TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Australian A League · resolved market

Will Newcastle United Jets FC win on 2026-04-17?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$92,517
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$92,662

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $92,517 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 164 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Australian A League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfabc…2134backed Yes26c10,175$2,639 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,638.6314060.7%85 W · 55 L+19.7wins+0.14per pick47cpaid+31%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x5db5…1a50backed Yes29c9,320$2,673 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,673.242737%10 W · 17 L+2.3wins+0.08per pick29cpaid+25.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd3b5…a2a7backed Yes29c3,381$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$980933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed No71c3,277$2,327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$950.431968.4%13 W · 6 L+3.1wins+0.16per pick52cpaid+31.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes19c3,104$585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$584.6698844.4%439 W · 549 L-11.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x374a…03edbacked No71c3,000$2,130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8701758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.6wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+15.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x16b2…aa5abacked No70c2,758$1,937 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$821.126471.9%46 W · 18 L+9.9wins+0.15per pick56cpaid+36.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xfba5…8e17backed No73c2,098$1,540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$557.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+36.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x43f2…09a5backed Yes30c2,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5fea…78b1backed No63c1,916$1,203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$713.212213.6%3 W · 19 L-3.6wins-0.16per pick30cpaid-75.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes9c1,847$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.2515140.4%61 W · 90 L-5.5wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-22.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d12…16c3backed Yes33c1,766$583 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$582.730%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed No71c1,500$1,065 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$434.981855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+13.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed No71c1,441$1,023 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$418.032568%17 W · 8 L+2.9wins+0.11per pick57cpaid+24.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No70c1,334$936 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$398.3243748.3%211 W · 226 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc10d…e679backed Yes29c1,207$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+38.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f8a…f0b8backed Yes31c1,156$358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$358.24714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.27per pick42cpaid-74.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdb4e…6081backed Yes29c993.1$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+60.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x135f…528cbacked Yes35c854.29$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299425%1 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick25cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c79…8fffbacked Yes29c803.45$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6407…d360backed Yes33c794.48$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.18366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.27per pick40cpaid+55.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4db3…c1eabacked No36c727.58$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$468.221957.9%11 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+14%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd14…76b4backed No72c666$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.481546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-23.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed No71c615.56$437 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.517549.3%37 W · 38 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8393…f0aebacked No71c608.4$432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.44250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-29.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No68c599.98$411 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.0411057.3%63 W · 47 L+7.8wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+18.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdd3b…cea6backed Yes30c563$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.31172.7%8 W · 3 L+3.1wins+0.28per pick45cpaid+74%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0x95ef…ff92backed Yes9c506.47$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$483616.7%6 W · 30 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick20cpaid-23.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No71c500$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14511940.3%48 W · 71 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No71c500$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14513243.2%57 W · 75 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No71c500$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14510837%40 W · 68 L-5.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-26.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe75e…4b67backed No71c500$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1451764.7%11 W · 6 L+2.0wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+27.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed No71c499.91$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.971770.6%12 W · 5 L+2.8wins+0.16per pick54cpaid+31.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No58c499.91$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.9610857.4%62 W · 46 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-0.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7c29…87dcbacked Yes30c497.08$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.3730%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked No71c493$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.975558.2%32 W · 23 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No71c450$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.52157.1%12 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+13.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed No71c447.25$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.72070%14 W · 6 L+3.1wins+0.16per pick54cpaid+34.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x01c9…4386backed Yes34c441.18$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1504845.8%22 W · 26 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+28.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x683d…0415backed No72c416.67$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.671100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x129b…190abacked Yes26c404.48$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1051450%7 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca0d…2602backed Yes44c400.48$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.19per pick47cpaid-51.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed No71c400$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1162263.6%14 W · 8 L+2.1wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+20.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8f8b…9e2dbacked No71c400$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1161675%12 W · 4 L+3.6wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+45.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2d46…3e2dbacked Yes5c391.55$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.581323.1%3 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick19cpaid+179.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed No65c384$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.42030%6 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick33cpaid+5.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No46c382.21$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.614843.9%65 W · 83 L-0.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No70c381.7$267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.9611752.1%61 W · 56 L+0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes10c381.29$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.0212532.8%41 W · 84 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-32.