TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Australian A League · resolved market

Will Melbourne Victory FC win on 2026-04-17?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$129,738
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$137,965

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $129,738 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 200 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Australian A League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xea32…8870backed Yes43c23,582$10,226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,226.062850%14 W · 14 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb91…b665backed Yes50c10,010$5,005 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x083c…3f02backed No50c9,326$4,663 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,662.891100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No57c7,547$4,318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,229.1298844.4%439 W · 549 L-11.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc0ff…9953backed Yes72c6,175$4,445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,445.4620%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5db5…1a50backed Yes26c5,061$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3002737%10 W · 17 L+2.3wins+0.08per pick29cpaid+25.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No78c4,925$3,866 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,059.3847850.8%243 W · 235 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfabc…2134backed Yes41c4,772$1,956 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,955.6714060.7%85 W · 55 L+19.7wins+0.14per pick47cpaid+31%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xf658…655ebacked Yes42c4,663$1,965 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,964.783647.2%17 W · 19 L-3.6wins-0.10per pick57cpaid-17.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xef21…3dc9backed No57c4,295$2,448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,846.74475%3 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.33per pick42cpaid+62.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked No56c3,571$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,571.43650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed No57c3,550$2,023 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,526.31968.4%13 W · 6 L+3.1wins+0.16per pick52cpaid+31.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed No50c3,500$1,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,7502763%17 W · 10 L+2.8wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+23.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No34c3,012$1,027 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,98546644.8%209 W · 257 L-23.0wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-18.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbb64…bfdcbacked Yes43c2,831$1,225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,225.271323.1%3 W · 10 L-2.1wins-0.16per pick39cpaid-44.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes37c2,570$951 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$950.7730954.7%169 W · 140 L+8.1wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8228…b2fbbacked No55c2,497$1,372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,124.962100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3de4…b032backed No51c2,403$1,215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,187.511040%4 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x802b…7d57backed No58c2,345$1,360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$984.831100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No50c2,310$1,153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,156.7213049.2%64 W · 66 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x40f6…7bd7backed No54c2,163$1,177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$986.341947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x85e1…bac1backed Yes66c2,156$1,427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,426.9810%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd3b5…a2a7backed Yes51c1,967$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe0a2…40d5backed No57c1,786$1,018 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$768.5475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.28per pick47cpaid+51.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed No57c1,750$998 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$752.52568%17 W · 8 L+2.9wins+0.11per pick57cpaid+24.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No57c1,611$911 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$700.2810757.9%62 W · 45 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick55cpaid-0.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes44c1,522$677 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$677.1343748.3%211 W · 226 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc94a…9401backed Yes50c1,363$681 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$681.43650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5fea…78b1backed Yes37c1,341$492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$491.522213.6%3 W · 19 L-3.6wins-0.16per pick30cpaid-75.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc965…c8ecbacked Yes74c1,221$898 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$897.9710%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No40c1,163$468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$694.5423551.5%121 W · 114 L+13.4wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+15.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4160…e42dbacked No25c1,000$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7502343.5%10 W · 13 L+4.1wins+0.18per pick26cpaid+42%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4924…f328backed Yes44c940$413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$413.21643.8%7 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No56c913.54$512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$401.9616858.3%98 W · 70 L+7.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x75bd…0288backed No51c651.43$334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.654553.3%24 W · 21 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No45c650.75$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$357.314843.9%65 W · 83 L-0.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c9…4386backed Yes24c625.62$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1504845.8%22 W · 26 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+28.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7c29…87dcbacked Yes48c625$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30030%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked No56c535.7$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.71650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+38.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No55c530.9$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.0610857.4%62 W · 46 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-0.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b45…e3febacked Yes76c526.53$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40020%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed No56c500$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2202070%14 W · 6 L+3.1wins+0.16per pick54cpaid+34.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed No50c499.2$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.192030%6 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick33cpaid+5.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed No59c473.73$279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.054553.3%24 W · 21 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed No60c462.97$279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.175246.2%24 W · 28 L-6.1wins-0.12per pick58cpaid-27.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No71c445.08$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.8810633%35 W · 71 L-5.4wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-30.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Yes44c433.69$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.6811057.3%63 W · 47 L+7.8wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+18.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No66c409.67$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.2514951%76 W · 73 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd3a…91fdbacked Yes37c409.62$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.561546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3fb4…d481backed No52c389.97$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.192944.8%13 W · 16 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-14.