NBA · resolved market
Timberwolves vs. Celtics
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8b13fb10ede6a709be325c200cc9026aa80740735a643174a2be017a77d7d836
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Timberwolvesof Timberwolves, Celtics
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,222,767
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,222,767 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,319 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8e43…a3cdbacked Timberwolves | 22c | 227,272$50,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177,272.1 | 435 | 42.8%186 W · 249 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4eef…3fcbbacked Celtics | 75c | 200,622$149,491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149,491.44 | 119 | 55.5%66 W · 53 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc0…4429backed Timberwolves | 22c | 139,959$30,572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109,387.56 | 483 | 43.7%211 W · 272 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05f6…8cecbacked Celtics | 80c | 124,976$99,784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99,783.58 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacae…6798backed Celtics | 78c | 112,130$87,462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87,461.59 | 112 | 41.1%46 W · 66 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d0…c993backed Celtics | 0c | 99,167$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.17 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Celtics | 80c | 82,155$65,724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65,724 | 365 | 49.6%181 W · 184 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Celtics | 50c | 78,321$39,102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39,102.48 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Celtics | 78c | 70,360$54,991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54,991.39 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…eadcbacked Celtics | 70c | 66,013$46,086 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46,086.42 | 207 | 44%91 W · 116 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Timberwolves | 20c | 64,067$12,813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51,253.76 | 292 | 45.5%133 W · 159 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3a…3246backed Timberwolves | 29c | 57,068$16,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,518.62 | 199 | 54.8%109 W · 90 L | +12.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Timberwolves | 26c | 54,247$14,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,092.38 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Timberwolves | 23c | 46,157$10,789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,368.18 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Timberwolves | 20c | 45,000$9,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36,000 | 109 | 30.3%33 W · 76 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd92…6b2abacked Timberwolves | 21c | 40,000$8,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,600 | 126 | 39.7%50 W · 76 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Celtics | 55c | 35,074$19,342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,341.91 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Celtics | 54c | 33,676$18,346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,346.18 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x183d…1270backed Celtics | 14c | 32,105$4,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,650.03 | 46 | 19.6%9 W · 37 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc65c…ea39backed Timberwolves | 22c | 27,483$6,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,436.56 | 172 | 50.6%87 W · 85 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Timberwolves | 20c | 25,000$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,000 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Timberwolves | 12c | 24,888$3,081 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,807.14 | 830 | 39.4%327 W · 503 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Celtics | 59c | 22,624$13,416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,415.63 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Timberwolves | 22c | 22,595$4,961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,633.94 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba9…0516backed Celtics | 8c | 22,478$1,719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,719.26 | 74 | 12.2%9 W · 65 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9a…5f69backed Celtics | 1c | 22,155$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.92 | 521 | 3.8%20 W · 501 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Timberwolves | 20c | 20,799$4,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,559.69 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Timberwolves | 47c | 20,027$9,347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,679.06 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f3b…0cf9backed Celtics | 77c | 17,755$13,689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,689 | 221 | 59.7%132 W · 89 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Timberwolves | 20c | 15,495$3,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,394.22 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb58e…d570backed Celtics | 80c | 15,000$12,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,000 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99e4…e4c4backed Timberwolves | 31c | 14,700$4,557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,142.62 | 146 | 63.7%93 W · 53 L | +11.6wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…b386backed Timberwolves | 23c | 14,491$3,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,158.3 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | +4.2wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Timberwolves | 20c | 14,141$2,884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,257.38 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d4…2a42backed Timberwolves | 13c | 14,044$1,809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,235.8 | 98 | 51%50 W · 48 L | +5.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf679…16acbacked Timberwolves | 40c | 13,800$5,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,280 | 107 | 43%46 W · 61 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Timberwolves | 21c | 13,755$2,855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,900.17 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc99a…7cf0backed Celtics | 0c | 13,594$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6165…db3cbacked Celtics | 78c | 12,821$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 86 | 62.8%54 W · 32 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…5104backed Celtics | 22c | 12,598$2,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,800 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Timberwolves | 61c | 12,529$7,603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,925.18 | 662 | 48.5%321 W · 341 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d34…3406backed Celtics | 76c | 12,513$9,468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,468 | 161 | 62.7%101 W · 60 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f5a…280bbacked Celtics | 12c | 12,287$1,510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,510 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed Timberwolves | 21c | 12,000$2,510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,489.97 | 1,390 | 26%361 W · 1,029 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Timberwolves | 70c | 11,984$8,351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,633.05 | 768 | 50.3%386 W · 382 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cde…b97dbacked Celtics | 79c | 11,486$9,074 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,073.77 | 122 | 51.6%63 W · 59 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7792…b63bbacked Timberwolves | 21c | 11,200$2,352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,848 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4870…85f7backed Celtics | 79c | 11,200$8,848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,847.96 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…ad81backed Celtics | 2c | 10,735$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.07 | 317 | 9.5%30 W · 287 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18bb…e5cdbacked Timberwolves | 22c | 10,000$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,800 | 90 | 18.9%17 W · 73 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Celtics | 78c | 10,000$7,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,800 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4137…586cbacked Timberwolves | 21c | 10,000$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,899.74 | 470 | 43.8%206 W · 264 L | -22.