paul vs Arthur Filsbacked Tommy Paul · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.25
Miami Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Taylor Fritzbacked Jiri Lehecka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+83.2%+$56.75
Miami Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Sebastian Kordabacked Carlos Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
BNP Paribas Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakinabacked Aryna Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+93.1%+$134.79
BNP Paribas Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Carlos Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$324Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$324.26
BNP Paribas Open: Alexander Zverev vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$88.43
BNP Paribas Open: Jack Draper vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Jack Draper · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.4
Cherbourg: Filippo Romano vs Patrick Bradybacked Filippo Romano · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$8.2
BNP Paribas Open: Novak Djokovic vs Jack Draperbacked Novak Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$210.36
BNP Paribas Open: Learner Tien vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokinabacked Learner Tien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$79.83
BNP Paribas Open: Alex Michelsen vs Taylor Fritzbacked Alex Michelsen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$7
BNP Paribas Open: Ben Shelton vs Learner Tienbacked Ben Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.56
All 12 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT825%2 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-64.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Commodities — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$232Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$231.92
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.95
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$505Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$505.35
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$174.81
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.56
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$214Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$214.16
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$357Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+53.6%+$191.27
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+31.4%+$6.73
All 8 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-47.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2026, EDT60%0 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Tweets — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-57.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick66cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Cricket — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Oilers vs. Utahbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.97
Lightning vs. Sabresbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.4
Golden Knights vs. Starsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+181.7%+$38.69
All 3 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Final Stage: Dominican Rep. vs. USAbacked Dominican Rep. · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$124.52
Final Stage: Japan vs. Venezuelabacked Japan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$748Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$747.55
First Round Pool B: USA vs. Italybacked USA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.16
All 3 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$566Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+89.5%+$506.69
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$223Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+67.7%+$150.68
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-31.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.84per pick16cpaid+530.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$564Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+530.4%+$2,991.06
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.69per pick31cpaid+221.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Texas Longhorns vs. Gonzaga Bulldogsbacked Texas Longhorns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+221.4%+$31
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Mar 24, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$162Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+26.8%+$43.61
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 1. FC Köln vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+25%+$7.91
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Getafe CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.49
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lens win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.92
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AS Roma vs. US Lecce end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.03
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump visit China by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.03
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs TheMongolz (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Bbacked Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.5
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.