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Premier League · resolved market

Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$101,987
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$101,949

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $101,987 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 161 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xcd65…ee96backed Yes23c20,652$4,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,7502138.1%8 W · 13 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No77c10,109$7,784 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,32556453.9%304 W · 260 L+27.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes23c4,548$1,048 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,047.5320139.8%80 W · 121 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb619…5068backed Yes23c4,000$920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$919.984634.8%16 W · 30 L-3.5wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-31.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2d46…3e2dbacked Yes15c3,646$537 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$537.062920.7%6 W · 23 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick13cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No77c2,737$2,105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$632.171,35848.3%656 W · 702 L-3.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes14c2,714$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$379.9778342.5%333 W · 450 L+2.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7858…a5eabacked No77c2,380$1,833 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$547.49753.6%52 W · 45 L-0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid+19.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x40d0…4415backed No77c2,368$1,823 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$544.649254.3%50 W · 42 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x180a…54a6backed Yes23c2,117$487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4872133.3%7 W · 14 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9a1d…8986backed Yes6c1,826$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.914456.8%25 W · 19 L+4.2wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+30.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4f1d…8de2backed No78c1,814$1,411 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$403.182560%15 W · 10 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes15c1,773$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271.631,42444.3%631 W · 793 L-7.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b59…9db6backed No78c1,631$1,278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$353.056038.3%23 W · 37 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-30.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked No77c1,514$1,165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$348.1112562.4%78 W · 47 L+8.6wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+13.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x19e9…239bbacked Yes23c1,304$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002924.1%7 W · 22 L-6.5wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-56.4%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xa6c3…55a3backed Yes25c1,300$331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3311050%5 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+33.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes24c1,296$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314.7275244.8%337 W · 415 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x287a…02d2backed No74c1,285$950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.181163.6%7 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick73cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1a93…c3eabacked Yes23c1,250$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.433132.3%10 W · 21 L-2.4wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-18.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked No77c1,220$939 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.641850.7%212 W · 206 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No77c999.98$770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23065244.6%291 W · 361 L-21.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-14.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8640…cdf1backed Yes23c913.04$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21030%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe505…3068backed Yes23c887.3$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.0860%0 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x75a7…2d61backed Yes25c854.4$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.680%0 W · 8 L-2.1wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed No77c845$651 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.3511267%75 W · 37 L+6.9wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+11.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No74c805.02$596 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.3179236.1%286 W · 506 L-10.5wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-24.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf472…a262backed Yes14c714.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100240%0 W · 24 L-2.5wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed No77c681.79$525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.8121438.8%83 W · 131 L+0.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid-15.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No77c626.17$482 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.021,78634.9%623 W · 1,163 L-34.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No77c624$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.5286648.7%422 W · 444 L-12.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No77c549.99$423 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.574150.9%377 W · 364 L+7.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d0c…bcebbacked Yes2c500$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109546.3%44 W · 51 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+10.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d15…e9debacked Yes23c500$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-45.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc6c5…6f9cbacked Yes23c434.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001225%3 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-24.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5127…de1ebacked Yes23c434.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003237.5%12 W · 20 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid+13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8767…a37fbacked Yes23c434.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003043.3%13 W · 17 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x18d7…2968backed Yes23c434.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001936.8%7 W · 12 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick29cpaid+21.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb481…72d8backed Yes23c427.7$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.3710%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No77c416.24$321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.7385152.9%450 W · 401 L+9.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc513…98babacked Yes19c416.13$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.34933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-52.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes22c413.99$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.0815433.8%52 W · 102 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-21.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd5a6…6991backed Yes24c405.25$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.26728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick39cpaid+1.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed No78c401.61$313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.3514463.2%91 W · 53 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Yes15c400$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6014221.8%31 W · 111 L0.0wins0.00per pick22cpaid+7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b98…7061backed Yes23c400$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92540%2 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick28cpaid+50%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0fec…b510backed Yes25c400$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100540%2 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick31cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed Yes22c399.92$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.9825544.7%114 W · 141 L-12.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-8.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No77c396.16$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.1258551.6%302 W · 283 L-1.