TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xcc57…ce71

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
142
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Weather, grading 66 out of 100 (+0.14 per pick).

Best Category Weather at 66 out of 100; worst Other European Leagues at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT9655.2%53 W · 43 L+6.8wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+20.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 96 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$11.29
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Milwaukee Bucks in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.2
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+1,039.3%+$519.64
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+26.1%+$18.92
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.49
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$87.35
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$35.56
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+150%+$30
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$78.21
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$53.02
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Spread: Thunder (-11.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.51
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$19.64
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.5
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+99.7%+$58.45
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$8.08
Spread: Thunder (-6.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.05
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$69
Spread: Thunder (-6.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$20.09
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Cavaliers vs. Pistons backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$18.85
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.6
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$58.01
Showing 25 of 96 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved May 5, 2026, EDT1872.2%13 W · 5 L+6.1wins+0.34per pick38cpaid+96.7%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
Weather — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 16°C on May 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on May 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+93.6%+$18.73
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on May 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on May 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+411.2%+$104.93
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on May 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.64
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on May 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.67
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 52-53°F on April 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+157.4%+$34.44
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 56-57°F on April 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.9
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 84-85°F on March 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+95.2%+$22.37
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 83°F or below on March 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+189.7%+$123.3
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on March 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+65%+$11.04
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on March 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+333.1%+$99.93
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on March 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+104.5%+$120.21
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 62-63°F on March 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+211.8%+$105.91
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 64-65°F on March 12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+95.2%+$23.77
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 44-45°F on March 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+278.8%+$58.54
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 46-47°F on March 12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+160.9%+$32.17
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on March 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+43.3%+$8.66
All 18 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1442.9%6 W · 8 L+2.1wins+0.15per pick28cpaid+10.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.79
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+528.9%+$132.23
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$125
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.33
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$155Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$155
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$6.43
Will Switzerland win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$20.45
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+96.9%+$24.6
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Republic of Ireland win on 2026-03-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Czechia win on 2026-03-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$67.25
Ukraine vs. Sweden: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$86.47
All 14 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-35.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Everton FC win on 2026-05-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$201Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$201
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$29.87
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.81per pick19cpaid+426.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+426.3%+$85.26
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.79
All 1 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Golf — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Alex Smalley win the 2026 PGA Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.34
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Cincinnati win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump visit China by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$85
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 2, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Blues vs. Kingsbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Gil Vicente FC vs. AVS Futebol: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.54
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.