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xeddf…a953backed No53c377.36$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.367435.1%26 W · 48 L-0.1wins0.00per pick35cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3e1…f17fbacked No48c368.46$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.65785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.2wins+0.32per pick54cpaid+50.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked No57c352.31$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.326352.4%33 W · 30 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe4a3…bce8backed Yes51c352$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.8450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x447d…bd4abacked No57c350.88$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.881250%6 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed No34c344.91$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.6414047.1%66 W · 74 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c04…a5c1backed Yes49c325.19$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1601118.2%2 W · 9 L-3.0wins-0.27per pick45cpaid-60.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes50c320.37$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.1913551.1%69 W · 66 L+0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid+5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d29…f683backed Yes48c312.5$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15020%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1a93…c3eabacked No53c310.36$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.87785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.9wins+0.41per pick44cpaid+125.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x02d4…d26cbacked No33c300$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2016129.5%18 W · 43 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick26cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdf01…39f7backed Yes44c300$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8642…47c8backed No57c263.16$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.16580%4 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.17per pick63cpaid+29.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8165…b93dbacked No57c263.16$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.163100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+74.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed No71c256.99$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.545853.4%31 W · 27 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xddb8…5a18backed Yes50c251.52$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+31.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf1e0…041bbacked No56c250$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1102065%13 W · 7 L+2.8wins+0.14per pick51cpaid+22.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe8b0…7b16backed No21c238.1$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.11050%5 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+33.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed Yes50c236.77$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.397549.3%37 W · 38 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4db3…c1eabacked Yes39c232.55$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.731957.9%11 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+14%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes50c222.46$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.2310837%40 W · 68 L-5.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-26.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfec2…08afbacked Yes45c222.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.19per pick47cpaid-42.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x98f7…d028backed Yes70c215.54$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-27.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe11…18cfbacked No57c210$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.33063.3%19 W · 11 L+2.5wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+14.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6e05…2ebcbacked No57c210$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.32766.7%18 W · 9 L+2.8wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+17.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x17d6…f1e2backed Yes42c199.98$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.99250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-24.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc62e…108dbacked No57c197.37$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.87683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.26per pick57cpaid+41.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x47fb…0c7bbacked No57c185$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.552864.3%18 W · 10 L+2.4wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+14.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed No48c179.79$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.076823.5%16 W · 52 L-5.4wins-0.08per pick32cpaid-29.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbc08…6b85backed No57c176.99$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.111070%7 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick59cpaid+15.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbd93…56c0backed Yes65c176.96$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.77837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.19per pick57cpaid-35.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xac9e…cca3backed No57c175.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.443100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+74.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked No59c169.49$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.492650%13 W · 13 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+2.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed No61c163.84$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.856549.2%32 W · 33 L-5.1wins-0.08per pick57cpaid-15.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x639f…6b8dbacked Yes22c162.5$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354626.1%12 W · 34 L-5.1wins-0.11per pick37cpaid-27.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x46d2…6805backed No60c156$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.432634.6%9 W · 17 L-4.8wins-0.18per pick53cpaid-41.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x134c…eeefbacked No58c155.17$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.171942.1%8 W · 11 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8c2…45b2backed No49c154$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.91366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.28per pick39cpaid+44%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfd49…03b8backed Yes65c153.85$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10030%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xea9e…d3fbbacked No53c150$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.53540%14 W · 21 L+3.5wins+0.10per pick30cpaid+52.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes47c150$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.530055.3%166 W · 134 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x58ed…b2d8backed Yes67c149.63$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe5b1…30b2backed No50c139$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.042060%12 W · 8 L+1.9wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+23.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x69b9…a5d5backed Yes37c135.14$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa24d…38b2backed Yes9c133.33$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124729.8%14 W · 33 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick29cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Yes46c129.1$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$603951.3%20 W · 19 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed No41c123.46$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.774650%23 W · 23 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed No15c119.87$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.895259.6%31 W · 21 L+5.9wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+27.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1be0…dc27backed Yes43c116.28$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked No63c114.89$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.515352.8%28 W · 25 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.