TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Jaylen Brown: Points O/U 25.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$10,321

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,321 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7879…3653backed Yes50c2,000$1,000 inWon+$1,00015952.8%84 W · 75 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xedf7…8f79backed No50c1,023$510 inLost-$510.031,39348.3%673 W · 720 L+19.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed No47c677.81$320 inLost-$319.835,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked No50c495.51$247 inLost-$24771449.3%352 W · 362 L+2.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed No50c495.1$248 inLost-$247.551,21248.3%586 W · 626 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2fa4…9a4cbacked Yes49c400$196 inWon+$20416148.4%78 W · 83 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc3a9…592dbacked Yes52c251.92$131 inWon+$120.924761.7%29 W · 18 L+5.4wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+21.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x02b1…c764backed Yes54c250$136 inWon+$113.874757.4%27 W · 20 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+13.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x450b…11d7backed No50c200$100 inLost-$10052146.6%243 W · 278 L-14.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x292e…172cbacked No50c200$100 inLost-$10043447.5%206 W · 228 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0273…1867backed Yes51c196.08$100 inWon+$96.0829040.3%117 W · 173 L-7.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa20a…d92dbacked Yes57c149.98$85 inWon+$64.997354.8%40 W · 33 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked No50c112.14$56 inLost-$56.0793145.8%426 W · 505 L-25.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1839…3ad3backed No50c100$50 inLost-$501338.5%5 W · 8 L-2.3wins-0.18per pick56cpaid-34.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdbf2…cdf3backed No58c84.7$49 inLost-$4910%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc57…ce71backed Yes52c78.08$40 inWon+$37.789655.2%53 W · 43 L+6.8wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+20.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x696a…e23abacked Yes40c58.7$23 inWon+$35.2217151.5%88 W · 83 L+7.3wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No46c50.53$23 inLost-$23.24,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed No45c50$23 inLost-$22.52,65749.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L+42.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6bf…9ac0backed Yes53c47.02$25 inWon+$22.021369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.13per pick56cpaid+44.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5daf…7d98backed Yes52c40.38$21 inWon+$19.384757.4%27 W · 20 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+18.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x40c2…b2fcbacked No49c30$15 inLost-$14.726548.7%129 W · 136 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xabdd…4f81backed Yes52c28.85$15 inWon+$13.851384.6%11 W · 2 L+4.2wins+0.32per pick52cpaid+64.4%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xb3bd…c085backed Yes52c21.15$11 inWon+$10.152560%15 W · 10 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+15.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.