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbd93…56c0backed Yes65c370.98$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.14837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.19per pick57cpaid-35.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8728…0882backed Yes29c350$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.51546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x606f…b043backed No71c342.75$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.41776.5%13 W · 4 L+3.7wins+0.22per pick54cpaid+42.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked Yes33c331.82$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.5650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+38.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4be6…b010backed Yes16c313.56$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502259.1%13 W · 9 L+2.1wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+17.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes13c300$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$396129.5%18 W · 43 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick26cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x65f4…5222backed Yes34c294.12$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100520%1 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.19per pick39cpaid-16.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5865…696abacked No69c289.86$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.86771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick65cpaid+7.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd49…03b8backed Yes41c270.69$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11030%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf1e0…041bbacked No71c250$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.52065%13 W · 7 L+2.8wins+0.14per pick51cpaid+22.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6fa1…6edbbacked No71c250$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.51872.2%13 W · 5 L+3.9wins+0.22per pick51cpaid+42.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf5e9…811dbacked Yes30c245$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1188…cd0bbacked Yes29c232.91$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.54333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-53.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed No77c224.11$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.735853.4%31 W · 27 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x49b9…9613backed Yes53c220$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.6450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-32.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3e1…f17fbacked Yes30c213.33$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.2wins+0.32per pick54cpaid+50.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfe11…18cfbacked No67c210$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.33063.3%19 W · 11 L+2.5wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+14.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x85c3…700cbacked Yes43c203.81$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.951526.7%4 W · 11 L-3.1wins-0.21per pick47cpaid-45.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x17d6…f1e2backed No66c199.99$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-24.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac99…306ebacked Yes16c187.5$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.48per pick19cpaid+250.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked Yes54c186.81$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009550.5%48 W · 47 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+13.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed No71c180$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.210448.1%50 W · 54 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x80b3…e5d9backed No76c172.47$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.63887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.25per pick63cpaid+51.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes29c172.41$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501145.5%5 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick37cpaid+46.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1887…5ae3backed Yes29c172.41$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked No66c169.88$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.974055%22 W · 18 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick57cpaid+4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe97b…5ecdbacked Yes31c161.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50850%4 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+19.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd59…2e2fbacked No70c157.14$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.861566.7%10 W · 5 L+2.2wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+33.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x82a2…0593backed No65c153.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.851100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes31c150$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.53540%14 W · 21 L+3.5wins+0.10per pick30cpaid+52.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked No69c150$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.530055.3%166 W · 134 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ed3…0a22backed No71c150$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.51758.8%10 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+16.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x04a5…d093backed No71c150$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.51560%9 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+20.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No67c140$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.216858.3%98 W · 70 L+7.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Yes30c138.63$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.924553.3%24 W · 21 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b0f…c7e8backed Yes13c130.77$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick18cpaid+117.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Yes29c129.73$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.975754.4%31 W · 26 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb30c…6cefbacked Yes35c127.14$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.52330.4%7 W · 16 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-16%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x69ee…6e35backed No70c119.99$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.076162.3%38 W · 23 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd473…3febbacked Yes53c110$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.311858.5%69 W · 49 L+0.2wins0.00per pick58cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Yes29c109.65$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.85246.2%24 W · 28 L-6.1wins-0.12per pick58cpaid-27.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Yes29c109.65$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.86549.2%32 W · 33 L-5.1wins-0.08per pick57cpaid-15.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Yes29c109.65$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.86352.4%33 W · 30 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0dec…3302backed Yes32c109.38$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352416.7%4 W · 20 L-3.6wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-38.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes33c109.09$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$363531.4%11 W · 24 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-19.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe8c2…45b2backed Yes23c103.35$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.28per pick39cpaid+44%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked Yes29c100$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293060%18 W · 12 L+2.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+16.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6f81…2bb7backed No71c100$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291566.7%10 W · 5 L+2.6wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+33.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked No72c99.98$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.493070%21 W · 9 L+6.2wins+0.21per pick49cpaid+45.2%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No71c93.04$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2732453.1%172 W · 152 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Yes14c92.83$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1311050%55 W · 55 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.