TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-24?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,377,209
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,817,677

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,377,209 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 927 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes27c194,427$53,205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141,221.5919239.1%75 W · 117 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-1.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No49c63,173$30,885 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,884.976,04745.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L-21.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No74c47,779$35,337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35,336.51,17950%590 W · 589 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No71c38,442$27,155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,154.932,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No20c37,843$7,686 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,686.3375542.3%319 W · 436 L+1.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No73c33,612$24,643 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,642.972,53047.7%1,206 W · 1,324 L+43.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Yes76c33,349$25,310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,038.8581234.7%282 W · 530 L-24.2wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-26.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No73c33,048$24,017 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,016.687450%37 W · 37 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked Yes26c30,167$7,843 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,323.6511149.5%55 W · 56 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No15c27,553$4,248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,248.231,61534.9%564 W · 1,051 L-28.7wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb73…53b0backed Yes28c27,389$7,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,589.1611942%50 W · 69 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+18.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed No74c26,853$19,912 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,912.2416651.2%85 W · 81 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed No50c25,000$12,625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,624.8231947.6%152 W · 167 L+10.6wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x78ad…45ccbacked No76c24,211$18,392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,391.6410962.4%68 W · 41 L+0.2wins0.00per pick62cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No71c21,939$15,554 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,554.218253.8%98 W · 84 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+28.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No41c20,967$8,574 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,573.874,69641.7%1,957 W · 2,739 L+21.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5d0c…bcebbacked No72c20,700$14,904 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,903.689347.3%44 W · 49 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+13.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Yes25c20,000$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,00013630.9%42 W · 94 L-7.4wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-10.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x800f…3586backed Yes28c19,909$5,592 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,317.38771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.24per pick48cpaid+56.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No59c17,688$10,425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,424.9356453.9%304 W · 260 L+27.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked No73c17,423$12,720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,720.0710951.4%56 W · 53 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa2b…5dfebacked No73c15,601$11,387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,387.063745.9%17 W · 20 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-16.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed No73c15,519$11,359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,358.6713151.1%67 W · 64 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x60ba…3c6cbacked No73c14,451$10,590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,590.346448.4%31 W · 33 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9418…c131backed Yes25c14,264$3,566 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,697.841100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.75per pick25cpaid+300%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed No73c14,101$10,323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,322.5316050.6%81 W · 79 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed No74c14,000$10,360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,36013444.8%60 W · 74 L-6.9wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x26f8…3452backed Yes50c12,919$6,459 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,459.32475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+22%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc699…7961backed Yes29c12,393$3,594 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,798.8112532.8%41 W · 84 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+28.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x21f5…c161backed Yes26c11,202$2,903 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,299.796526.2%17 W · 48 L-6.1wins-0.09per pick36cpaid-33.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No72c11,000$7,920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,92035652.8%188 W · 168 L+15.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+12.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed No70c10,714$7,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,50020545.4%93 W · 112 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes27c10,320$2,820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,500.3667042.2%283 W · 387 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No74c9,922$7,347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,346.5857847.8%276 W · 302 L+18.8wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+11.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed No72c8,428$6,068 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,068.2340655.2%224 W · 182 L+12.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2895…2c58backed Yes25c8,200$2,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,1501338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x629c…6c01backed No71c8,000$5,680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,6806550.8%33 W · 32 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked No72c8,000$5,760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,759.9813348.9%65 W · 68 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-1.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7858…a5eabacked No74c8,000$5,936 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,935.929753.6%52 W · 45 L-0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid+19.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked No5c7,997$369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$368.8926319.8%52 W · 211 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-21.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed No73c7,816$5,697 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,697.3710765.4%70 W · 37 L+5.3wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfaf1…795fbacked No72c7,300$5,256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,255.831172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.6wins+0.24per pick49cpaid+56.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No74c6,758$4,975 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,975.3945249.6%224 W · 228 L+13.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Yes26c6,542$1,673 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,868.917648.7%37 W · 39 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+8.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x479e…91c3backed Yes79c6,318$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,318.186066.7%40 W · 20 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7093…0632backed Yes28c6,071$1,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,371.43250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick25cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked No76c6,000$4,560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,56018362.3%114 W · 69 L+17.5wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+21.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfea3…d227backed No20c5,831$1,166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,166.285552.7%29 W · 26 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid-0.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed No74c5,007$3,705 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,704.9714652.1%76 W · 70 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3a3…c2f9backed Yes29c5,000$1,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,5502653.8%14 W · 12 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+16.