Asian League · resolved market
Will Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Qingdao Xihaian FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf6fbf68385e998a4d7d0263e5f5f38011b1d65b6559952eac716f02b6a77376c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,106
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,428
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,106 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 6c | 2,863$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.91 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 9c | 2,389$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.72 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes | 23c | 1,691$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.83 | 243 | 23%56 W · 187 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 75c | 1,163$871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.66 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6580…6fa8backed Yes | 24c | 749.93$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.98 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | +4.6wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 31c | 645.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 285 | 32.3%92 W · 193 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Yes | 19c | 427.97$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.81 | 151 | 33.8%51 W · 100 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 76c | 241.25$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.9 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed No | 76c | 240.3$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.95 | 140 | 58.6%82 W · 58 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 76c | 239.83$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.48 | 401 | 56.4%226 W · 175 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7106…1caabacked Yes | 33c | 227.27$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 69 | 24.6%17 W · 52 L | -6.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf16…b3eabacked Yes | 23c | 217$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.91 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 26cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdca…f627backed Yes | 23c | 217$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.91 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 27cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfa0…62dfbacked Yes | 23c | 217$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.91 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 26cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e5…b254backed Yes | 30c | 200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked No | 77c | 143$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a6…f48bbacked Yes | 36c | 139.32$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…0dbdbacked Yes | 9c | 133.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 33cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 74c | 128.15$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 77c | 127.96$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.04 | 1,221 | 50.2%613 W · 608 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 78c | 125.73$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.02 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ece…0163backed Yes | 23c | 108.7$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87c2…e0f9backed Yes | 20c | 106.25$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2035…679dbacked Yes | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4552…eac6backed No | 67c | 104.48$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.48 | 35 | 68.6%24 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 340 | 50.9%173 W · 167 L | +19.3wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0593…4892backed Yes | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd89a…49a4backed Yes | 29c | 79.31$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Yes | 18c | 78.51$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.05 | 211 | 44.5%94 W · 117 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf558…3c42backed No | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ed…8f34backed Yes | 14c | 70$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 29cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed No | 76c | 68.52$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.44 | 300 | 49.7%149 W · 151 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Yes | 24c | 51.51$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.28 | 543 | 54.9%298 W · 245 L | -12.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed No | 77c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 27c | 42.22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 1,063 | 42%446 W · 617 L | -12.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed No | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 246 | 56.9%140 W · 106 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 76c | 22.22$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.43 | 305 | 48.5%148 W · 157 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 75c | 16.76$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.11 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked No | 77c | 15.73$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.61 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb3…9794backed No | 77c | 13.35$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.07 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Qingdao Xihaian FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Qingdao Xihaian FC win on 2026-05-24?Yes won
- Will Yunnan Yukun FC win on 2026-05-24?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.