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf6c4…df5fbacked Yes22c391.14$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.0514654.8%80 W · 66 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3981…2933backed Yes23c388.17$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.281747.1%8 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-8.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e48…9c5fbacked No78c350$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-49.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x95a4…8a24backed Yes23c330.43$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$763727%10 W · 27 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8bd…478fbacked Yes23c326.09$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$751435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.13per pick48cpaid-38.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed No77c324$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.5276050%380 W · 380 L+20.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+8.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2568…ef92backed No78c321.46$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.7214662.3%91 W · 55 L+7.5wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+7.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa494…4a1fbacked No77c320$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.67460.8%45 W · 29 L+5.0wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+14.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked No76c311.02$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.9922645.6%103 W · 123 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-19.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked No77c301.08$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.567143.7%31 W · 40 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbaf8…4919backed No78c300$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$662100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+172.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc20c…fdb5backed No77c280.58$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.335160.8%31 W · 20 L+0.1wins0.00per pick61cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6195…b9e3backed Yes23c259$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.571323.1%3 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-31.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b81…b5a2backed No78c250$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick36cpaid+45.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb682…5609backed Yes13c233.7$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30450%2 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.32per pick18cpaid+183.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes23c232.58$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.5266040%264 W · 396 L+11.5wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8b5…eb06backed No76c230.83$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.4450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-33.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Yes22c227.27$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5076241.9%319 W · 443 L+13.0wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xac45…844fbacked Yes23c217.39$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501560%9 W · 6 L+2.3wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+27%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9a73…c908backed Yes23c217.39$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick28cpaid-10.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf16…b3eabacked Yes23c217$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.911127.3%3 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick25cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcfa0…62dfbacked Yes23c217$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.9130%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a16…5f47backed No77c200$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4611850%59 W · 59 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f34…7684backed Yes25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010233.3%34 W · 68 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-18.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3089…92f6backed Yes14c200$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284325.6%11 W · 32 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-23.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed No77c197.08$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.336660.6%40 W · 26 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed No77c175.64$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.416753.3%89 W · 78 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed No77c175.64$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.440655.2%224 W · 182 L+12.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes23c173.59$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.932,60647.7%1,242 W · 1,364 L+43.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes13c167.71$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.576,21745.6%2,834 W · 3,383 L-33.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-12.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x28bf…4a4ebacked No77c166$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.182356.5%13 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-21.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes23c163.72$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.661,17657.4%675 W · 501 L+40.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x32ca…3d37backed Yes24c160$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.4333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick23cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3fdc…9f26backed Yes24c160$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.4366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick43cpaid+25.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes23c154.8$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.62,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4f9…9419backed Yes23c150$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.52646.2%12 W · 14 L+2.1wins+0.08per pick38cpaid+17.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x62ff…6b66backed Yes23c139.13$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$327525.3%19 W · 56 L-5.5wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-34%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xde4d…df45backed Yes23c128$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.441450%7 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+13.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7bd8…aeabbacked No77c125.03$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.765850%29 W · 29 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-10.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Yes22c120$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.423146.3%107 W · 124 L-8.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x41f7…c4e4backed Yes23c116.69$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.767727.3%21 W · 56 L0.0wins0.00per pick27cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8027…4fe3backed Yes23c108.7$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick34cpaid+30.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ed4…8f43backed Yes23c108.7$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252142.9%9 W · 12 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8adc…6b14backed Yes23c108.7$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2517755.9%99 W · 78 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7350…9dc0backed Yes23c108.7$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2518739.6%74 W · 113 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-11%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe5ca…219bbacked Yes23c108.7$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick24cpaid+30.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0547…fb35backed No77c100$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2321058.6%123 W · 87 L-10.7wins-0.05per pick64cpaid-11.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbf74…aa8ebacked Yes24c100$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241533.3%5 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x02bc…1fd2backed Yes22c99.98$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2215738.9%61 W · 96 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa43a…4056backed No76c89.99$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.6366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid-11.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x31f3…0eacbacked Yes24c89.33$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.441747.1%8 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.