TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Golf · resolved market

Will Alex Smalley win the 2026 PGA Championship?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Golfevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$419,464
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$363,655

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $419,464 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Golf is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Golf
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0462…cddebacked Yes17c100,000$17,204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,204.3510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Yes4c43,008$1,660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6605324.5%13 W · 40 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick20cpaid-29.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes17c30,533$5,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,160.09746.8%5 W · 69 L-6.7wins-0.09per pick16cpaid-80.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf584…2497backed Yes0c10,500$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211747.1%8 W · 9 L+3.6wins+0.21per pick26cpaid-12.2%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0x92b5…fec6backed Yes18c10,261$1,833 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,83310%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Yes13c9,768$1,255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,254.9111712%14 W · 103 L-23.7wins-0.20per pick32cpaid-73.3%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes17c7,582$1,254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,253.8823319.3%45 W · 188 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-31.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa002…e840backed Yes1c6,150$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.77250%0 W · 25 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8791…4c9abacked Yes17c5,458$919 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$919.09214.8%1 W · 20 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick7cpaid-86.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb416…4588backed Yes17c5,244$890 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$890.0820%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x00ff…f7adbacked Yes16c4,872$785 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$785.211631.3%5 W · 11 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick25cpaid-42.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x477f…6c45backed Yes17c4,000$668 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$668728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-55.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfef9…c4c5backed Yes17c3,996$671 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$671.3510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xabf7…9820backed Yes17c3,261$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$560258%2 W · 23 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick10cpaid+19.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes9c3,253$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305.52306.7%2 W · 28 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick7cpaid-27.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc2c…a49cbacked Yes17c3,204$544 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$543.9410%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x36c4…a129backed Yes13c2,283$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305.811216.7%2 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick20cpaid-59.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Yes2c2,182$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4810123.8%24 W · 77 L+7.6wins+0.08per pick16cpaid+44%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x675c…2415backed Yes1c1,993$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.29290%0 W · 29 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc5fe…d475backed Yes12c1,870$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.4329.4%3 W · 29 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick4cpaid-14.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4864…627cbacked Yes17c1,833$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32050%0 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x40d5…79a5backed Yes18c1,678$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.1263.8%1 W · 25 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick8cpaid-67.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9720…afa4backed Yes15c1,643$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.91128.3%1 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick14cpaid-87.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x46b9…b865backed Yes7c1,504$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10040%0 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e02…b178backed Yes1c1,501$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.1811412.3%14 W · 100 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick13cpaid-55.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x40d5…acd1backed Yes2c1,250$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.757529.3%22 W · 53 L0.0wins0.00per pick29cpaid+9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2dc9…c555backed Yes3c1,198$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$383010%3 W · 27 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick12cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc37e…9e64backed Yes17c1,195$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.61333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-49.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2366…0d17backed Yes17c1,005$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.8720%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc97d…732bbacked Yes1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101323.1%3 W · 10 L+1.7wins+0.13per pick10cpaid+153.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbfec…9cccbacked Yes3c965.51$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.0190%0 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbadd…7518backed Yes19c822.71$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.520%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes12c800$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$993030%9 W · 21 L+0.1wins0.00per pick30cpaid-43.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5998…f89cbacked Yes16c749.99$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121911.1%1 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick19cpaid-33.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x66df…9811backed Yes19c707.59$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.918118.5%15 W · 66 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-37%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3af2…5212backed Yes4c702.36$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.311910.5%2 W · 17 L+0.1wins0.00per pick10cpaid-62.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9456…4f9fbacked Yes6c699.99$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.640%0 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe4ac…ad7fbacked Yes10c612.88$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.930%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f07…9d0fbacked Yes17c600$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.6520%1 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick24cpaid-72.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84f6…e46cbacked Yes17c600$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.2120%0 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5d0b…0874backed Yes15c595.34$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.4119.1%1 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick12cpaid-63.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf48e…8fa3backed Yes17c591.72$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c80…e9efbacked Yes17c588.38$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9aa7…e3d9backed Yes4c554.92$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.434613%6 W · 40 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick11cpaid-35.