Serie A · resolved market
Will SSC Napoli vs. Udinese Calcio end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xac753e2cf8f98396f4b4545fbaf4e1df847a76549da99bf9c324aaa7e7fc0391
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $52,474
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $50,699
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,474 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 19c | 7,841$1,504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,503.76 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 78c | 7,675$5,977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,698.22 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1af…c4d1backed No | 78c | 3,601$2,809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$792.21 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.27per pick | 57cpaid | +74.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 22c | 3,248$714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$714.49 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Yes | 22c | 2,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 18c | 1,328$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.48 | 498 | 50.6%252 W · 246 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6adf…4f5bbacked Yes | 12c | 1,300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.35 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | +5.9wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f24…9a68backed No | 79c | 1,285$1,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefd4…51b1backed No | 78c | 1,282$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.05 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8b…9cd7backed Yes | 23c | 478.26$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | +187.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 24c | 442.4$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.21 | 411 | 44.3%182 W · 229 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked No | 78c | 379.97$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.59 | 364 | 56.3%205 W · 159 L | +19.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc853…9d37backed No | 78c | 366.4$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.61 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 9c | 318.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.8 | 227 | 43.2%98 W · 129 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41f7…c4e4backed Yes | 21c | 298.19$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.89 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3a…ccbebacked Yes | 11c | 248.29$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.43 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +3.5wins | +0.15per pick | 41cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8c…79bdbacked Yes | 22c | 232.35$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf16…b3eabacked Yes | 22c | 227$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.94 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdca…f627backed Yes | 22c | 227$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.94 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 25cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfa0…62dfbacked Yes | 22c | 227$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.94 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf81a…719abacked Yes | 23c | 210.39$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.39 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf07…4a12backed Yes | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 112 | 55.4%62 W · 50 L | +15.5wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes | 15c | 196.7$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38c4…7c65backed No | 78c | 196$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.12 | 60 | 70%42 W · 18 L | +5.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…6edbbacked No | 77c | 157.1$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.13 | 58 | 67.2%39 W · 19 L | +8.4wins | +0.15per pick | 53cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 78c | 139.13$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.7 | 328 | 54.3%178 W · 150 L | +14.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 80c | 120$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.51 | 467 | 42.8%200 W · 267 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed No | 78c | 109$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.98 | 142 | 58.5%83 W · 59 L | +10.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c1d…d05ebacked Yes | 15c | 106.67$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7291…78e2backed No | 78c | 106.5$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.43 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 77c | 101.55$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.36 | 687 | 50.8%349 W · 338 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Yes | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 131 | 46.6%61 W · 70 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd553…f8bbbacked Yes | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1d2…be08backed Yes | 15c | 93.33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 14cpaid | +123.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed Yes | 19c | 92$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.67 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 21c | 81$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.01 | 419 | 43.9%184 W · 235 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Yes | 22c | 80.2$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.64 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 78c | 75$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 210 | 54.3%114 W · 96 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed No | 77c | 68.05$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.65 | 158 | 44.3%70 W · 88 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Yes | 22c | 58.09$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.78 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x005c…a987backed Yes | 21c | 54.91$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.53 | 121 | 53.7%65 W · 56 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 78c | 50.25$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.05 | 418 | 54.8%229 W · 189 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25b9…a36fbacked Yes | 23c | 47.83$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed Yes | 23c | 45.68$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.51 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9982…8b06backed No | 79c | 43.49$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.13 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 69cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0dc…ffadbacked No | 78c | 38$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.36 | 46 | 69.6%32 W · 14 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc20c…fdb5backed No | 78c | 32.99$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.26 | 46 | 60.9%28 W · 18 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 77c | 32.26$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.42 | 393 | 54.2%213 W · 180 L | +17.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed No | 75c | 18.13$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.47 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +3.6wins | +0.12per pick | 39cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will SSC Napoli vs. Udinese Calcio end in a draw?this page
- Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-05-24?Yes won
- Will Udinese Calcio win on 2026-05-24?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.