NHL · resolved market
Golden Knights vs. Stars
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd64258db037714270b9c6a6d6526d6cd918db0234aa1985367e85543471f87ee
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Golden Knightsof Golden Knights, Stars
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $895,861
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $895,861 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 717 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf195…8057backed Golden Knights | 44c | 292,406$128,659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163,747.54 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Stars | 57c | 129,171$73,284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73,284.21 | 485 | 49.7%241 W · 244 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Stars | 56c | 119,914$67,152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67,151.72 | 670 | 51%342 W · 328 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Golden Knights | 43c | 103,187$44,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58,812.04 | 108 | 40.7%44 W · 64 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Golden Knights | 44c | 70,000$30,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39,199.96 | 367 | 48%176 W · 191 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Stars | 56c | 62,176$34,818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,818.3 | 243 | 49.8%121 W · 122 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Golden Knights | 43c | 58,839$25,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,613.38 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Stars | 57c | 54,548$31,183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,182.65 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Stars | 56c | 46,553$26,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,069.76 | 403 | 51.9%209 W · 194 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Golden Knights | 44c | 40,000$17,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,600 | 100 | 50%50 W · 50 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Stars | 56c | 34,400$19,264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,264 | 514 | 52.3%269 W · 245 L | +17.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Stars | 57c | 23,563$13,431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,430.69 | 515 | 50.7%261 W · 254 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…eadcbacked Stars | 54c | 22,756$12,366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,366.31 | 274 | 48.9%134 W · 140 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Stars | 57c | 18,179$10,288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,287.64 | 619 | 50.1%310 W · 309 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Stars | 56c | 13,195$7,381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,380.64 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Golden Knights | 54c | 13,157$7,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,053.3 | 896 | 36.9%331 W · 565 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc08…a137backed Golden Knights | 44c | 10,920$4,795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,124.77 | 302 | 59.6%180 W · 122 L | +31.0wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8ccc…f2dabacked Stars | 55c | 10,000$5,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,500 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Golden Knights | 43c | 10,000$4,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,699.97 | 510 | 45.5%232 W · 278 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed Stars | 51c | 8,656$4,415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,414.77 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Stars | 56c | 7,905$4,428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,428.12 | 793 | 50.1%397 W · 396 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb68…a240backed Stars | 57c | 7,877$4,490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,490.08 | 500 | 49.6%248 W · 252 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Stars | 56c | 7,493$4,196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,195.86 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Stars | 42c | 7,386$3,102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,102.22 | 128 | 38.3%49 W · 79 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6368…6dc8backed Stars | 56c | 6,875$3,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,850 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Golden Knights | 44c | 6,309$2,776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,533.28 | 594 | 50.8%302 W · 292 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Stars | 55c | 6,215$3,399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,399.34 | 588 | 41.8%246 W · 342 L | -20.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Stars | 56c | 6,000$3,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,360 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Stars | 59c | 6,000$3,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,540 | 617 | 48.5%299 W · 318 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x844e…4efdbacked Golden Knights | 49c | 5,840$2,862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,978.4 | 52 | 76.9%40 W · 12 L | +11.6wins | +0.22per pick | 55cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Golden Knights | 50c | 5,764$2,871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,893.25 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb148…9355backed Stars | 57c | 5,295$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -41%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x201c…58bfbacked Stars | 56c | 5,000$2,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,800 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | -7.5wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -21%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Golden Knights | 43c | 5,000$2,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,850 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Golden Knights | 41c | 4,611$1,876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,735.31 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ae…f001backed Golden Knights | 41c | 4,540$1,861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,678.6 | 149 | 54.4%81 W · 68 L | +9.5wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Golden Knights | 57c | 4,522$2,597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,924.53 | 1,202 | 60.1%722 W · 480 L | +51.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Golden Knights | 44c | 4,498$1,979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,518.97 | 265 | 51.3%136 W · 129 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x607d…53a1backed Stars | 56c | 4,464$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 134 | 46.3%62 W · 72 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Stars | 56c | 4,444$2,489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,488.64 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Stars | 57c | 4,000$2,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,280 | 397 | 52.1%207 W · 190 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Golden Knights | 42c | 4,000$1,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,319.95 | 305 | 52.5%160 W · 145 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Golden Knights | 43c | 3,869$1,662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,207.15 | 366 | 48.6%178 W · 188 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Stars | 57c | 3,534$2,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,014.29 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1eaf…9bf0backed Stars | 56c | 3,512$1,967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,966.6 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0c…7c83backed Stars | 57c | 3,509$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Stars | 58c | 3,478$2,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,017 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Stars | 56c | 3,475$1,946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,946 | 322 | 51.9%167 W · 155 