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x62bc…97acbacked Yes7c534.21$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick22cpaid+158.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e35…fe8cbacked Yes18c522.73$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.15per pick44cpaid-56.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f23…b19ebacked Yes17c470.47$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.4550%0 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf342…1e14backed Yes6c457.91$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.2260%0 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8ea…7f8dbacked Yes5c438.14$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205315.1%8 W · 45 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick11cpaid+219.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7b00…21cebacked Yes16c424.12$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.9810%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4740…fa66backed Yes17c420.71$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7030%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa7b5…fa78backed Yes5c400$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20395.1%2 W · 37 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick8cpaid-90.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2967…f4c9backed Yes17c371.57$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.5450%0 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Yes15c328.51$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.284951%25 W · 24 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-14.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x78d7…291dbacked Yes16c309.68$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.8150%0 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c76…06acbacked Yes17c299.99$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3396…90fbbacked Yes17c294.12$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8db4…9c07backed Yes15c285.87$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.93520%1 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-73.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x99e3…5fa5backed Yes18c276.24$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc57…ce71backed Yes6c260$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.3410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb258…0d2bbacked Yes10c255.86$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2530%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff1b…5dfdbacked Yes17c251.46$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43100%0 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6274…7226backed Yes17c238.1$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40911.1%1 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick11cpaid+102.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5387…c91ebacked Yes8c224.25$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.221227.4%9 W · 113 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-42%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x20ee…f8fabacked Yes17c220.76$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.75520%1 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick26cpaid-71.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4247…91c4backed Yes17c213.55$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.572910.3%3 W · 26 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick9cpaid+14.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8b65…e6bfbacked Yes18c209.78$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.7610%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb3…1367backed Yes8c197.09$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.432352.2%12 W · 11 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x44c9…ca41backed Yes17c189.82$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.4650%0 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0d3…e6f7backed Yes17c179.71$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301020%2 W · 8 L-2.2wins-0.22per pick42cpaid-72%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xee27…187bbacked Yes17c179.64$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa38e…339cbacked Yes6c172.41$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1020%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd432…ce2dbacked Yes18c170.45$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3030%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe355…a1f9backed Yes11c168.05$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1920%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeff5…dd85backed Yes18c152.54$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2720%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1aa4…917fbacked Yes17c149.7$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2520%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x00c8…9ccdbacked Yes17c146.2$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick18cpaid-53.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca98…15b7backed Yes17c132$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.0440%0 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b7e…a490backed Yes17c127.91$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2210%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x70e9…975bbacked Yes17c126.38$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.3820%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe488…f2c0backed Yes17c119.76$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20336.1%2 W · 31 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick8cpaid-86.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x903e…2829backed Yes17c119.05$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb53…c50bbacked Yes13c119.05$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151315.4%2 W · 11 L-0.1wins0.00per pick16cpaid-67.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9411…291bbacked Yes17c117.08$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.0220%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ae5…3d88backed Yes17c115.3$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b06…95eebacked Yes18c111.11$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2050%0 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf4c…21babacked Yes12c103.94$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-56.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb5e2…59a4backed Yes15c102.74$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15714.3%1 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick12cpaid-49%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Yes17c100$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.87031.4%22 W · 48 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-41.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f05…a70fbacked Yes17c100$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.840%0 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1fcb…e6e4backed Yes16c93.83$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1530%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x869a…6df4backed Yes17c88.76$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1520%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe524…4760backed Yes17c86.71$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15425%1 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick21cpaid-26.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2db4…e852backed Yes17c81.66$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.6810%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x958f…a7a9backed Yes17c75.14$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1310%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb9b5…850fbacked Yes17c60$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.08616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick14cpaid-55.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Golf and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 69. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.