TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xeff5…dd85

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
135
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Serie A, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Serie A at 53 out of 100; worst Champions League at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT10546.7%49 W · 56 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 105 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: Spain O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Will France win on 2026-07-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
England vs. Argentina: England O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$185Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$185
England vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$335Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+238.6%+$799.41
Will France win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$165
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Argentina O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Norway vs. England: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$58.73
Norway vs. England: Norway O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Norway vs. England: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$289.66
Spain vs. Belgium: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$81.82
Spain vs. Belgium: Belgium O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spain vs. Belgium: Spain O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$69.49
Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+81%+$121.49
France vs. Morocco: France O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$37.72
France vs. Morocco: France O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
France vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
France vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
France vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Colombia O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Colombia O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advancebacked Colombia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Argentina vs. Egypt: Argentina O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$234.92
Showing 25 of 105 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 5, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick32cpaid-23.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+61.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-21.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+64%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SS Lazio win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$33.33
ACF Fiorentina vs. Atalanta BC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$119.52
All 2 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Nov 23, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Falcons vs. Saintsbacked Saints · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Colts vs. Chiefsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+56.3%+$11.25
All 2 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Golf — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Alex Smalley win the 2026 PGA Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Will Jon Rahm win the 2026 PGA Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$158Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$158.21
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jul 21, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sabah FK vs. Kuopion PS: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.53
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2025-11-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$17.42
All 2 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Nov 25, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Senators vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+69.5%+$7.14
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jan 23, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trabzonspor win on 2026-01-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+56.3%+$10.39
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Roland Garros WTA: Elina Svitolina vs Belinda Bencicbacked Elina Svitolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$7.04
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on April 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.95
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SC Freiburg vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$76
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Saint-Etienne vs. Nice: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$160
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.