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x374a…03edbacked No72c4,800$3,456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,45613155%72 W · 59 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes26c4,591$1,199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,391.5753240%213 W · 319 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+3.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xeff5…dd85backed Yes25c4,560$1,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,420560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+61.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed No72c4,000$2,880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,879.9940953.3%218 W · 191 L+11.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Yes24c4,000$960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,039.935032%16 W · 34 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick34cpaid+7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeda6…84c5backed No74c3,815$2,823 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,823.11040%4 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick45cpaid+81.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed No58c3,768$2,202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,201.677048.6%34 W · 36 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+4.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x555b…c93dbacked Yes80c3,750$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7502737%10 W · 17 L-4.1wins-0.15per pick52cpaid-45%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes29c3,672$1,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,591.7138233.2%127 W · 255 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e33…afb3backed Yes80c3,625$2,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72512345.5%56 W · 67 L-10.3wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-17.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5001…49c3backed Yes28c3,571$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,571.43475%3 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.39per pick36cpaid+218.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes78c3,567$2,791 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$776.2677236.4%281 W · 491 L-9.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x73c5…2f80backed No12c3,544$429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$429.3810042%42 W · 58 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-22.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Yes69c3,514$2,438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,075.5213948.9%68 W · 71 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-27.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1947…94bcbacked No73c3,370$2,444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,443.729458.2%171 W · 123 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1136…0c2ebacked No72c3,156$2,272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,272.051136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick47cpaid+19%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes25c3,150$788 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,362.568026.3%179 W · 501 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No74c3,101$2,285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,284.7158446.1%269 W · 315 L-12.7wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f31…a362backed Yes26c3,092$813 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,279.411100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.74per pick26cpaid+280.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed No75c3,000$2,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,2506660.6%40 W · 26 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Yes67c2,897$1,944 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$952.4314658.9%86 W · 60 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-14.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaabb…5554backed No74c2,700$2,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,000.999451.1%48 W · 46 L-0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7418…251fbacked Yes78c2,694$2,091 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$603.569373.1%68 W · 25 L+17.6wins+0.19per pick54cpaid+51.7%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed No73c2,523$1,837 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,837.4915740.1%63 W · 94 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-12.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf285…ab24backed No71c2,500$1,775 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,7751040%4 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x04b9…79e0backed No72c2,500$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,8005242.3%22 W · 30 L-5.7wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-21.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8310…c875backed Yes80c2,500$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5004450%22 W · 22 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-20.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a93…c3eabacked Yes26c2,269$590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,679.233132.3%10 W · 21 L-2.4wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-18.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked No73c2,039$1,480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,480.337044.3%31 W · 39 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed No72c2,021$1,455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,455.1216753.3%89 W · 78 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No68c2,013$1,363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,363.091,40944.5%627 W · 782 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed No74c2,000$1,480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,48014258.5%83 W · 59 L+11.0wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+14.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2e5a…0122backed Yes25c2,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5002339.1%9 W · 14 L+3.0wins+0.13per pick26cpaid+31.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No75c2,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50085048.4%411 W · 439 L+12.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ae5…4f22backed Yes79c2,000$1,580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4209056.7%51 W · 39 L-7.0wins-0.08per pick64cpaid-12.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf9ff…38c2backed Yes25c2,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5002941.4%12 W · 17 L+3.3wins+0.11per pick30cpaid+27.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x38f1…9ff1backed No52c2,000$1,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,04032158.9%189 W · 132 L+13.6wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6566…ea1ebacked No2c2,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3020%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed No72c1,995$1,436 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,436.2115255.9%85 W · 67 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ef2…3c33backed Yes26c1,914$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,414.294450%22 W · 22 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No71c1,914$1,353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,352.831,16157.4%666 W · 495 L+40.5wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd035…f165backed No17c1,836$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315.1914128.4%40 W · 101 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-30.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4f1d…8de2backed No75c1,814$1,360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,359.742560%15 W · 10 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3389…5bcfbacked No72c1,788$1,287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,287.3610%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe462…e436backed Yes27c1,767$477 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,289.67837.5%3 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.20per pick18cpaid+203%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf9a2…a79abacked Yes28c1,710$479 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,231.1410426.9%28 W · 76 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x828b…fe53backed Yes28c1,706$478 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,227.99250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick15cpaid+78.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Yes27c1,700$452 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,247.9913721.2%29 W · 108 L-0.4wins0.00per pick21cpaid+6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked Yes55c1,698$937 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$761.697050%35 W · 35 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-25.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Yes35c1,648$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,078.8420956%117 W · 92 L+15.9wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+24.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.