TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Australian A League · resolved market

Will Melbourne Victory FC vs. Newcastle United Jets FC end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$30,065
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$37,140

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,065 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Australian A League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5db5…1a50backed Yes24c5,208$1,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,958.392737%10 W · 17 L+2.3wins+0.08per pick29cpaid+25.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No76c3,066$2,329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,329.1843748.3%211 W · 226 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No63c2,882$1,802 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,802.3447850.8%243 W · 235 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No77c2,284$1,757 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,756.6646644.8%209 W · 257 L-23.0wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-18.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No76c1,642$1,245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,244.7698844.4%439 W · 549 L-11.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8006…94dcbacked Yes23c1,308$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,007.39862.5%5 W · 3 L+2.3wins+0.29per pick34cpaid+105.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd3b5…a2a7backed Yes23c1,122$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$862.13933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9086…4d46backed Yes26c769.23$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$569.231931.6%6 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick34cpaid+9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed No45c733.92$331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$330.622030%6 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick33cpaid+5.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes46c651.3$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$349.0130954.7%169 W · 140 L+8.1wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed No77c640.45$493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$493.147549.3%37 W · 38 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No76c562.55$425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$424.7211057.3%63 W · 47 L+7.8wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+18.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd473…3febbacked Yes36c557.54$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$357.1511858.5%69 W · 49 L+0.2wins0.00per pick58cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes25c519.14$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$389.556129.5%18 W · 43 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick26cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf6e5…b254backed Yes24c511.3$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$388.831353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.6wins+0.12per pick42cpaid+56.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No77c500$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38513551.1%69 W · 66 L+0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid+5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9781…e481backed Yes23c418.52$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$322.262100%2 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+219.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x880b…90a8backed Yes22c346.33$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.62366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.34per pick33cpaid+133.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1e29…9e66backed Yes80c344.62$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.924551.1%23 W · 22 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xea32…8870backed Yes22c312.14$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.472850%14 W · 14 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b0f…c7e8backed Yes23c282.17$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.27250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick18cpaid+117.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd55…c9bfbacked Yes25c281.58$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.583836.8%14 W · 24 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No76c260.53$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.111752.1%61 W · 56 L+0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c9…4386backed Yes17c233.33$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.334845.8%22 W · 26 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+28.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x65f4…5222backed Yes24c229.17$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.17520%1 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.19per pick39cpaid-16.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe29f…b2f0backed Yes23c217.39$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.39933.3%3 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.12per pick21cpaid+19%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed No44c211.07$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.325853.4%31 W · 27 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No76c205$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.9232453.1%172 W · 152 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No76c196.81$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.1216858.3%98 W · 70 L+7.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked No50c193.44$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.853354.5%18 W · 15 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-12.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc10d…e679backed Yes25c180$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+38.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2439…3ed7backed Yes64c170.72$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.72757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+42.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes30c156.76$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.7715140.4%61 W · 90 L-5.5wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-22.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No70c148.33$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.7110857.4%62 W · 46 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-0.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xac99…306ebacked Yes15c133.33$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.33366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.48per pick19cpaid+250.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0c1d…d05ebacked Yes24c133.33$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.331050%5 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+36.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xab7e…b5d1backed No78c128.21$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+47%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes34c113.7$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.212532.8%41 W · 84 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-32.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked No76c113.47$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.964055%22 W · 18 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick57cpaid+4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa24d…38b2backed Yes23c108.7$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.74729.8%14 W · 33 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick29cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Yes23c107.05$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.6911050%55 W · 55 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x65af…df77backed Yes75c106.67$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.671662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.7wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+47%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x02bc…1fd2backed Yes22c99.98$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.982548%12 W · 13 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+13.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed No76c97.61$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.193745.9%17 W · 20 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-16.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x129b…190abacked Yes22c90.09$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.091450%7 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5cae…fdc1backed Yes23c86.96$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.965048%24 W · 26 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+13.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc112…d1efbacked Yes25c81.42$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.422030%6 W · 14 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick28cpaid+14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x78d8…cffcbacked Yes25c80$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$601560%9 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0742…86a0backed Yes24c79.45$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.06742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.12per pick31cpaid+72%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x93f4…1dafbacked Yes23c78.26$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.262100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+184.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xabce…2f87backed Yes28c75.79$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.793946.2%18 W · 21 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8c2…45b2backed Yes44c66.13$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.34366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.28per pick39cpaid+44%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeb94…6ef0backed No78c62.78$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.971662.5%10 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick70cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8d87…8dbbbacked Yes34c62.2$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.111952.6%10 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick47cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2fd6…d9f7backed Yes18c60$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$491100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.82per pick18cpaid+445.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No27c59.87$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.1510633%35 W · 71 L-5.4wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-30.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf0c0…2489backed No78c57.92$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.03425%1 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.42per pick67cpaid-45.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3e3e…7857backed No78c54.29$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.35333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.39per pick73cpaid-53.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked No77c50$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.53053.3%16 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c2b…c1a3backed Yes28c46$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.122100%2 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.68per pick32cpaid+217.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Yes78c45$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.97450%2 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-36.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6bb5…a518backed No78c40.11$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.131735.3%6 W · 11 L-3.2wins-0.19per pick54cpaid-29.9%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x75bd…0288backed Yes41c39.26$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.144553.3%24 W · 21 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x69ee…6e35backed No76c36.35$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.676162.3%38 W · 23 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed No78c35.15$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.574553.3%24 W · 21 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0aee…bddfbacked Yes63c32.92$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.02955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.19per pick37cpaid+46.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x36f9…5445backed No78c32.05$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x46d2…6805backed No76c32$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.442634.6%9 W · 17 L-4.8wins-0.18per pick53cpaid-41.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x8048…a602backed No78c31.53$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.5910%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.78per pick78cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked No72c30$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.65846.6%27 W · 31 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-11.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a3f…6712backed Yes52c29.42$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.051861.1%11 W · 7 L+3.3wins+0.19per pick43cpaid+34%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x61e4…fb60backed No77c27$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.791855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+17.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed No78c26.63$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.845246.2%24 W · 28 L-6.1wins-0.12per pick58cpaid-27.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed No78c26.63$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.846549.2%32 W · 33 L-5.1wins-0.08per pick57cpaid-15.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked No78c26.63$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.846352.4%33 W · 30 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked No78c26.52$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.755846.6%27 W · 31 L-3.2wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-12.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5cb4…4576backed No76c26.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.083748.6%18 W · 19 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe697…708fbacked No78c25.64$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204938.8%19 W · 30 L-9.7wins-0.20per pick59cpaid-40.5%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Yes58c20.56$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.644650%23 W · 23 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0576…9d28backed No77c19.99$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.39850%4 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9369…c867backed No79c18.99$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.79per pick79cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes58c18.58$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.8714951%76 W · 73 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0b87…9414backed No77c12.99$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102277.3%17 W · 5 L+5.7wins+0.26per pick51cpaid+70.8%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked No78c12.97$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.092564%16 W · 9 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+12.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x372a…409fbacked No78c12.9$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.06475%3 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick73cpaid+5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.