TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xd35d…a329

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
136
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Premier League, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 54 out of 100; worst Tennis at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT3823.7%9 W · 29 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick22cpaid-25.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 38 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Iowa State win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will Arkansas win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Saint Joseph's Hawks vs. New Mexico Lobosbacked Saint Joseph's Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.9
Wichita State Shockers vs. Tulsa Golden Hurricanebacked Wichita State Shockers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.94
Florida International Golden Panthers vs. Abilene Christian Wildcats (W)backed Florida International Golden Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
USC Trojans vs. South Carolina Gamecocks (W)backed USC Trojans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.98
Radford Highlanders vs. Arkansas State Red Wolves (W)backed Radford Highlanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
George Washington Revolutionaries vs. Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles (W)backed George Washington Revolutionaries · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+614.3%+$128.99
St. Bonaventure Bonnies vs. Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders (W)backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.99
UMBC Retrievers vs. Marshall Thundering Herd (W)backed UMBC Retrievers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Vanderbilt Commodores (W)backed Illinois Fighting Illini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Binghamton Bearcats vs. La Salle Explorers (W)backed Binghamton Bearcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Washington Huskies vs. TCU Horned Frogs (W)backed Washington Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Florida Gatorsbacked Iowa Hawkeyes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+488.2%+$97.16
UCLA Bruins vs. Connecticut Huskiesbacked UCLA Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.84
Saint Joseph's Hawks vs. California Golden Bearsbacked Saint Joseph's Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$21.48
Wichita State Shockers vs. Oklahoma State Cowboysbacked Oklahoma State Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.83
Seattle Redhawks vs. Auburn Tigersbacked Seattle Redhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.93
Utah State Aggies vs. Arizona Wildcatsbacked Utah State Aggies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.88
George Washington Revolutionaries vs. New Mexico Lobosbacked George Washington Revolutionaries · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.94
Illinois State Redbirds vs. Wake Forest Demon Deaconsbacked Illinois State Redbirds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$56.54
Miami Hurricanes vs. Purdue Boilermakersbacked Miami Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.87
VCU Rams vs. Illinois Fighting Illinibacked VCU Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.94
High Point Panthers vs. Arkansas Razorbacksbacked High Point Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.92
Vanderbilt Commodores vs. Nebraska Cornhuskersbacked Nebraska Cornhuskers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$14.36
Showing 25 of 38 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 25, 2026, EDT3522.9%8 W · 27 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-16.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 35 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Magic vs. Cavaliersbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Bucks vs. Clippersbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Warriors vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Nets vs. Trail Blazersbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Raptors vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Rockets vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$35.56
Grizzlies vs. Hawksbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Pacers vs. Magicbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+669.2%+$133.85
Lakers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$21.67
Spurs vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Thunder vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Wizards vs. Knicksbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Raptors vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$13.33
Timberwolves vs. Celticsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$42.5
Trail Blazers vs. Nuggetsbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Clippers vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Bucks vs. Sunsbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+525%+$105
Warriors vs. Hawksbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Pacers vs. Spursbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
76ers vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Cavaliers vs. Pelicansbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$20.82
Grizzlies vs. Hornetsbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Heat vs. Rocketsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Lakers vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Raptors vs. Nuggetsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Showing 25 of 35 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 25, 2026, EDT2825%7 W · 21 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-33.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kings vs. Flamesbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+237.2%+$47.45
Capitals vs. Bluesbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Sharks vs. Predatorsbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Devils vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Golden Knights vs. Jetsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Wild vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$56.92
Avalanche vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Maple Leafs vs. Bruinsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+150%+$30
Kraken vs. Panthersbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Hurricanes vs. Canadiensbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Senators vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Blue Jackets vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Blackhawks vs. Islandersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Senators vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Kings vs. Utahbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Blue Jackets vs. Islandersbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Golden Knights vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Sabres vs. Ducksbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Lightning vs. Flamesbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.13
Lightning vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Islanders vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$46.67
Maple Leafs vs. Senatorsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Blues vs. Canucksbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Flyers vs. Kingsbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$36.77
Islanders vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$53.21
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1118.2%2 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick25cpaid-40.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+426.3%+$255.79
US forces enter Iran by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
US forces enter Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$59
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$59
Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$59
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$59
Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$59
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$59
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$17.92
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 18, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.42
All 11 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 25, 2026, EDT80%0 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 23, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+119%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 Carabao Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$69.26
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Carabao Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+120.5%+$71.1
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+98.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Liverpool FC vs. Galatasaray SK: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$54.46
FC Barcelona vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$61.41
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick16cpaid+194.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-15.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 23, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-18%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 27, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$59
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.