TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0c1d…d05e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
322
Categories scored
22
Categories below 50
16

Best Category: Asian League, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category Asian League at 60 out of 100; worst Champions League at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT14728.6%42 W · 105 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 147 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+700.4%+$196.1
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Spread: Knicks (-6.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Spread: Thunder (-6.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$34.52
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 225.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
NBA Playoffs: Suns vs. Thunder Total Games O/U 4.5backed Over 4.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.85
Spurs vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.03
Cavaliers vs. Raptorsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.29
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.68
Donovan Clingan: Points O/U 9.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.85
Spurs vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$125.37
Celtics vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.44
Will Deni Avdija win the 2025–2026 NBA Most Improved Player?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$46
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.27
Knicks vs. Hawksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.82
Spread: Thunder (-16.5)backed Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+270.5%+$147.99
Suns vs. Thunderbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.18
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.27
Trail Blazers vs. Spursbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+606.9%+$218.84
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+900%+$119.2
Spread: Spurs (-10.5)backed Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$101.85
Trail Blazers vs. Spursbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.64
Showing 25 of 147 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT5324.5%13 W · 40 L-0.2wins0.00per pick25cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 53 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$105
Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
Spain vs. Argentina: Spain O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Spain vs. Argentina: Spain O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
France vs. England: Team to Winbacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+196.3%+$109.95
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$243Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$243
France vs. Spain: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Will Argentina vs. Switzerland end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+483.8%+$72.57
Alexis Mac Allister: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+809.1%+$121.36
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advancebacked Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$61
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Spain vs. Belgium end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$49
Will France vs. Morocco end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$41
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Luis Díaz: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$31
Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+488.2%+$126.94
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Cristiano Ronaldo: 2+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 12.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$139
Colombia vs. Ghana: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$53.86
Cristiano Ronaldo: 2+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spain vs. Austria: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$25.85
Spread: England (-1.5)backed England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Showing 25 of 53 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT1947.4%9 W · 10 L+2.2wins+0.12per pick36cpaid+35.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.89
Will Brentford FC vs. Crystal Palace FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$49.64
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-04-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.1
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$24.14
Will Southampton FC win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$50.58
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.79
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$17
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+257.1%+$74.57
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+104.1%+$40.59
AFC Bournemouth vs. Sunderland AFC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+81.8%+$22.91
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+244.8%+$36.72
Portsmouth FC vs. Southampton FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+96.1%+$19.22
Portsmouth FC vs. Southampton FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$17
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$22
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+270.4%+$64.89
All 19 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT1931.6%6 W · 13 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valencia vs. Real Madridbacked Valencia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Valencia vs. Panathinaikosbacked Panathinaikos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Paris Basketball vs. Maccabi Tel Avivbacked Maccabi Tel Aviv · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.21
Saski Baskonia vs. Maccabi Tel Avivbacked Maccabi Tel Aviv · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.74
Saski Baskonia vs. Real Madridbacked Real Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.36
Shanxi Loongs vs. Shanghai Sharksbacked Shanxi Loongs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Fenerbahce vs. Zalgiris Kaunasbacked Fenerbahce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
Maccabi Tel Aviv vs. BC Dubaibacked Maccabi Tel Aviv · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$26.6
BC Dubai vs. Panathinaikosbacked BC Dubai · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Maccabi Tel Aviv vs. Fenerbahcebacked Maccabi Tel Aviv · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$59
ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne vs. Maccabi Tel Avivbacked Maccabi Tel Aviv · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$42.69
Olimpia Milano vs. Maccabi Tel Avivbacked Maccabi Tel Aviv · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$53
Monaco vs. Olympiacos B.C.backed Olympiacos B.C. · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
Monaco vs. Maccabi Tel Avivbacked Maccabi Tel Aviv · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+244.8%+$73.45
Zalgiris Kaunas vs. Hapoel Tel Avivbacked Hapoel Tel Aviv · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$38
Panathinaikos vs. Fenerbahcebacked Panathinaikos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$36
Maccabi Tel Aviv vs. FC Bayern Munchenbacked Maccabi Tel Aviv · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+65.5%+$53.04
KK Crvena Zvezda vs. Maccabi Tel Avivbacked Maccabi Tel Aviv · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+270.4%+$48.67
Valencia vs. Maccabi Tel Avivbacked Maccabi Tel Aviv · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$16
All 19 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT1127.3%3 W · 8 L+1.2wins+0.11per pick17cpaid+85.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 18, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$38
Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Military action against Iran ends on March 29, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Military action against Iran ends on March 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+798.3%+$287.39
US strikes Iran by March 5, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+426.3%+$187.58
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+511.9%+$542.57
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$46
Will Trump say "Accords" during meeting with Netanyahu?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$28
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$63
All 11 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT119.1%1 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick12cpaid-77.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$43
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.74
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.5
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$153
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Will Bitcoin reach $76,000 March 2-8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$47
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 February 23-March 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$19
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$92
Will Ethereum dip to $2,800 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+143.9%+$35.98
All 11 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+36.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Melbourne City FC vs. Adelaide United FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+137.5%+$21.76
Will Melbourne Victory FC vs. Newcastle United Jets FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$101.33
Newcastle United Jets FC vs. Adelaide United FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+254.1%+$40.66
Will Auckland FC win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Central Coast Mariners FC vs. Newcastle United Jets FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$26
Will Sydney FC win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Melbourne Victory FC win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$82
Western Sydney Wanderers FC vs. Wellington Phoenix FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+63.9%+$30.05
Will Wellington Phoenix FC vs. Melbourne Victory FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Melbourne Victory FC vs. Sydney FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+89.1%+$20.49
All 10 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+55%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.41
Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-04-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.9
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+669.2%+$87
VfL Wolfsburg vs. SV Werder Bremen: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$15
SV Werder Bremen vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+132.6%+$26.51
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+259.9%+$75.36
Will VfL Wolfsburg win on 2026-01-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+88.7%+$10.46
All 10 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.12per pick33cpaid+107.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Alexander Zverevbacked Jannik Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$40
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Taylor Fritzbacked Taylor Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverevbacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Cobolli vs. Zverev: Match O/U 38.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$24.02
Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Novak Djokovicbacked Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Set Handicap: Sabalenka (-1.5) vs Rybakina (+1.5)backed Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Australian Open Women's: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakinabacked Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$23
Australian Open Men's: Novak Djokovic vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+1,145.8%+$160.41
Australian Open Men's: Lorenzo Musetti vs Novak Djokovicbacked Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+158.6%+$76.13
All 9 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jul 22, 2026, EDT812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.17per pick30cpaid-51.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+2.6wins+0.52per pick28cpaid+187.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
Asian League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-34.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Aug 6, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bad Bunny say "Fuck ICE" at the Big Game?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$19
All 2 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
IPO — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during events with Xi Jinping?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from February 6 to February 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$25
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.