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…884ebacked Timberwolves | 26c | 9,843$2,543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,300.36 | 82 | 25.6%21 W · 61 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Celtics | 14c | 9,697$1,358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,357.58 | 483 | 52%251 W · 232 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb275…c76fbacked Celtics | 79c | 9,520$7,521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,520.93 | 155 | 51.6%80 W · 75 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9852…111abacked Celtics | 79c | 9,452$7,467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,467.32 | 89 | 53.9%48 W · 41 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb8b…95cbbacked Celtics | 79c | 9,000$7,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,109.98 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +26%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Timberwolves | 22c | 9,000$1,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,039.88 | 866 | 41.5%359 W · 507 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Timberwolves | 21c | 8,892$1,873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,019.39 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8716…bd57backed Timberwolves | 22c | 8,888$1,955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,932.64 | 418 | 32.8%137 W · 281 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x034b…b22bbacked Celtics | 79c | 8,418$6,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,650 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +4.6wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +18%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Celtics | 23c | 8,300$1,913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,912.99 | 480 | 46%221 W · 259 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Celtics | 58c | 8,182$4,778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,778.49 | 313 | 45%141 W · 172 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Celtics | 50c | 7,932$3,966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,966 | 1,200 | 51.6%619 W · 581 L | +66.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5555…2af1backed Timberwolves | 26c | 7,777$2,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,721.62 | 214 | 46.7%100 W · 114 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Timberwolves | 27c | 7,657$2,067 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,589.67 | 488 | 45.3%221 W · 267 L | +18.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Timberwolves | 29c | 7,242$2,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,112.09 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed Celtics | 78c | 7,210$5,624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,623.8 | 502 | 41.2%207 W · 295 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1bd…7235backed Timberwolves | 12c | 7,000$870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,129.98 | 64 | 29.7%19 W · 45 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Celtics | 48c | 6,948$3,370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,369.53 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Timberwolves | 64c | 6,817$4,351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,465.99 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c8c…c7b4backed Celtics | 69c | 6,804$4,670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,670 | 356 | 50%178 W · 178 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa8…7ea2backed Celtics | 76c | 6,537$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 345 | 54.8%189 W · 156 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafe4…f3f7backed Timberwolves | 32c | 6,429$2,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,378.57 | 158 | 50.6%80 W · 78 L | +10.3wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Celtics | 62c | 6,413$3,952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,951.74 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea21…99ddbacked Celtics | 80c | 6,250$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 76 | 56.6%43 W · 33 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Timberwolves | 33c | 6,213$2,053 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,160.42 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed Timberwolves | 22c | 6,000$1,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,679.88 | 659 | 39.5%260 W · 399 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…6fefbacked Timberwolves | 22c | 6,000$1,316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,683.81 | 434 | 38.5%167 W · 267 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Celtics | 50c | 5,897$2,949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,948.5 | 1,055 | 49.9%526 W · 529 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Celtics | 0c | 5,805$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.16 | 882 | 0%0 W · 882 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Celtics | 78c | 5,783$4,511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,511 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Celtics | 77c | 5,735$4,427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,427.32 | 348 | 51.7%180 W · 168 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Celtics | 9c | 5,411$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.58 | 645 | 17.1%110 W · 535 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…68a8backed Timberwolves | 30c | 5,220$1,591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,628.8 | 101 | 44.6%45 W · 56 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f50…3191backed Celtics | 78c | 5,150$4,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,017 | 78 | 65.4%51 W · 27 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a68…7b56backed Celtics | 79c | 5,063$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 80 | 55%44 W · 36 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Timberwolves | 20c | 5,048$1,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,024.36 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82eb…9287backed Celtics | 77c | 5,046$3,885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,885.43 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 68cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f09…9312backed Celtics | 50c | 5,011$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 95 | 47.4%45 W · 50 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8000…3a21backed Timberwolves | 25c | 5,000$1,251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,748.91 | 259 | 47.5%123 W · 136 L | +14.5wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8436…4c19backed Celtics | 79c | 5,000$3,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,950 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +5.7wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +55.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Timberwolves | 20c | 5,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,000 | 649 | 44.7%290 W · 359 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0867…c3f4backed Celtics | 4c | 5,000$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 206 | 44.7%92 W · 114 L | +13.6wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd052…19f3backed Timberwolves | 21c | 5,000$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,949.98 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Timberwolves | 22c | 4,956$1,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,865.44 | 584 | 49.7%290 W · 294 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d36…68fdbacked Timberwolves | 61c | 4,949$3,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,929.97 | 127 | 40.9%52 W · 75 L | -15.3wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xee95…b002backed Timberwolves | 21c | 4,900$1,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,871.03 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0441…b3aabacked Celtics | 79c | 4,800$3,792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,792 | 84 | 41.7%35 W · 49 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d1…553ebacked Timberwolves | 21c | 4,800$1,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,791.9 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Timberwolves vs. Celticsthis page
- 1H Spread: Celtics (-6.5)Timberwolves won
- Ayo Dosunmu: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Jaden McDaniels: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- Jaden McDaniels: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Jaylen Brown: Points O/U 25.5Yes won
- Julius Randle: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Naz Reid: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Naz Reid: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Neemias Queta: Rebounds O/U 8.5Yes won
- Payton Pritchard: Points O/U 15.5No won
- Rudy Gobert: Points O/U 10.5No won
- Rudy Gobert: Rebounds O/U 11.5Yes won
- Spread: Celtics (-10.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Celtics (-9.5)Timberwolves won
- Timberwolves vs. Celtics: 1H MoneylineTimberwolves won
- Timberwolves vs. Celtics: 1H O/U 107.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Celtics: 1H O/U 108.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Celtics: O/U 219.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Celtics: O/U 220.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Celtics: O/U 221.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Celtics: O/U 222.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.