TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xcfa0…62df

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
43
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Other European Leagues, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Other European Leagues at 52 out of 100; worst Mls at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT1216.7%2 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick25cpaid-38.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CD Mirandés vs. Granada CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.98
Will SD Eibar vs. Córdoba CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.91
Will FC Andorra vs. AD Ceuta FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.97
Will Valencia CF vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.98
Will Girona FC vs. Elche CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$142.08
Will Deportivo Alavés vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.98
Will RC Celta de Vigo vs. Sevilla FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.88
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$128.52
Will Real Betis Balompié vs. Levante UD end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.98
Will RCD Mallorca vs. Real Oviedo end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.98
Will Real Madrid CF vs. Athletic Club end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will CA Osasuna win on 2026-05-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.98
All 12 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.13per pick24cpaid-57.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Mls — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Portland Timbers vs. San Jose Earthquakes end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.98
Will San Diego FC vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.91
Will Colorado Rapids SC vs. FC Dallas end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.92
Will Nashville SC vs. New York City FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Sporting Kansas City vs. New York Red Bulls end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.98
Will Chicago Fire FC vs. Toronto FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will D.C. United SC vs. CF Montréal end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$142.08
Will FC Cincinnati vs. Orlando City SC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.94
Will Charlotte FC vs. New England Revolution end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.92
All 9 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick26cpaid-52.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Asian League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.98
Will Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Qingdao Xihaian FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.91
Will Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+277.5%+$277.13
Will Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.88
Will Kashiwa Reysol vs. JEF United Ichihara Chiba end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.98
Will Kashima Antlers vs. FC Tōkyō end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.88
Will Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs. Nagoya Grampus end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 8 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick28cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick21cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Halmstads BK win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will AFC Ajax vs. FC Utrecht end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$142.08
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mexico vs. Ghana end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.95
All 1 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Auckland FC vs. Sydney FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.