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacae…6798backed Golden Knights | 43c | 3,460$1,488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,972.16 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Golden Knights | 44c | 3,077$1,354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,722.92 | 520 | 50%260 W · 260 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Golden Knights | 43c | 2,879$1,241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,638.24 | 457 | 51.6%236 W · 221 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Stars | 55c | 2,650$1,459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,459.12 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf594…bfc1backed Golden Knights | 45c | 2,585$1,163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,422.75 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Stars | 56c | 2,500$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 849 | 53.8%457 W · 392 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Golden Knights | 53c | 2,355$1,253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,101.79 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c8…d8a4backed Golden Knights | 43c | 2,326$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,325.58 | 149 | 40.9%61 W · 88 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Stars | 48c | 2,235$1,078 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,077.83 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Golden Knights | 43c | 2,052$882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,169.64 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd35d…a329backed Stars | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Golden Knights | 41c | 2,000$820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,179.99 | 632 | 49.5%313 W · 319 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed Stars | 57c | 1,900$1,083 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,083 | 445 | 51.2%228 W · 217 L | +16.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Golden Knights | 50c | 1,882$933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$948.67 | 893 | 55.5%496 W · 397 L | +67.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Stars | 57c | 1,880$1,072 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,071.6 | 339 | 50.1%170 W · 169 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Golden Knights | 43c | 1,860$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060.2 | 619 | 59.1%366 W · 253 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Golden Knights | 43c | 1,800$777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,022.52 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Stars | 57c | 1,754$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 321 | 51.7%166 W · 155 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Golden Knights | 43c | 1,692$728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$964.42 | 1,087 | 45.1%490 W · 597 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebc7…4003backed Golden Knights | 41c | 1,552$636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$915.45 | 115 | 53%61 W · 54 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa676…a4c5backed Stars | 27c | 1,536$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.32 | 134 | 37.3%50 W · 84 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed Stars | 56c | 1,500$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 623 | 46.9%292 W · 331 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Golden Knights | 62c | 1,472$912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.89 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Stars | 51c | 1,360$688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$687.6 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x921b…9793backed Stars | 54c | 1,349$728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$728.46 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Stars | 56c | 1,295$725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$725.23 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Stars | 55c | 1,220$671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$671.11 | 724 | 48.3%350 W · 374 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x694d…c5a4backed Stars | 58c | 1,200$694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$694 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d61…6f1abacked Stars | 59c | 1,186$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.40per pick | 65cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb20…3b5cbacked Stars | 58c | 1,160$672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$672 | 103 | 67%69 W · 34 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d83…a7d1backed Golden Knights | 46c | 1,138$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614.52 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.21per pick | 49cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Stars | 56c | 1,113$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624.7 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0acc…9dc1backed Stars | 57c | 1,053$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 250 | 52.8%132 W · 118 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c8c…c7b4backed Stars | 59c | 1,017$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb75…6dd0backed Golden Knights | 49c | 1,010$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -32%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Stars | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 274 | 45.6%125 W · 149 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba9c…d2c1backed Stars | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 98 | 53.1%52 W · 46 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…f205backed Stars | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 242 | 0.8%2 W · 240 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce4d…a7fabacked Stars | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 255 | 55.3%141 W · 114 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7333…ca16backed Stars | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56c2…17bfbacked Stars | 56c | 999.99$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 254 | 47.2%120 W · 134 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed Stars | 56c | 999.99$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.99 | 435 | 48.5%211 W · 224 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Golden Knights | 46c | 995.63$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.85 | 428 | 47.2%202 W · 226 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Golden Knights | 44c | 995.03$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560.55 | 1,092 | 50.4%550 W · 542 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc426…20b4backed Stars | 56c | 892.13$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Golden Knights | 47c | 884.6$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.58 | 115 | 33.9%39 W · 76 L | -9.3wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Stars | 57c | 877.39$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.45 | 377 | 54.4%205 W · 172 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd04…a64abacked Stars | 57c | 877.19$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26fb…67b8backed Stars | 60c | 818.82$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.86 | 128 | 59.4%76 W · 52 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Golden Knights | 50c | 806.17$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.36 | 519 | 49.5%257 W · 262 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf756…7d3abacked Golden Knights | 44c | 800$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Golden Knights | 54c | 797.98$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.98 | 950 | 49.1%466 W · 484 L | +12.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Golden Knights vs. Starsthis page
- Golden Knights vs. Stars: O/U 4.5Over won
- Golden Knights vs. Stars: O/U 5.5Under won
- Golden Knights vs. Stars: O/U 6.5Under won
- Golden Knights vs. Stars: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Stars (-1.5)Golden Knights won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.